ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
@ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
280 followers 140 following 58 posts
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alisonfisk.bsky.social
Something lovely for the weekend!

Ancient Egyptian gold headband decorated with heads of gazelles and a stag between stars or flowers. Second Intermediate (Hyksos) period, Dynasty 15, c. 1648–1540 BC. 📷 The Met www.metmuseum.org/art/collecti...

#Archaeology
Met Museum photo of an Ancient Egyptian gold head ornament viewed from the front against a grey background. The headband is made of hammered sheet gold, the ends of which have been tapered to a narrower width and rolled to form loops. A string would have threaded through the loops to fasten the band around the head at the back. The front of the band is decorated with a central head of an antlered stag, identified as the Persian fallow deer (Dama mesopotamica). The stag has two large antlers, large ears and a triangular-shaped head. It is flanked on either side by two gazelle heads. The gazelle heads have long ears and long curved horns which point outwards at the tip. Between the animal heads are four 8-pointed flowers or stars. Dimensions: height of central stag 8.9, length of headband 49.5 cm. 

Dated to the Second Intermediate period (c. 1648-1540 BC) when northern Egypt was ruled by the Hyksos from the ancient Near East. Said to be part of a group of objects found in the Eastern Delta near Avaris, the Hyksos capital. The headband shows a mix of ancient Near Eastern and Egyptian artistic styles.
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
felixthoemmes.bsky.social
Excited to share that I’ll be the incoming Editor of AMPPS. My first priority is building a diverse team of Associate Editors and Editorial Board members. If you’re interested, DM me or add your name via this super simple survey.
cornell.ca1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Please share!
Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management
The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.
cornell.ca1.qualtrics.com
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richarddmorey.bsky.social
Simonsohn has now posted a blog response to our recent paper about the poor statistical properties of the P curve. @clintin.bsky.social and I are finishing up a less-technical paper that will serve as a response. But I wanted to address a meta-issue *around* this that may clarify some things. 1/x
datacolada.bsky.social
Would p-curve work if you dropped a piano on it?
datacolada.org/129
PIano being dropped on car in car testing facility
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
adrianraftery.bsky.social
The new Bayesian Social Sciences section of @isba-bayesian.bsky.social has just been created: bss-isba.github.io. The committee is myself as chair, @robinryder.bsky.social, chair elect from 2027, @nialfriel.bsky.social, program chair, @monjalexander.bsky.social, Treasurer, EJWagenmakers, Secretary.
Home - BSS-ISBA
bss-isba.github.io
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koruandthistle.bsky.social
A+ content from The Onion as usual
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profandyfield.com
While re-writing my R tutorials I removed the Bayes material from individual tutorials, rewrote it, and collected it in its own home. Just pushed the resulting tutorial `discovr_bayes` to github, it's a gentle intro to Bayesian estimation using rstanarm. github.com/profandyfiel...
GitHub - profandyfield/discovr: discovr package for R to accompany Discovering Statistics Using R and RStudio
discovr package for R to accompany Discovering Statistics Using R and RStudio - profandyfield/discovr
github.com
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remcobreuker.bsky.social
Ik kan er niet bij hoe onverantwoord het is om in deze tijden van uitdagingen, problemen en crises juist het onderwijs zo achter te laten. Kennis is de enige grondstof die Nederland in overvloed heeft, maar op deze manier niet lang meer. Met dank aan kabinet Schoof. www.aob.nl/actueel/arti...
Kabinet-Schoof laat onderwijs achter met gat van 1,3 miljard | AOb
In zijn laatste begroting laat het dubbel demissionaire rompkabinet-Schoof het onderwijs achter met ruim 1,3 miljard euro aan structurele bezuinigingen.
www.aob.nl
A new paper on Bayesian equivalence testing in JASP, by Henk Kiers and Jorge Tendeiro. Cool stuff. Blog post/teaser: jasp-stats.org/2025/09/12/n...
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
dsbarra.bsky.social
This was a true mess with a ton of AI-generated word salad slop being submitted as preprints. The field owes these moderators a huge thanks for all the work and energy! 🙏👏
improvingpsych.org
PsyArXiv's amazing team of 100+ moderators has now approved all preprints that meet the requirements outlined in the updated PsyArXiv policies (is.gd/paxpolicy). Thank you to everyone who volunteered, this was a true community effort! #PsychSciSky
About PsyArXiv – PsyArXiv Blog
What is PsyArXiv? PsyArXiv (psychology archive) is an open preprint archive designed to facilitate rapid dissemination of psychological research. PsyArXiv is a creation of the Society for the…
is.gd
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giladfeldman.bsky.social
Accepted for publication at Royal Society Open Science:
"Using prediction markets and forecasting surveys to predict 28 replication outcomes of classic articles in social psychology and judgment and decision making"

