Vill-V
@esnneyd.bsky.social
yes, 7% for Greens and 5% for Lib Dems
January 16, 2026 at 9:14 AM
yes, 7% for Greens and 5% for Lib Dems
Everyone seems to agree that the Tories are between 18-21%
January 14, 2026 at 9:12 AM
Everyone seems to agree that the Tories are between 18-21%
It depends how they vote, which is largely unknown, any insight we have gotten was months back (Pre Green Surge)
January 13, 2026 at 2:15 PM
It depends how they vote, which is largely unknown, any insight we have gotten was months back (Pre Green Surge)
No, all just have 18 and above, if they did its unlikely to massively alter anything drastically
January 13, 2026 at 2:06 PM
No, all just have 18 and above, if they did its unlikely to massively alter anything drastically
Bradford West, Leicester South, Birmingham Perry Barr and Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
January 13, 2026 at 1:55 PM
Bradford West, Leicester South, Birmingham Perry Barr and Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
he is unpopular, its just if the Left had to pick between him and Farage, which both are horrendous to them, they would generally prefer starmer (still seen as horrendous, but marginally better)
January 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM
he is unpopular, its just if the Left had to pick between him and Farage, which both are horrendous to them, they would generally prefer starmer (still seen as horrendous, but marginally better)
You don't need to be popular for your party to be leading in the polls,, Reform may be leading in the polls but they are only on like 29-30% (average), it also helps that the Left (Labour, Greens and Lib Dems, who all uniformly hate Farage and Reform) are extreme fractured
January 12, 2026 at 12:39 PM
You don't need to be popular for your party to be leading in the polls,, Reform may be leading in the polls but they are only on like 29-30% (average), it also helps that the Left (Labour, Greens and Lib Dems, who all uniformly hate Farage and Reform) are extreme fractured
Bridgemary: Lib Dem Hold or Reform gain
Heworth: Labour Hold or Green Gain
Heworth: Labour Hold or Green Gain
January 12, 2026 at 10:10 AM
Bridgemary: Lib Dem Hold or Reform gain
Heworth: Labour Hold or Green Gain
Heworth: Labour Hold or Green Gain
The public yearn for a Farage-Polanski government
January 8, 2026 at 12:25 PM
The public yearn for a Farage-Polanski government
Prediction
Greenlands (Reform Gain)
St Columb Minor & Colan (Reform Hold)
Market Harborough Logan (Conservative Gain)
Broad Oak (Lib dem hold)
Pakefield (Reform Gain)
Greenlands (Reform Gain)
St Columb Minor & Colan (Reform Hold)
Market Harborough Logan (Conservative Gain)
Broad Oak (Lib dem hold)
Pakefield (Reform Gain)
December 15, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Prediction
Greenlands (Reform Gain)
St Columb Minor & Colan (Reform Hold)
Market Harborough Logan (Conservative Gain)
Broad Oak (Lib dem hold)
Pakefield (Reform Gain)
Greenlands (Reform Gain)
St Columb Minor & Colan (Reform Hold)
Market Harborough Logan (Conservative Gain)
Broad Oak (Lib dem hold)
Pakefield (Reform Gain)
Prediction
(Penyrheol) Plaid Hold
(Red Hall & Lingfield) Conservative Gain
(Seaton) Lib dem Gain
(Fort) Lib dem Gain
(Armitage) Reform Gain
(Aveland) Conservative Hold
(Belmont) Reform Gain
(Eaglescliffe) Conservative Hold
(Whitburn) SNP gain
(Penyrheol) Plaid Hold
(Red Hall & Lingfield) Conservative Gain
(Seaton) Lib dem Gain
(Fort) Lib dem Gain
(Armitage) Reform Gain
(Aveland) Conservative Hold
(Belmont) Reform Gain
(Eaglescliffe) Conservative Hold
(Whitburn) SNP gain
December 8, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Prediction
(Penyrheol) Plaid Hold
(Red Hall & Lingfield) Conservative Gain
(Seaton) Lib dem Gain
(Fort) Lib dem Gain
(Armitage) Reform Gain
(Aveland) Conservative Hold
(Belmont) Reform Gain
(Eaglescliffe) Conservative Hold
(Whitburn) SNP gain
(Penyrheol) Plaid Hold
(Red Hall & Lingfield) Conservative Gain
(Seaton) Lib dem Gain
(Fort) Lib dem Gain
(Armitage) Reform Gain
(Aveland) Conservative Hold
(Belmont) Reform Gain
(Eaglescliffe) Conservative Hold
(Whitburn) SNP gain
A lot of pollsters have shown the same trend, buts its still within the margin of error, so it could just be nothing
December 4, 2025 at 1:18 PM
A lot of pollsters have shown the same trend, buts its still within the margin of error, so it could just be nothing
Labour and the Tories seem to be neck and neck for second place
December 3, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Labour and the Tories seem to be neck and neck for second place
This poll has Reform leading with Men, But now the Tories have overtaken Reform and are the Leading Party among women
