EXPECT Project
@expect-project.bsky.social
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Explaining and Predicting Climate Changes and Extremes - Horizon Europe Research Project www.expect-project.eu
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expect-project.bsky.social
Traditional #ClimateModels have long relied on physics. What happens when statistics steps in?

Vincent Verjans (@bsc-cns.bsky.social) is testing how statistical techniques can complement predictions from climate models. 📊🌦️

Read more: expect-project.eu/news/hindcas...

#EXPECTproject #HorizonEU
expect-project.bsky.social
Did you join yesterday’s EXPECT #workshop on the drivers of climate variability?

We’re back today for Day 2!

🕑 14:00–16:30 CET
🔴 Join us live: bit.ly/47UG8YL

#EXPECTproj#EXPECTprojecta#ClimateChanger#ClimateVariabilitys#ClimateResearch#HorizonEU
expect-project.bsky.social
EXPECT is launching today a 2-day #workshop on the drivers of climate variability, from seasonal to multi-decadal scales!

📅 Agenda:
22 Sept (14:00–17:05)
Join us live here: bit.ly/4nLJK47

23 Sept (14:00–16:30)
Join us live here: bit.ly/47UG8YL

Don't miss the discussion!
expect-project.bsky.social
How can we test predictions of a future that hasn’t happened yet?

Vincent Verjans (@bsc-cns.bsky.social) uses cross-validation to check how accurate the models are.

Want to know more?

👀Read the interview: expect-project.eu/news/hindcas...

#ClimateScience #Supercomputing #EXPECTproject #HorizonEU
expect-project.bsky.social
Predicting extreme rainfall: What caused Pakistan’s record 2022 rainfall?🌧️

Our project partner @ecmwf.int has recently released a study examining the event and the role of human-induced #ClimateChange

📖 Read more: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

@antjeweisheimer.bsky.social @cdroberts.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
🌍 The EXPECT team is attending the CMIP7 Forcings Drop-in Session next week!

📅 9 September, 07:00–08:00 & 16:00–17:00 UTC

📣 Join us to get the latest on CMIP7 forcing datasets driving the Assessment Fast Track and share your insights!

Register here: bit.ly/46m8rxX

@wcrpclimate.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
Interested in more reliable winter climate predictions for Eurasia and the Arctic? Keep reading 👇

Our project coordinator, Markus Donat, is a co-author on this recent publication from @impetus4change.bsky.social, one of EXPECT’s sister projects!

Find out more: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
impetus4change.bsky.social
📢 New study!

Linking the North Atlantic Oscillation to surface air temperature improves long-term winter forecasts for #Eurasia & the #Arctic 🌨️

👏 Congrats to @dmidk.bsky.social!

🔗 Read more: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

@expect-project.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
A new month, a new week, and a big question for our climate future.

Join us tomorrow for a @climtip.bsky.social #webinar, by Jonathan Baker from @metoffice.gov.uk, one of our associated project partners.

🔗 Access it here: tum-conf.zoom.us/j/6933421034...

#ClimateScience #ClimateChange #AMOC
expect-project.bsky.social
🌡️ The sharp global warming in 2023-2024 was highly predictable.

A November 2022 forecast ensemble captured ~75% of 2023’s rise. 📈

Forecast skill depends on predicting:

🔍 Strong El Niño
🔍 Enhanced shortwave radiation absorption

Read more 👉🏼 bit.ly/409XpIJ
expect-project.bsky.social
Are you following us on Bluesky yet? 🦋

Stay connected with us for the latest updates on explaining and predicting climate changes and extremes, and be part of the conversation!

Follow us today: bsky.app/profile/expe...
expect-project.bsky.social
A new study uncovers: atmospheric circulation shifts explain up to 40% of the excess winter warming in Europe!

⚠️ Most climate models miss this, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

🧭 What’s driving this European heat-up? Read the publication 👉 bit.ly/4k0OAbU
expect-project.bsky.social
🌡️ Why could central and northern Europe, compared to the south, face additional challenges in adapting to upcoming summer heatwaves?

New research shows that changes in internal climate variability, not just rising temperatures, are driving this emerging divide 👉 bit.ly/3U0AD2s
expect-project.bsky.social
How deep is your knowledge of climate change? 🕹️ Take the I4C #MakeItReal quiz by our sister project @impetus4change.bsky.social!

