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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Hampton Gaddy @hggaddy.bsky.social · 12d

LSE and @bspsuk.bsky.social are hosting a workshop on "Being an academic in population studies" on 3 November! It'll be a nice mix of methods training and career advice with great talks by @ericbschneider.bsky.social, Wendy Sigle, José Manuel Aburto, and others!

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Hampton Gaddy @hggaddy.bsky.social · Aug 27

📢 Interested in excess mortality methods, and want a challenge? I'm organising the "One Epidemic, Many Estimates" (1EME) project! Register *now* as a many analyst team (submissions due 15 March 2026), and then join us at LSE for a workshop on 21-22 May 2026! (1/n)

www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...

One Epidemic, Many Estimates (1EME)

www.lse.ac.uk

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

LSE Department of Economic History @lseechist.bsky.social · Aug 27

Join this exciting project at the LSE with @ericbschneider.bsky.social and @hggaddy.bsky.social on mortality estimates 📊

Hampton Gaddy @hggaddy.bsky.social · Aug 27

📢 Interested in excess mortality methods, and want a challenge? I'm organising the "One Epidemic, Many Estimates" (1EME) project! Register *now* as a many analyst team (submissions due 15 March 2026), and then join us at LSE for a workshop on 21-22 May 2026! (1/n)

www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...

One Epidemic, Many Estimates (1EME)

www.lse.ac.uk

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Cambridge Working Papers in Economic and Social History @cwpeconhist.bsky.social · Jun 3

❕New WP from Eric Schneider and Romola Davenport❕
𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐅𝐚𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐩𝐨𝐱?
⬇️

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

🚨 Bottom line: The oft-cited 20–30% CFR for Variola major doesn't hold up across time and place.

We argue for a more nuanced, historically grounded view—context matters.

📄 Read the full paper here: www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...

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www.lse.ac.uk

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

So why is the consensus CFR (20-30%) for endemic smallpox too high?

Three factors likely biased estimates of CFRs upwards:

1) Under-reporting of smallpox cases

2) Positive selection into vaccination after 1796

3) Selection of severe smallpox cases into hospital samples used to estimate CFRs

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

Our findings suggest that smallpox’s lethality wasn’t just about the virus—it was about context.

When adults and children were sick together, there was no one to fetch water, cook food or nurse the sick. High CFRs often reflect crisis conditions, not just the innate virulence of the pathogen.

4/6

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

Why the such different CFRs?

In endemic settings like Sweden, smallpox was a childhood disease and adults very rarely contracted smallpox.

But in Iceland, the epidemic struck a population where both adults and children were susceptible. This raised the CFR dramatically.

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Graph showing that where smallpox was endemic, more than 90% of smallpox deaths occurred to children under age 10. However, where epidemic, smallpox deaths could affect adults.

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

Using high-quality mortality records, we estimate smallpox CFRs in two very different contexts:

📍 18th-century Sweden (endemic smallpox): CFR ~8–10%
📍 1707-9 Iceland smallpox epidemic: CFR ~40–53%

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · May 13

📜 NEW WORKING PAPER 📜

What was the true case fatality rate (CFR) of smallpox?

My new paper with Romola Davenport (Cambridge) revisits this question using 18th-century data from Sweden and Iceland—and challenges the long-held belief that smallpox CFRs were 20–30%.

🧵👇

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Picture of the title and abstract of the paper.

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Mar 17

Really cool to see Jordan describing how the medieval economy worked! He covers interesting questions like: What is a peasant? How market oriented were medieval people? And what role did horses play in the medieval economy?

Jordan Claridge @jordanclaridge.bsky.social · Mar 13

Thanks to the Institute for Economic Affairs for indulging in my ramblings about my recent research!

youtu.be/pXkofabuCBI?...

@lseechist.bsky.social #econhist

How The Black Death Increased Worker's Wages: Medieval England's Economic Revolution | IEA Interview

YouTube video by Institute of Economic Affairs

youtu.be

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Jordan Claridge @jordanclaridge.bsky.social · Mar 13

Thanks to the Institute for Economic Affairs for indulging in my ramblings about my recent research!

youtu.be/pXkofabuCBI?...

