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electionodds.bsky.social
While pundits claimed the 2025 Canada election was too close to call, betting markets quietly predicted a Liberal minority long before votes were counted.

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Betting Markets Called the Canada Election Before Results
While pundits claimed the 2025 Canada election was too close to call, betting markets quietly predicted a Liberal minority long before votes were counted.
electionodds.ca
July 3, 2025 at 4:22 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Bet365, popular vote winner:

Liberals -135
April 29, 2025 at 12:58 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Bet365, Government after election:

Liberals -105 favourites.
April 29, 2025 at 12:58 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Bet365, most seats. Liberals favoured.
April 29, 2025 at 12:58 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
This graph shows the Liberals surging from 10% to 69% implied probability, while Conservatives collapse from 85% to 42% between mid-2024 and April 2025.
April 29, 2025 at 12:45 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
The latest betting odds show the Liberal Party at -225 to win the popular vote, reflecting a 69.2% implied probability of victory.

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Canada Election Popular Vote Odds: Liberals Favored
The latest Canada election popular vote odds strongly favor the liberals at -225, their best chance at securing the popular vote since trudeau's 2015 win.
electionodds.ca
April 29, 2025 at 12:45 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
The 2025 Canadian federal election is shaping up to be one of the most remarkable political turnarounds in modern history.

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Canada Election Betting Overview
The 2025 Canadian federal election is shaping up to be one of the most remarkable political turnarounds in modern history.
electionodds.ca
April 29, 2025 at 12:34 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
The Bloc Québécois 2025 election campaign faces challenges and opportunities as it seeks to retain strongholds and influence national policy in a shifting landscape.

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Bloc Québécois 2025 Election: Can BQ Hold It's Ground?
The Bloc Québécois 2025 election campaign faces challenges and opportunities as it seeks to retain strongholds and influence national policy.
electionodds.ca
April 15, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Federal - The French Language debate will start at 6PM ET instead of 8PM, due to the Montreal Canadiens hockey game
April 15, 2025 at 8:55 PM
electionodds.bsky.social
Unelected Prime Ministers in Canada are more common than many realize, with history showing several leaders took office without winning a general election first.

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History of Unelected Prime Ministers in Canada
Unelected Prime Ministers in Canada are more common than many realize with history showing several leaders took office without winning a general election first.
electionodds.ca
April 5, 2025 at 8:01 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
The Liberal Party's "Mark Carney Surge" has transformed Canada’s political landscape, reviving Liberal hopes and reshaping the outlook for the upcoming federal election.

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Mark Carney Liberal Party Surge Shakes Up Election Race
The Mark Carney Liberal Party surge has transformed Canada’s political landscape, reviving Liberal hopes and reshaping the outlook for the upcoming federal election.
electionodds.ca
March 27, 2025 at 6:59 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
The NDP election strategy is facing growing criticism after key seat losses in Ontario's recent election, with analysts pointing to a lack of coordination and adaptation under FPTP.

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Ontario NDP Election Strategy Under Fire After Key Seat Lost
The Ontario NDP election strategy is facing growing criticism after key seat losses, with analysts pointing to a lack of coordination and adaptation under FPTP.
electionodds.ca
March 27, 2025 at 5:51 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Vote splitting in Canada continues to shape election outcomes, often enabling incumbent governments despite a divided opposition and widespread voter dissatisfaction.

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How Vote Splitting in Canada Helps Incumbents Stay In Power
Vote splitting in Canada continues to shape election outcomes, often enabling majority governments despite a divided opposition and voter dissatisfaction.
electionodds.ca
March 27, 2025 at 4:48 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Strategic voting is often promoted as a solution in Canadian elections, but without party cooperation or electoral reform, it rarely delivers meaningful results.

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Why Strategic Voting in Canada Fails Without Electoral Reform - ElectionOdds.ca
Strategic voting in Canada is often promoted as a solution during elections, but without party cooperation or electoral reform, it delivers meaningless results.
electionodds.ca
March 27, 2025 at 4:29 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Doug Ford wins a historic third consecutive majority in the 2025 Ontario election, exceeding expectations and solidifying his leadership in the province.

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Doug Ford Wins Historic Third Term in 2025 Ontario Election
Doug Ford wins a historic third consecutive majority in the 2025 Ontario election, exceeding expectations and solidifying his leadership in the province.
electionodds.ca
February 28, 2025 at 3:26 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
In the Ontario 2025 Election Debate, the four major party leaders clashed over healthcare, housing, and economic policy, exposing Ford’s glaring contradictions while urging unity among opposition parties.

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Ontario 2025 Election Debate: Critical Analysis
Ontario 2025 Election Debate major party leaders clashed over healthcare, housing, and economic policy exposing Ford’s glaring contradictions and urging unity.
electionodds.ca
February 18, 2025 at 2:00 AM
electionodds.bsky.social
Mark Carney leads the next Liberal Party leader odds as Chrystia Freeland positions herself toward fiscal conservatism.

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Next Liberal Party Leader Odds: Mark Carney Leads
Mark Carney leads the next Liberal Party leader odds as Chrystia Freeland positions herself toward fiscal conservatism. See the latest contenders and odds.
electionodds.ca
December 17, 2024 at 9:35 PM
electionodds.bsky.social
Romania election odds: Călin Georgescu leads as the country prepares for a re-do of its presidential vote amid allegations of foreign interference and turmoil.

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Romania Election Odds: Georgescu Leads in Presidential Re-Do
Romania election odds: Călin Georgescu leads as the country prepares for a re-do of its presidential vote amid allegations of foreign interference and turmoil.
electionodds.ca
December 17, 2024 at 9:35 PM
electionodds.bsky.social
Germany election odds favor the CDU/CSU as snap elections are set for February 2025, following the German government collapse and Olaf Scholz’s confidence vote loss.

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Germany Election Odds: Snap Vote Set for February 2025
Germany election odds favor CDU/CSU as snap elections in February 2025 follow the German government collapse and Olaf Scholz's failed confidence vote.
electionodds.ca
December 17, 2024 at 9:35 PM
electionodds.bsky.social
South Korea political crisis deepens as President Yoon faces impeachment. The Constitutional Court’s decision could trigger early elections in 2025.

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South Korea Political Crisis: Yoon Impeached, Future Unclear
South Korea political crisis deepens as President Yoon faces impeachment. The Constitutional Court's decision could trigger early elections in 2025.
electionodds.ca
December 17, 2024 at 9:35 PM
electionodds.bsky.social
French government collapse: Michel Barnier’s administration falls after historic no-confidence vote, marking France’s first such upheaval since 1962.

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French Government Collapse: Confidence Vote Topples Barnier
French government collapse: Michel Barnier's administration falls after historic no-confidence vote, marking France's first such upheaval since 1962.
electionodds.ca
December 17, 2024 at 9:34 PM