It’s suitable for all ages and profiles! No science background needed, just curiosity! 💡
impetus4change.bsky.social
Would you like to test your climate knowledge? Take the I4C #MakeItReal Roadshow quiz and see how much you know!

Whether you're a climate pro or just getting curious, it's a great way to learn, reflect, and get inspired 💡

Take the #quiz now 👉 impetus4change.eu/newsi4c/how-...

#HorizonEU
expect-project.bsky.social
Can we improve climate predictions 10–20 years ahead?

Yes, by combining internal variability using past observations & decadal forecasts! 📊

💡This study shows this approach reduces uncertainty & boosts regional climate accuracy

Dive into the article 👉 bit.ly/3GuqbwE

#ClimateChange #ClimateScience
expect-project.bsky.social
📚 Less noise, just as much knowledge. In August, we’ll be posting less frequently, but not going silent!

We’ll be sharing a selection of EXPECT papers exploring key themes in #ClimateChange prediction and attribution.

Find them all on our website: expect-project.eu/resources/
expect-project.bsky.social
⏰ The clock is ticking: 3 days left to submit your abstract!

🗣️ Workshop on Understanding and Predicting Annual to Multi-Decadal Climate Variations (UPCLIV)

Send your abstract by 31 July 👉 bit.ly/4lCZ4iI

#HorizonEU

@aspect-project.bsky.social, @impetus4change.bsky.social, @wcrpclimate.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
Still working on your abstract? Hurry up! The deadline’s just around the corner ⏰ You have until 31 July to submit it: expect-project.eu/events/open-...
aspect-project.bsky.social
📣 DEADLINE EXTENDED for ABSTRACT SUBMISSION for the Workshop on Understanding and Predicting Annual to Multi-Decadal Climate Variations (UPCLIV)!

👉 Submit your abstract by the 31st July: www.upcliv-workshop.net

#ClimatePrediction #WCRP #HorizonEU #HorizonEurope
expect-project.bsky.social
What are climate storylines and why do they matter?

Gerrit Versteeg, Junior Research Engineer at @expect-project.bsky.social, explained us how these plausible scenarios help tackle uncertainty, improve decisions and avoid false precision.

Read the full interview 👉 expect-project.eu/news/climate...
expect-project.bsky.social
Deadline extended! 📢 Haven’t submitted your abstract yet?

🗣️ Workshop on Understanding and Predicting Annual to Multi-Decadal Climate Variations (UPCLIV)

Send it by 31 July! 👉 bit.ly/4lCZ4iI

#HorizonEU #HorizonEurope

@aspect-project.bsky.social @impetus4change.bsky.social @wcrpclimate.bsky.social
Workshop in Bologna: Annual to Multi-Decadal Climate Variations
European network of businesses and SMEs for Industrial Symbiosis
expect-project.eu
expect-project.bsky.social
Behind a climate model, there is a person imagining the future.

Within EXPECT, Gerrit Versteeg, Junior Research Engineer at @bsc-cns.bsky.social, explores how scientists craft #storylines of future change.

🔎How can #storytelling change climate science?

Read more: expect-project.eu/news/climate...
expect-project.bsky.social
Only 2 days left to submit your abstract! 📣

✍️ Be part of this interdisciplinary open workshop in Bologna & online in November

Submit your abstract by 15 July👉 bit.ly/3Iq37Ae

#MachineLearning #Climate #ClimateScience

@aspect-project.bsky.social @impetus4change.bsky.social @wcrpclimate.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
AI & machine learning are transforming #ClimateScience 🤖 Wondering how?

🔔Attend the UPCLIV #Workshop & share your insights on annual to multi-decadal climate variability

🚨Send your abstract by 15 July: bit.ly/44ADK6d

@aspect-project.bsky.social @impetus4change.bsky.social @wcrpclimate.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
🌡️ Climate extremes are on the rise... And how can AI improve the predictions from 1 to 30 years ahead?

Join us in this open #workshop in Bologna or online in November!

Submit your abstract by 15 July: bit.ly/44HYrhJ

@aspect-project.bsky.social @wcrpclimate.bsky.social @impetus4change.bsky.social
expect-project.bsky.social
What if understanding climate predictions lies not in perfection, but in the flaws we uncover? 📡

@gerardmarcet.bsky.social’s research focuses on identifying gaps in current climate models.

Read the interview 👉 expect-project.eu/news/refinin...

#ClimateChange #ClimateResearch #HorizonEU #EXPECT