emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi
@emadbadi.bsky.social
390 followers 81 following 19 posts
Eyes on #Libya, MENA geopolitics & security.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
yezidsayigh.bsky.social
Yezid Sayigh @yezidsayigh.bsky.social · Jul 15
Huge kudos to @data.ft.com for putting together this forensic mapping of the utter vileness of the Israel-US "Gaza Humanitarian Foundation"

Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ www.ft.com/content/6c74... via @data.ft.com
Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’
A US-backed scheme forces hungry Palestinians to trek kilometres for food aid. Many never make it back
www.ft.com
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · Jun 11
This long-form piece reflects on 5 years of Turkish involvement in Libya, tracing Ankara’s interventions at key political junctures - most recently downing a GNU-launched drone to halt its offensive.

It examines how Turkey is recalibrating its role - and to what end.
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · Jun 11
My latest, with a view from the ground in #Tripoli: Ankara’s quiet intervention to rein in the GNU reveals a deeper shift - from assertive influence to cautious containment - as #Turkey recalibrates its role in an increasingly unstable capital.
Still in the Game: Ankara’s Quiet Pivot in Libya - A View from Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Tripoli, the evening of June 4, 2025. Around sundown, I stood on the corniche of Treeg al-Shat near the Waddan Hotel, watching as a convoy of armored pickups moved hastily toward the Radisson Blu “al-...
emadbadi.com
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
newlinesmag.bsky.social
New Lines Magazine @newlinesmag.bsky.social · May 29
A failed power grab has eroded trust and deepened rivalries, leaving Tripoli in a state of suspended conflict primed for renewed violence, write @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social‬ for @newlinesmag.bsky.social
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
profazio.bsky.social
Umberto Profazio @profazio.bsky.social · May 29
'With trust eroded and rivalries deepened, #Tripoli is in a state of suspended conflict, primed for renewed violence.' @emadbadi.bsky.social @wlacher.bsky.social @newlinesmag.bsky.social #Libya

newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
3 4
Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
allisonrwest.bsky.social
Allison West @allisonrwest.bsky.social · May 29
Excellent, must-read analysis of unfolding events in Libya by @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social 👇
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 28
After a gambit by #Libya's Dabeiba to consolidate control in #Tripoli backfired, the capital has entered a state of suspended conflict - a tenuous standoff unlikely to hold.

In our latest @newlinesmag.bsky.social , @wlacher.bsky.social & I trace the breakdown, aftermath, & potential paths forward.
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
5 6
Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
hanansalah.bsky.social
Hanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · May 28
Excellent review and analysis of the recent fighting and shifting power dynamics in #Tripoli #Libya

@wlacher.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 28
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
4 6
Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 28
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
7 14
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 28
After a gambit by #Libya's Dabeiba to consolidate control in #Tripoli backfired, the capital has entered a state of suspended conflict - a tenuous standoff unlikely to hold.

In our latest @newlinesmag.bsky.social , @wlacher.bsky.social & I trace the breakdown, aftermath, & potential paths forward.
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
2 6
Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
aronlund.bsky.social
Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · May 26
Haaretz’s Yaniv Kubovich reports that Israel plans to seize 75% of Gaza and relocate more than 1,3 million Palestinians in the upcoming offensive, ultimately forcing the entire population into three military zones with food supplies strictly controlled by GHF/Israel. www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
realwildangel.bsky.social
René Wildangel @realwildangel.bsky.social · May 22
Literally every experienced humanitarian or medical professional coming out of Gaza says:
„this is the worst I have seen, anywhere, anytime“
bbcnewsnight.bsky.social
BBC Newsnight @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social · May 20
“It’s the worst I’ve ever seen it in Gaza.”

British surgeon Dr Victoria Rose tells @vicderbyshire.bsky.social about the current situation at Nasser Hospital in Khan Younis, Gaza, adding: “there are more patients coming through the door than I have ever witnessed before.”

#Newsnight
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 21
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake.

International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
In Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of Militias
A recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset.
mecouncil.org
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
hanansalah.bsky.social
Hanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · May 15
Granular analysis of events unfolding in Tripoli, Libya.
recommend reading ⬇️
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.

It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.

emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
emadbadi.com
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 14
Precious analysis of events in Tripoli over the past 24 hours, by @emadbadi.bsky.social
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
emadbadi.com
4 5
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.

It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.

emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
emadbadi.com
3 6
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
Overnight, a Zawiyan coalition incl Mohamed Bahroun al-Far, Mohamed Sifaw, Othman Lhab, Busriba units, & Mahmoud Ben Rjab advanced toward Siyahiya, & may clash w/ Zintani forces.

Driven by fears of marginalization, the move aims to ease pressure on SDF & divide GNU's forces.
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
Later today, the 111 Brigade, Joint Force, & 444 Brigade are expected to regroup & launch a coordinated push to confine the SDF to its stronghold in Sug al-Jumaa.

A decision to militarily overtake Sug al-Jumaa - densely populated & symbolically significant - would be perilous.
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
Early this morning, the Special Deterrence Force (SDF) and Judicial Security launched a successful counteroffensive against disorganized GNU-aligned forces in southern Tripoli, deploying retrofitted commercial drones & drone-assisted targeting to hit key 444 Brigade positions
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · May 14
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare.

The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 13
For an excellent analysis of Ghnewa's rise, see this @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social paper written under a pseudonym by
@emadbadi.bsky.social - Emad outed himself as the author last night.
www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/pol...
A Political Economy of Tripoli’s Abu Salim: The Rise of the Stability Support Apparatus as Hegemon
Once a hotbed of pro-Qaddafi resistance, Abu Salim is now a stronghold dominated by Abdelghani al-Kikli (widely known as ‘Ghaniwa’) and his Stability Support Apparatus (SSA). Ghaniwa has consolidated ...
www.smallarmssurvey.org
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 7
And you know who is in no position to comment on these plans? The EU and its member states, who have been seeking to trap migrants in Libya for the past eight years.
wlacher.bsky.social
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · May 7
If the first deportation flight to Libya does leave today, we will find out which of the two rival ruling families the Trump administration has reached a deal with. It's most likely the Haftars, believing they can handle the negative public reaction this will trigger.
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/06/u...
Trump Administration Plans to Send Migrants to Libya on a Military Flight
www.nytimes.com
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
maitelsadany.bsky.social
Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · Apr 21
Heartbroken at the passing of Pope Francis, a man who may not have been perfect but who consistently used his immense platform and his influence not only to say what was right in the face of political power, but also to model the behavior that brought those words to life. (1)
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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
natasha-iilov.bsky.social
natasha iilov @natasha-iilov.bsky.social · Apr 16
Excellent recap of the recent crisis in the Libyan economy

short, concise, and well done. Please give it a read
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · Apr 16
My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.
Solving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensus
If the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
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emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · Apr 16
My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.
Solving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensus
If the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
6 11
emadbadi.bsky.social
Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · Apr 6
In one world, Libya's Central Bank begs for help - calling out graft, diverted oil revenues, and wild spending that's sinking Libya; all while passing policy that makes ordinary people foot the bill.

In another world, Libya is “stable” and “open for business.”

Only one of these worlds is real.
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