@lseechist.bsky.social #econhist

How The Black Death Increased Worker's Wages: Medieval England's Economic Revolution | IEA Interview

YouTube video by Institute of Economic Affairs

youtu.be

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

LSE Department of Economic History @lseechist.bsky.social · Feb 19

📖 Join us for this book talk by Cormac O'Grada tomorrow evening in person or online, discussing the casualties of the World Wars. O'Grada argues that civilian deaths in the two #WorldWars were much higher than previously estimated.
#lse #econhist #WWI #WWII

www.lse.ac.uk/Events/2025/...

The hidden victims: civilian casualties of the two world wars

6.30pm Thurs 20 Feb | Cormac Ó Gráda | Free public event at LSE

www.lse.ac.uk

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · Feb 19

We are now accepting applications for our Annual Workshop on Formal Demography, taking place in-person at UC Berkeley on June 2-6, 2025. Deadline to apply is March 10.

See more information on the workshop and how to apply here: populationsciences.berkeley.edu/wp-content/u...

Please share widely!

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

LSE Department of Economic History @lseechist.bsky.social · Jan 29

@lseechist.bsky.social would be pleased to support suitable applications for the following postdoctoral fellowships beginning in 10/2025. Check the eligibility criteria for the schemes, and if eligible, contact @ericbschneider.bsky.social ([email protected]) to discuss your application 1/3

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Jan 28

Final reminder about this workshop. We are also grateful to have received funding from the economic history society that will help cover accommodation costs for a couple of PhD students. Please apply now!

Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

CFP: Workshop on Health Transitions in the Global South

CFP Deadline 3 February 2025

Workshop 9-10 June 2025 at LSE

Organised by myself and Neil Cummins

Sponsored by the LSE Historical Economic Demography Group

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Jan 20

Just a reminder about this call for papers!

Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

CFP: Workshop on Health Transitions in the Global South

CFP Deadline 3 February 2025

Workshop 9-10 June 2025 at LSE

Organised by myself and Neil Cummins

Sponsored by the LSE Historical Economic Demography Group

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

CFP: Workshop on Health Transitions in the Global South

CFP Deadline 3 February 2025

Workshop 9-10 June 2025 at LSE

Organised by myself and Neil Cummins

Sponsored by the LSE Historical Economic Demography Group

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Reposted by Eric Schneider

eshistdemo.bsky.social @eshistdemo.bsky.social · Jan 11

WE KNOW...YOU ARE THINKING!!

📢Call for Papers 6th Conference of the ESHD #Demography Last Days!

The European Society of Historical Demography is pleased to invite submissions for its 6th Conference, to be held in #Bologna #Italy
10-13 September 2025
👉 eshd2025.eshd.eu

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 16

Just reposting this in case anyone missed it last week. Please submit your work!

#EconSky #histmed #demography #econhist

Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

CFP: Workshop on Health Transitions in the Global South

CFP Deadline 3 February 2025

Workshop 9-10 June 2025 at LSE

Organised by myself and Neil Cummins

Sponsored by the LSE Historical Economic Demography Group

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 15

Would you please add me?

Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

More information will be available shortly at the following link: www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...
And here's a link to the full call for papers: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/6xdff...

Workshops

Historical Demography Workshops hosted by HEDG at LSE

www.lse.ac.uk

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

To apply, submit a 300-500 word abstract using the following link: forms.gle/RaLLP7w129aK...

Submission Form for LSE Workshop on Health Transitions in the Global South

Please fill out the following form by 3 February 2025 to submit a paper to the workshop. Decisions The workshop will be help 9-10 June 2025 at LSE in London. The workshop is sponsored by the LSE His...

forms.gle

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

We hope the workshop will be very interdisciplinary with contributions from economic historians, demographers, development economists and historians of medicine and others. Quantitative and qualitative papers are welcome.

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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.bsky.social · Dec 12

Question like:

1) what explains the heterogeneity in the timing of the health transition across the Global South;

2) how did colonialism shape the health transition in the Global South;

3) what were the main drivers of the health transition in the Global South.

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