Eric Saund
@esaund.bsky.social
Cognitive Architecture, AI, societal function
A solar panel + battery storage app totally gamifies electricity monitoring and usage. One of the most important variables you can control is when to plug in the car. Under a TOU plan, you can leverage the most lucrative rate times.
November 12, 2025 at 12:24 AM
A solar panel + battery storage app totally gamifies electricity monitoring and usage. One of the most important variables you can control is when to plug in the car. Under a TOU plan, you can leverage the most lucrative rate times.
The are all up and down the peninsula on El Camino Real, and venturing into the town streets. No rides yet, but I expect them any day now.
November 11, 2025 at 5:19 AM
The are all up and down the peninsula on El Camino Real, and venturing into the town streets. No rides yet, but I expect them any day now.
Certainly, if there are local bad effects, they should be compensated from global value.
I had seen a claim that data centers actually subsidize the build-out of transmission and distribution infrastructure, A Gemini research query largely contradicts this claim: gemini.google.com/share/06cae6...
I had seen a claim that data centers actually subsidize the build-out of transmission and distribution infrastructure, A Gemini research query largely contradicts this claim: gemini.google.com/share/06cae6...
Gemini - Data Center Energy Costs Research Plan
Created with Gemini
gemini.google.com
November 9, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Certainly, if there are local bad effects, they should be compensated from global value.
I had seen a claim that data centers actually subsidize the build-out of transmission and distribution infrastructure, A Gemini research query largely contradicts this claim: gemini.google.com/share/06cae6...
I had seen a claim that data centers actually subsidize the build-out of transmission and distribution infrastructure, A Gemini research query largely contradicts this claim: gemini.google.com/share/06cae6...
"Stochastic parrot" is an incorrect and archaic characterization, so you should exit that frame if you hold it. These things really do generate novel and creative analyses and syntheses, albeit with jagged edges. They're getting better real fast. That's the bet. And the danger. We're not prepared.
November 9, 2025 at 8:38 AM
"Stochastic parrot" is an incorrect and archaic characterization, so you should exit that frame if you hold it. These things really do generate novel and creative analyses and syntheses, albeit with jagged edges. They're getting better real fast. That's the bet. And the danger. We're not prepared.
Ok. Valuation is a concern about the entire industry, not just OpenAI. The question is, bubble? and of what kind?
IP of published texts is a debatable question. There's a fair argument for fair use. Under any hypothetical payment-for-training-content scheme, the payment per author would be small.
IP of published texts is a debatable question. There's a fair argument for fair use. Under any hypothetical payment-for-training-content scheme, the payment per author would be small.
November 9, 2025 at 8:38 AM
Ok. Valuation is a concern about the entire industry, not just OpenAI. The question is, bubble? and of what kind?
IP of published texts is a debatable question. There's a fair argument for fair use. Under any hypothetical payment-for-training-content scheme, the payment per author would be small.
IP of published texts is a debatable question. There's a fair argument for fair use. Under any hypothetical payment-for-training-content scheme, the payment per author would be small.
The water and energy are trivial in comparison to potential value.
As for value/valuation, there is reason for skepticism. But to discount their value entirely is way out of the ballpark. The impact generative AI is having on the world is quite profound (for better and sometimes for worse).
As for value/valuation, there is reason for skepticism. But to discount their value entirely is way out of the ballpark. The impact generative AI is having on the world is quite profound (for better and sometimes for worse).
November 9, 2025 at 8:13 AM
The water and energy are trivial in comparison to potential value.
As for value/valuation, there is reason for skepticism. But to discount their value entirely is way out of the ballpark. The impact generative AI is having on the world is quite profound (for better and sometimes for worse).
As for value/valuation, there is reason for skepticism. But to discount their value entirely is way out of the ballpark. The impact generative AI is having on the world is quite profound (for better and sometimes for worse).
This company offers very capable responses to prompts. These can be *extremely* useful, depending on implementation context and use case. Your posts's replies reflect astounding ignorance about what LLMs can be good for. Look outside of the bubble. Read ars-technica and some trade pubs.
November 9, 2025 at 8:13 AM
This company offers very capable responses to prompts. These can be *extremely* useful, depending on implementation context and use case. Your posts's replies reflect astounding ignorance about what LLMs can be good for. Look outside of the bubble. Read ars-technica and some trade pubs.
At the tire store the other day I looked for something---anything!---that modern day AI could help with--let alone replace the person. The one thing: entering my job info into the computer could have been shortened by about 2 minutes. Certainly none of the physical labor. Cust. relations? No.
November 6, 2025 at 10:10 PM
At the tire store the other day I looked for something---anything!---that modern day AI could help with--let alone replace the person. The one thing: entering my job info into the computer could have been shortened by about 2 minutes. Certainly none of the physical labor. Cust. relations? No.
Please, let's not take us all back to 2020. The wokeness era was a social, cultural and political loser that totally backfired and we are paying the price now. How about returning to liberal values: equality of opportunity, merit, level playing field, safety net, bootstraps for the disadvantaged.
November 6, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Please, let's not take us all back to 2020. The wokeness era was a social, cultural and political loser that totally backfired and we are paying the price now. How about returning to liberal values: equality of opportunity, merit, level playing field, safety net, bootstraps for the disadvantaged.