Going meta-science on our CORE team replications

Details👇🧵
Just came across a new tutorial paper on the Bayesian t-test in JASP, in the Journal of Advanced Nursing (!). It looks really good. The paper (open access) is at onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10...., and an ultra-short blog post is at jasp-stats.org/2025/09/06/n....
A Tutorial on Conducting and Interpreting a Bayesian Independent T‐Test Using Open‐Source Software
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
singmann.bsky.social
Exciting #rstats news for Bayesian model comparison: bridgesampling is finally ready to support cmdstanr, see screenshot. Help us by installing the development version of bridgesampling and letting us know if it works for your model(s): pak::pkg_install("quentingronau/bridgesampling#44")
R code and output showing the new functionality:
``` r
## pak::pkg_install("quentingronau/bridgesampling#44")
## see: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bridgesampling/vignettes/bridgesampling_example_stan.html
library(bridgesampling)

### generate data ###
set.seed(12345)
mu <- 0
tau2 <- 0.5
sigma2 <- 1
n <- 20
theta <- rnorm(n, mu, sqrt(tau2))
y <- rnorm(n, theta, sqrt(sigma2))

### set prior parameters ###
mu0 <- 0
tau20 <- 1
alpha <- 1
beta <- 1

stancodeH0 <- 'data {
  int<lower=1> n; // number of observations
  vector[n] y; // observations
  real<lower=0> alpha;
  real<lower=0> beta;
  real<lower=0> sigma2;
}
parameters {
  real<lower=0> tau2; // group-level variance
  vector[n] theta; // participant effects
}
model {
  target += inv_gamma_lpdf(tau2 | alpha, beta);
  target += normal_lpdf(theta | 0, sqrt(tau2));
  target += normal_lpdf(y | theta, sqrt(sigma2));
}
'
tf <- withr::local_tempfile(fileext = ".stan")
writeLines(stancodeH0, tf)
mod <- cmdstanr::cmdstan_model(tf, quiet = TRUE, force_recompile = TRUE)

fitH0 <- mod$sample(
  data = list(y = y, n = n,
              alpha = alpha,
              beta = beta,
              sigma2 = sigma2),
  seed = 202,
  chains = 4,
  parallel_chains = 4,
  iter_warmup = 1000,
  iter_sampling = 50000,
  refresh = 0
)
#> Running MCMC with 4 parallel chains...
#> 
#> Chain 3 finished in 0.8 seconds.
#> Chain 2 finished in 0.8 seconds.
#> Chain 4 finished in 0.8 seconds.
#> Chain 1 finished in 1.1 seconds.
#> 
#> All 4 chains finished successfully.
#> Mean chain execution time: 0.9 seconds.
#> Total execution time: 1.2 seconds.
H0.bridge <- bridge_sampler(fitH0, silent = TRUE)
print(H0.bridge)
#> Bridge sampling estimate of the log marginal likelihood: -37.73301
#> Estimate obtained in 8 iteration(s) via method "normal".

#### Expected output:
## Bridge sampling estimate of the log marginal likelihood: -37.53183
## Estimate obtained in 5 iteration(s) via method "normal".
```
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
avehtari.bsky.social
My Bayesian Data Analysis course at Aalto is starting in 20mins. There are now 375 registered students, but as the course is not compulsory for most, I expect about 230 students to finish it. All the course material is available online at avehtari.github.io/BDA_course_A...
Bayesian Data Analysis course
avehtari.github.io
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wesbonifay.bsky.social
Jan-Willem Romeijn’s closing address from a typical European podium #EPSA25 #philsci
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foswald.bsky.social
as editor, I'm actually signing the petition myself :)