December 2, 2025 at 1:25 PM
This poll has Reform leading with Men, But now the Tories have overtaken Reform and are the Leading Party among women
I agree, but a grand coalition against Reform either means a Labour-Libdem-Tory Government or Labour-Green-Libdem, Labour, Green and Lib Dem coalition while more likely, is too unstable, Eco-socialist and Orange Book MPs being in one government is going to be difficult
December 2, 2025 at 12:10 PM
I agree, but a grand coalition against Reform either means a Labour-Libdem-Tory Government or Labour-Green-Libdem, Labour, Green and Lib Dem coalition while more likely, is too unstable, Eco-socialist and Orange Book MPs being in one government is going to be difficult
It looks like the Greens may have hit their Ceiling for now
December 2, 2025 at 11:12 AM
It looks like the Greens may have hit their Ceiling for now
Its hard to tell for sure, the greens have really never polled at this level before + this surge has only happened within the last 3 months, so this could be their current ceiling or it could be in the 20s
November 27, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Its hard to tell for sure, the greens have really never polled at this level before + this surge has only happened within the last 3 months, so this could be their current ceiling or it could be in the 20s
The Tories seem to be having a small improvement in their polling, but its still within the margin of error so its hard to tell
November 27, 2025 at 11:53 AM
The Tories seem to be having a small improvement in their polling, but its still within the margin of error so its hard to tell
Prediction
(King's Lynn & West Norfolk) Reform Gain
(Pendle) Lib Dem Hold
(Sunderland) Reform gain
Hunstanton could possibly be a Lib Dem gain as well, but I still have Reform
(King's Lynn & West Norfolk) Reform Gain
(Pendle) Lib Dem Hold
(Sunderland) Reform gain
Hunstanton could possibly be a Lib Dem gain as well, but I still have Reform
November 24, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Prediction
(King's Lynn & West Norfolk) Reform Gain
(Pendle) Lib Dem Hold
(Sunderland) Reform gain
Hunstanton could possibly be a Lib Dem gain as well, but I still have Reform
(King's Lynn & West Norfolk) Reform Gain
(Pendle) Lib Dem Hold
(Sunderland) Reform gain
Hunstanton could possibly be a Lib Dem gain as well, but I still have Reform
what is the vote difference between Reform and the Lib dems
November 21, 2025 at 12:05 PM
what is the vote difference between Reform and the Lib dems
Political Polling over the last few months has actually remained quite relative when it comes to the Reform+Conserative Share Vs Labour+Green+Lib Dem share, all that's happened really is the Greens are Gaining of Labour and Others (Your Party group of it)
November 18, 2025 at 10:55 AM
Political Polling over the last few months has actually remained quite relative when it comes to the Reform+Conserative Share Vs Labour+Green+Lib Dem share, all that's happened really is the Greens are Gaining of Labour and Others (Your Party group of it)
Prediction
(Canterbury) Lib Dem Hold
(Vale of White Horse) Lib Dem Hold
(East Lindsey) Reform Gain or Independent Gain
(Gwynedd) Plaid Hold
(North Somerset) Green Hold or Lib Dem Gain
(Canterbury) Lib Dem Hold
(Vale of White Horse) Lib Dem Hold
(East Lindsey) Reform Gain or Independent Gain
(Gwynedd) Plaid Hold
(North Somerset) Green Hold or Lib Dem Gain
November 13, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Prediction
(Canterbury) Lib Dem Hold
(Vale of White Horse) Lib Dem Hold
(East Lindsey) Reform Gain or Independent Gain
(Gwynedd) Plaid Hold
(North Somerset) Green Hold or Lib Dem Gain
(Canterbury) Lib Dem Hold
(Vale of White Horse) Lib Dem Hold
(East Lindsey) Reform Gain or Independent Gain
(Gwynedd) Plaid Hold
(North Somerset) Green Hold or Lib Dem Gain
(Burnley) Reform gain x2
(Harborough) Lib dem gain
(Tandridge) 1 Reform gain and 1 Lib dem gain
(Fife) SNP gain
(South Derbyshire) Reform gain
(Newark & Sherwood) 1 Conserative gain and 1 Reform Gain
(West Devon) Lib dem gain
(Harborough) Lib dem gain
(Tandridge) 1 Reform gain and 1 Lib dem gain
(Fife) SNP gain
(South Derbyshire) Reform gain
(Newark & Sherwood) 1 Conserative gain and 1 Reform Gain
(West Devon) Lib dem gain
November 3, 2025 at 12:26 PM
(Burnley) Reform gain x2
(Harborough) Lib dem gain
(Tandridge) 1 Reform gain and 1 Lib dem gain
(Fife) SNP gain
(South Derbyshire) Reform gain
(Newark & Sherwood) 1 Conserative gain and 1 Reform Gain
(West Devon) Lib dem gain
(Harborough) Lib dem gain
(Tandridge) 1 Reform gain and 1 Lib dem gain
(Fife) SNP gain
(South Derbyshire) Reform gain
(Newark & Sherwood) 1 Conserative gain and 1 Reform Gain
(West Devon) Lib dem gain