Epx
@epx362.bsky.social
You are right that storages are not the full picture but their NEW production (not refurbishment) is very low. Also, partner countries usually don’t have the numbers required for this war. Doesn’t mean they will have 0 tanks but it will become a major limiting factor. youtu.be/TzR8BacYS6U?...
Russian Equipment Reserves (2024) - Production, Losses & Storage Depletion
YouTube video by Perun
youtu.be
December 17, 2024 at 8:32 AM
You are right that storages are not the full picture but their NEW production (not refurbishment) is very low. Also, partner countries usually don’t have the numbers required for this war. Doesn’t mean they will have 0 tanks but it will become a major limiting factor. youtu.be/TzR8BacYS6U?...
Maybe they don’t care about infantry but the equipment storages are nearing critical levels.
December 17, 2024 at 7:39 AM
Maybe they don’t care about infantry but the equipment storages are nearing critical levels.
No realistic chance they could hope to project enough power right now to hold those bases. They bases lose their effectiveness once they are in arty and drone range and they can’t defend such a long front while deployed in Ukraine.
December 6, 2024 at 8:12 PM
No realistic chance they could hope to project enough power right now to hold those bases. They bases lose their effectiveness once they are in arty and drone range and they can’t defend such a long front while deployed in Ukraine.
Uz praveze prakticky ziadne. Aj ich namorna zakladna je prazdna lebo je im asi celkom jasne co sa bude diat. bsky.app/profile/mtan...
🇷🇺Khmeimim Air Base🇷🇺
50cm 📷 from the air base down the coast from 🇸🇾Latakia (3 Dec 2024)
Looking pretty deserted... Only 5 aircraft visible and none located on the apron typically used by RuAF
Note: When looking back at Sentinel 2, this apron is sometimes empty so not conclusive of an evacuation
50cm 📷 from the air base down the coast from 🇸🇾Latakia (3 Dec 2024)
Looking pretty deserted... Only 5 aircraft visible and none located on the apron typically used by RuAF
Note: When looking back at Sentinel 2, this apron is sometimes empty so not conclusive of an evacuation
December 4, 2024 at 8:26 AM
Uz praveze prakticky ziadne. Aj ich namorna zakladna je prazdna lebo je im asi celkom jasne co sa bude diat. bsky.app/profile/mtan...
That is also certainly a major contributing factor because it exploits uninformed and unmotivated (politically) people
November 27, 2024 at 4:49 PM
That is also certainly a major contributing factor because it exploits uninformed and unmotivated (politically) people
Unfortunately authoritarian populism is on the rise across Europe & US. I attribute it to weak leaders like Scholz & Biden (and others)
November 27, 2024 at 4:06 PM
Unfortunately authoritarian populism is on the rise across Europe & US. I attribute it to weak leaders like Scholz & Biden (and others)
Not all of us, there is a sizeable opposition but his coalition leads a slight majority in parliament currently.
November 27, 2024 at 3:21 PM
Not all of us, there is a sizeable opposition but his coalition leads a slight majority in parliament currently.
Some recon groups managed to get into city outskirts but got cleared. Obviously the situation is not great since Synkivka got taken over.
November 26, 2024 at 9:53 AM
Some recon groups managed to get into city outskirts but got cleared. Obviously the situation is not great since Synkivka got taken over.
Occupiers in the van got incredibly lucky
November 21, 2024 at 3:31 PM
Occupiers in the van got incredibly lucky
It is dumb and probably only used like this for optics.
November 20, 2024 at 2:32 PM
It is dumb and probably only used like this for optics.
You still have to account for time it takes to track and launch interceptors. Sure, your interceptors don't need to "catch up" but it still poses a challenge the higher the velocity.
November 20, 2024 at 1:23 PM
You still have to account for time it takes to track and launch interceptors. Sure, your interceptors don't need to "catch up" but it still poses a challenge the higher the velocity.
You are right but I still think this is in a different league because an X-47M2 is aeroballistic and can be tracked from pretty far. I don't think Ukraine has the capability to track an ICBM reentry payload which comes in at a very steep angle leaving little to no time to even fire interceptors.
November 20, 2024 at 12:34 PM
You are right but I still think this is in a different league because an X-47M2 is aeroballistic and can be tracked from pretty far. I don't think Ukraine has the capability to track an ICBM reentry payload which comes in at a very steep angle leaving little to no time to even fire interceptors.
True, fwiw I don't think this will happen but there is definitely something afoot today as even US and other countries' embassies closed.
November 20, 2024 at 11:56 AM
True, fwiw I don't think this will happen but there is definitely something afoot today as even US and other countries' embassies closed.
Yes, but even with THAAD I'd be a pretty tough engagement profile. ICBM reentry payloads usually come in at about 25 000 km/h.
November 20, 2024 at 11:55 AM
Yes, but even with THAAD I'd be a pretty tough engagement profile. ICBM reentry payloads usually come in at about 25 000 km/h.
Patriot unfortunately is not designed to shoot down ICBMs so it is extremely unlikely to be able to do it. The reentry payload travels way too fast at a steep angle. I'm not an expert but this is my understanding.
November 20, 2024 at 11:51 AM
Patriot unfortunately is not designed to shoot down ICBMs so it is extremely unlikely to be able to do it. The reentry payload travels way too fast at a steep angle. I'm not an expert but this is my understanding.
Conventional warhead most likely. Probably the closest to threathening actual ICBM nuclear strike a country could get to without actually using a nuke.
November 20, 2024 at 11:49 AM
Conventional warhead most likely. Probably the closest to threathening actual ICBM nuclear strike a country could get to without actually using a nuke.
It is literally and ICBM usually carrying MiRV or Hypersonic Glide Vehicle but could also have a conventional warhead.
November 20, 2024 at 11:45 AM
It is literally and ICBM usually carrying MiRV or Hypersonic Glide Vehicle but could also have a conventional warhead.
Meanwhile some western leaders "condemn" escalation and withhold needed systems.
November 16, 2024 at 8:33 PM
Meanwhile some western leaders "condemn" escalation and withhold needed systems.
That is order of magnitude more accurate than current worn out Russian barrels.
November 14, 2024 at 4:46 PM
That is order of magnitude more accurate than current worn out Russian barrels.
using fpv drones on wounded men (vast majority do have weapons, too) is not a war crime idk what you're talking about.
November 14, 2024 at 9:33 AM
using fpv drones on wounded men (vast majority do have weapons, too) is not a war crime idk what you're talking about.