Elizabeth
@elizajody.bsky.social
4.6K followers 6K following 610 posts
Social justice, science, climate & equality. Stand up for democracy! NO DM Here for latest COVID info 💖 Bewitched ✨ Random acts of kindness 🗝 to happiness Mel Torme, Jamiroquai, Monkey House, Harry Connick Jr, Cake Ceraunophile. She/her.
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elizajody.bsky.social
Smart to test, but it is encouraging that entero/rhinovirus is exploding right now so there's a chance it's that and not Covid. Hope kiddo feels better soon.
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update October 3, 2025.

Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 8.6
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.2
Entero/Rhinovirus 19.8
Parainfluenza 1.7

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update October 3, 2025.

Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 8.6
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.2
Entero/Rhinovirus 19.8
Parainfluenza 1.7
elizajody.bsky.social
@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty and crew. COVID forecast for Ontario: September 27 - October 10, 2025.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...
Ontario: 1 in 62 infected with Covid. Wear an N95 mask and update your vaccine.
elizajody.bsky.social
@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty. COVID forecast for Canada: September 13 - 26, 2025.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...
Ontario (September 13-26, 2025) forecast: about 1 in 73 infected.
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 26, 2025.

Covid & Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 9.2
Flu 0.5
RSV 0.3
Entero/Rhinovirus 16.9
Parainfluenza 2.3

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 26, 2025.

Covid & Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 9.2
Flu 0.5
RSV 0.3
Entero/Rhinovirus 16.9
Parainfluenza 2.3 Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 26, 2025.

Covid & Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 9.2
Flu 0.5
RSV 0.3
Entero/Rhinovirus 16.9
Parainfluenza 2.3
elizajody.bsky.social
Masks are the best first line of defence against Covid. No reason to stop masking after you get your booster. The vaccine only helps prevent serious illness. It's not great at preventing illness.

Well done on keeping your housemates safe! Glad you're feeling better.
elizajody.bsky.social
Absolutely. One thing the US is doing right is rolling them out now.
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 19, 2025.

Covid & Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 9.0
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 12.1
Parainfluenza 1.9

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 19, 2025.

Covid & Entero/Rhino ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 9.0
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 12.1
Parainfluenza 1.9
elizajody.bsky.social
October 27. End of October. Just like last year. 🙄😟

Check with your local pharmacy beginning in early/mid October. They might give it ahead of schedule. Mine did, because they had lots and uptake was low. Give the highest risk people a chance to be first in line and then go. Never hurts to ask.
elizajody.bsky.social
Vaccine availability in Ontario. Free.

Everyone 6 months of age and older who lives, works or goes to school in Ontario may receive their COVID-19 vaccine starting on October 27, 2025.

Some may receive your COVID-19 vaccine dose(s) and flu shot as soon as they become available in the fall.
COVID‑19 vaccines
Learn about Ontario’s COVID-19 vaccination program and how to book a vaccine.
www.ontario.ca
elizajody.bsky.social
If you stopped masking, now is the time to start again.

Masks: best defence against infection.

Vaccines reduce illness severity.

Antivirals (Paxlovid) improve symptoms.

Wear a well fitted N95 indoors & in crowds. You won't regret avoiding an airborne virus, especially one as nasty as Covid.
moriartylab.bsky.social
The national overview for the Canadian COVID forecast can be found here:

bsky.app/profile/mori...
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none

About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted by Elizabeth
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 13-26, 2025

ONTARIO

VERY HIGH (no change)

About 1 in every 73 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~9X higher
-Hospitalizations ~16X higher
-Deaths ~17X higher
This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between September 13-26, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Ontario’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 14.9
About 1 of every 73 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 240,950-425,700
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: VERY HIGH; 12.1X higher
Long COVID estimate:  HIGH; 8.9X higher
Hospitalizations, ICU: SEVERE; 15.5X higher
Deaths: SEVERE; 17.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places

Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Reposted by Elizabeth
moriartylab.bsky.social
WHAT'S NEW THIS WEEK?

Waste water and test positivity rate data from mid-late August were reported this week.

All Canadian provinces are experiencing a large wave of infections.

Some may have peaked already, although we need another couple of weeks of data to determine this.
Reposted by Elizabeth
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none

About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the September 13-26, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:

Canada: 13.4 - VERY HIGH
Alberta: 14.8 - VERY HIGH 
British Columbia: 14.1 - VERY HIGH 
Manitoba: 14.4 - VERY HIGH 
New Brunswick: 14.6 - VERY HIGH 
Newfoundland and Labrador: 15.8 - SEVERE
North: 14.1 - VERY HIGH 
Nova Scotia: 14.7 - VERY HIGH 
Ontario: 14.9 - VERY HIGH 
Prince Edward Island: 15.6 - SEVERE
Quebec: 9.8 - HIGH
Saskatchewan: 15.1 - SEVERE  

A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category, there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15, red)."
elizajody.bsky.social
Amazing! The colouring reminds of Endora, from my favourite show Bewitched!
Reposted by Elizabeth
keithmuise.bsky.social
keithmuise.bsky.social
Getting Wild for Covid Awareness.

Want to help me stay in the advocacy game? $5 goes a long way.

I want helping people, and educating others to be more than a dream. That’s my goal.

gofund.me/f1f07602

#health #sick #kids #teacher #backtoschool #mentalhealth I
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 12, 2025.

Jump in Covid ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 8.4
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 8.9
Parainfluenza 2.0

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 12, 2025.

Jump in Covid ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 8.4
Flu 0.4
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 8.9
Parainfluenza 2
Reposted by Elizabeth
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 5, 2025.

Percent positivity
Covid 5.7
Flu 0.3
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 7.1
Parainfluenza 2.2

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick all help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update September 5, 2025.

Percent positivity
Covid 5.7
Flu 0.3
RSV 0.1
Entero/Rhinovirus 7.1
Parainfluenza 2.2
elizajody.bsky.social
Oh I've heard about it. Everyone is furious with that stunt. The race to the bottom! Alberta wins while Albertans lose.
elizajody.bsky.social
Interesting as in disturbing! It always contributes to more cases. Clean air is not a priority. 😢

Rates are increasing everywhere. Stay safe dear Sheila!
Reposted by Elizabeth
Reposted by Elizabeth
elizajody.bsky.social
@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty. COVID forecast for Canada: August 3- September 12, 2025.

Significantly higher than last period.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...
August 30 to September 12, 2025. Ontario about 1 in 74 people infected. Update your vaccines and wear an N95 mask.
elizajody.bsky.social
@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty. COVID forecast for Canada: August 3- September 12, 2025.

Significantly higher than last period.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...
August 30 to September 12, 2025. Ontario about 1 in 74 people infected. Update your vaccines and wear an N95 mask.
elizajody.bsky.social
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update August 29, 2025.

Covid ⬆️

Percent positivity
Covid 5.7
Flu 0.2
RSV 0.2
Entero/Rhinovirus 8.1
Parainfluenza 3.3

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick all help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...
Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update August 29, 2025.

Percent positivity
Covid 5.7
Flu 0.2
RSV 0.2
Entero/Rhinovirus 8.1
Parainfluenza 3.3