==
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX
==

e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal

@apajournals.bsky.social
@akmontoya.bsky.social
Sign the Petition
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods
chng.it
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casperalbers.nl
Blijkbaar is de functie van burgemeester prima te combineren met dat van statistiekdocent.

Straks blijkt het niet AI te zijn die mijn baan ingepikt heeft, maar een burgemeester...
femkehalsema.bsky.social
Links in absolute aantallen, rechts zoals na gegoochel gepresenteerd.
De bedoeling is om de verantwoordelijkheid voor seksueel geweld letterlijk over de grens te duwen. Dit is onderdeel van het probleem.
Absolute aantallen verdachten seksuele misdrijven naar herkomst: een sterke oververtegenwoordiging van autochtone mannen. Cijfers zoals gepresenteerd door Wilders, in percentages en in scheve uitsnede: suggestie is dat vooral buitenlandse mannen seksueel geweld plegen.
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
carvehername.bsky.social
#OnThisDay, 24 Aug 1896, an unknown woman cyclist has a beer at the bar in New Jersey - making headlines in the New York Times.

Chapeau!

#WomenInHistory #OTD #History #WomensHistory #Cycling #AmericanHistory 🗃️
Newsclipping. Headline: She drank her ale at the bar. Subheading: Girl Cyclist in Rahway Amazed Loungers in Chamberlain's. Story then tells how the woman ordered and drank a beer straight from the bottle whilst standing at the bar, to the amazement of the men in there.
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
randvegan.bsky.social
Everyone should follow this lead. Incredibly simple to switch with minimal friction.

#linux
joepublic.bsky.social
First, it was Denmark 🇩🇰. Then it was the German 🇩🇪 state of Schleswig-Holstein. Now it's Lyon, France 🇫🇷.

Just this month, all have announced they are dumping Microsoft Windows and Office to them with Linux, LibreOffice, OnlyOffice and other open source software.

#DigitalSovereignty
The European Union Linux desktop
Opinion: True digital sovereignty begins at the desktop
www.theregister.com
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martinasladek.bsky.social
Our review paper with @profandyfield.com just got accepted to PeerJ 🎉 osf.io/preprints/ps...

We review OLS models and their assumptions, discuss statistical practice, and offer some practical tips on how to use robust methods with preregistration to reduce unnecessary analytic degrees of freedom.
OSF
osf.io
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
profandyfield.com
I’m about halfway through this update (first 11 tutorials are done). I think they’re a lot better. Using a consistent @easystats.github.io workflow throughout will - I think - massively reduce the cognitive load for students. Looking forward to road testing in autumn term.
profandyfield.com
Probably no-one except me uses my R tutorials in their teaching, but if you do, I'm re-writing them over the next 6-9 months. My goal is to streamline them based on 5 years of using them in class, but if you have (polite) requests/suggestsions let me have them. www.discovr.rocks/discovr/
discovr: a package of interactive tutorials | discovr
Statistics education
www.discovr.rocks
Ockham's razor and the principle of parsimony is a topic that is both relevant and fun.
Reposted by ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
lewan.bsky.social
Understanding the truth about how technology shapes our lives shouldn’t be a luxury but a public right. The Coalition for Independent Technology Research is building collective power to defend the right to research and free information. independenttechresearch.org/citr-report-...