The framing of this article is really not helpful. The landscape is not one-dimensional progressive--moderate--MAGA. Rejection of MAGA abhorrences does not mean embrace of wokeness.
November 5, 2025 at 8:22 PM
The framing of this article is really not helpful. The landscape is not one-dimensional progressive--moderate--MAGA. Rejection of MAGA abhorrences does not mean embrace of wokeness.
Acolytes will wake up every morning and sign into their secure app to hear their very own private "Donald's daily message to <name>". Open information sources will be suspect, and overridden. A key feature of the human mind is, reinforced belief trumps reality. Art of the con, indeed.
October 16, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Acolytes will wake up every morning and sign into their secure app to hear their very own private "Donald's daily message to <name>". Open information sources will be suspect, and overridden. A key feature of the human mind is, reinforced belief trumps reality. Art of the con, indeed.
Everyone will have the means to synthesize phony Big Trump content. Not just the power struggle within MAGA, but outside grifters and scammers, Putin and Xi. To suppress this noise, the base will be captured by two things that can win trust: 1. channel lock; 2. personalization.
October 16, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Everyone will have the means to synthesize phony Big Trump content. Not just the power struggle within MAGA, but outside grifters and scammers, Putin and Xi. To suppress this noise, the base will be captured by two things that can win trust: 1. channel lock; 2. personalization.
You are neglecting that generative AI allows synthesis. You can make the avatar say whatever you want.
October 16, 2025 at 4:30 PM
You are neglecting that generative AI allows synthesis. You can make the avatar say whatever you want.
www.saund.org/private/llm-...
Interestingly, Anthropic put out some work along these lines last March, also using rhyming as the model for lookahead.
www.anthropic.com/research/tra...
Interestingly, Anthropic put out some work along these lines last March, also using rhyming as the model for lookahead.
www.anthropic.com/research/tra...
www.saund.org
October 8, 2025 at 3:42 PM
www.saund.org/private/llm-...
Interestingly, Anthropic put out some work along these lines last March, also using rhyming as the model for lookahead.
www.anthropic.com/research/tra...
Interestingly, Anthropic put out some work along these lines last March, also using rhyming as the model for lookahead.
www.anthropic.com/research/tra...
Exactly! The National Guard is *not* ICE. The right thing to do is go out and talk to these people. Sympathize and listen. Tell them thanks, but we really don't need you here. We wish you could go home too. Wave a Lone Star flag as a gesture of friendship.
October 8, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Exactly! The National Guard is *not* ICE. The right thing to do is go out and talk to these people. Sympathize and listen. Tell them thanks, but we really don't need you here. We wish you could go home too. Wave a Lone Star flag as a gesture of friendship.
I think a good name for this is cantilever. The intermediate layers hold abstractions that enable lookahead so the token that gets output now is aligned with what might come later. LMK if you'd like the full slide deck.
October 7, 2025 at 10:37 PM
I think a good name for this is cantilever. The intermediate layers hold abstractions that enable lookahead so the token that gets output now is aligned with what might come later. LMK if you'd like the full slide deck.
Unlike ICE goons, the National Guard folks have day jobs and signed up to serve the country. They do not want to be deployed to police some other state. Blue will not win by painting ALL of Red America as mortal enemy. We have to appeal to common values of the persuadable, e.g. in Nat. Guard.
October 6, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Unlike ICE goons, the National Guard folks have day jobs and signed up to serve the country. They do not want to be deployed to police some other state. Blue will not win by painting ALL of Red America as mortal enemy. We have to appeal to common values of the persuadable, e.g. in Nat. Guard.
The Texas troops are proud Texans and United States citizens. Will Illinois folks be savvy enough to march with Lone Star flags and *talk* to them about state sovereignty as brothers and sisters in the nation? Or just yell at them and reinforce the red/blue divide?
October 6, 2025 at 4:32 AM
The Texas troops are proud Texans and United States citizens. Will Illinois folks be savvy enough to march with Lone Star flags and *talk* to them about state sovereignty as brothers and sisters in the nation? Or just yell at them and reinforce the red/blue divide?
Exactly! This is speculation but I'd love to see reporting: The reason right wing extremist attacks are down this year is that these thugs have joined ICE. If that job disappears, then where will they discharge their grievances? We will need to create make-work programs for them.
October 5, 2025 at 7:03 AM
Exactly! This is speculation but I'd love to see reporting: The reason right wing extremist attacks are down this year is that these thugs have joined ICE. If that job disappears, then where will they discharge their grievances? We will need to create make-work programs for them.
Um, thanks for the news. What if you're old, though? Is it okay then?
October 5, 2025 at 6:06 AM
Um, thanks for the news. What if you're old, though? Is it okay then?
In the human mind, anticipation ties expectation with emotional valence and goals. So, yes, necessary but not sufficient.
October 5, 2025 at 3:19 AM
In the human mind, anticipation ties expectation with emotional valence and goals. So, yes, necessary but not sufficient.
Sir, I appreciate many of your posts, but your volume today is very heavy and is crowding out other voices on my feed. I am just one follower, but I would vote for elevating the threshold just a bit.
October 2, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Sir, I appreciate many of your posts, but your volume today is very heavy and is crowding out other voices on my feed. I am just one follower, but I would vote for elevating the threshold just a bit.