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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · 21d

"Assisting the vote? Disability as a cost of voting" is now out at Electoral Studies www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Assisting the vote? Disability as a cost of voting

Tens of millions of voting-eligible Americans live with disabilities, many of whom need a form of assistance when casting ballots. Drawing on publicly…

www.sciencedirect.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Aug 29

open.substack.com/pub/election...

"Welcome to the Free State of Florida"

In-Migration and Rising Republicanism in the Sunshine State

open.substack.com

daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Aug 22

open.substack.com/pub/election...

News Flash: Restricting Voter Registration Activities Deters Voters from Registering

Voter Registration Crisis in Florida

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Aug 19

open.substack.com/pub/election...

Trump and Mail Voting

Haven't we heard this before?

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Jul 13

Continue to be awed by my old man, now in his 90th year, Emeritus prof at Penn State, who founded the field of sport history. Walter Byers and the NCAA | University of Tennessee Press share.google/8aBlmclCEJhC...

Walter Byers and the NCAA | University of Tennessee Press

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 30

To all those who celebrate #InternationalJazzDay a little of George Gershwin's Embraceable You by Jim Snidero and friends at the Bird's Eye Jazz Club in Basel

daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 22

Now out at State Politics and Policy Quarterly www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Not a Teammate and Not a Fan: Probing the Identities of Unaffiliated Registered Voters | State Politics & Policy Quarterly | Cambridge Core

Not a Teammate and Not a Fan: Probing the Identities of Unaffiliated Registered Voters - Volume 25 Issue 2

www.cambridge.org

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 20

Was quite enjoyable, tbh....

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 14

In light of the latest ICE crackdown in Miami, I’m ungating my Substack analysis from a couple weeks ago on the support for Trump in Doral. open.substack.com/pub/election...

As the Miami Herald reports, "Doral, Miami-Dade’s Venezuelan stronghold, to empower cops in Trump immigration crackdown"

At least one-in-seven registered voters in Doral, a Trump stronghold, were born in Venezuela.

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 1

open.substack.com/pub/election...

Which Precinct in Doral is the Trumpiest?

At least one-in-seven registered voters in Doral, a Trump stronghold, were born in Venezuela.

open.substack.com

daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Apr 1

May have time this summer to dig into this Q some more. open.substack.com/pub/election...

Nearly 1/5 Miami-Dade voters were born in Cuba and 57% are Republicans. Nearly 82% of GOP Cuba-born U.S. citizens voted in the 2024 GE.

With the recent revocation by the Trump Administration of the humanitarian parole program, hundreds-of-thousands of Cubans legally in the U.S. face deportation. Will these actions erode Cuban-American...

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 28

open.substack.com/pub/election...

Which Precinct in Doral is the Trumpiest?

At least one-in-seven registered voters in Doral, a Trump stronghold, were born in Venezuela.

open.substack.com

1

daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 28

open.substack.com/pub/election...

Nearly 1/5 Miami-Dade voters were born in Cuba and 57% are Republicans. Nearly 82% of GOP Cuba-born U.S. citizens voted in the 2024 GE.

With the recent revocation by the Trump Administration of the humanitarian parole program, hundreds-of-thousands of Cubans legally in the U.S. face deportation. Will these actions erode Cuban-American...

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 28

Hey, this looks familiar! Be sure to check it out!

Figure 1. Predicted probabilities for registering NPA/Unaffiliated by strength of partisanship.

Note: Predicted probabilities generated from the estimates in the Florida and North Carolina models in Table 2.

daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 26

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 26

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 26

Congratulations, Michael Wines, on your retirement from the @nytimes.com. And thank you for breaking this bellwether story back in 2021 on the crackdown on faculty free speech at UF. www.nytimes.com/2021/10/29/u...

Florida Bars State Professors From Testifying in Voting Rights Case (Published 2021)

After being hired as expert witnesses for groups opposing a restrictive voting law, three University of Florida academics were told they could not participate in the lawsuit against the state.

www.nytimes.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 26

electionsmith.substack.com/p/what-do-we...

What do we know about Cuba-born registered voters in South Florida?

With the recent revocation by the Trump Administration of the humanitarian parole program, hundreds-of-thousands of Cubans legally in the U.S. face deportation

electionsmith.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 24

"Federal authorities in South Florida have recently detained at least 18 Cubans."
My next Substack post for subscribers will be a deep dive into changes in party registration & turnout of the more than 460K Cuban-born registered voters in FL, 305K in Miami-Dade

www.miamiherald.com/news/local/i...

‘Deport every person under the sun’: ICE detains Cubans during immigration appointments

Beatriz Monteagudo and Laura de la Caridad Sanchez are two Cuban women detained by ICE after routine appointments in Miramar. More than a dozen others were also possibly detained.

www.miamiherald.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 21

open.substack.com/pub/election...

Will the deportation of Venezuelans affect the party registrations of Doral voters?

At least one-in-seven registered voters in Doral, a Trump stronghold, were born in Venezuela.

open.substack.com

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 20

And also pleased to see this decision by a Federal District Court Judge in Ohio concerning the rights of citizens to amend the state constitution via the initiative process. Several direct democracy scholars and I submitted an amicus brief on behalf of the plaintiffs. electionlawblog.org?p=149008

Federal court finds Ohio's "fair and truthful" review of ballot initiatives runs afoul of Anderson-Burdick #ELB

Decision in Brown v. Yost, stayed pending appeal to the Sixth Circuit: Citizens of Ohio have the power to amend the state constitution. Proponents of an amendment must follow a process that culminates...

electionlawblog.org

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daniel a. smith @electionsmith.bsky.social · Mar 20

Highlighting some good news on the legal front. Proud to have served as an expert for the HAUL plaintiffs, working with the amazing attorneys at NAACP LDF, to successfully challenge SB 1 in TX. www.naacpldf.org/press-releas...