Tobias Forsnacke
@forsno.bsky.social
76 followers 92 following 430 posts
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forsno.bsky.social
Man kan ta Mutti ur DDR, men man kan inte ta DDR ur Mutti.
forsno.bsky.social
Johnson decapitated the party in 2019, and there’s little sign of any neocortex regrowth.
forsno.bsky.social
So VC BS was VC BS, who’d have thought?
forsno.bsky.social
It can however be argued that the donation of the AEW 340 is a significant reduction of national capability until the replacements are operational in 2027.
forsno.bsky.social
There is no delay.

There are currently no aircraft not needed to keep all six operational squadrons, and training and evaluation units, at full strength.

The defence minister has been clear all along that the Swedish air force readiness will not be reduced.
forsno.bsky.social
That’s a potential sale, not a donation. At least not yet or in full. New built fighters are quite expensive.
forsno.bsky.social
In all cases so far any training of Ukrainian forces in Sweden has only been announced once completed.
forsno.bsky.social
The first of the three squadrons is starting to convert this autumn. There won’t be any surplus aircraft for months.

But more relevant for timing is when training of air and ground crews has started or will start.
forsno.bsky.social
That wasn’t spare parts. It was new built parts to avoid having to cannibalise C aircraft to build new E aircraft (like was done for the A to C conversion).

So it’s an indication that Swedish air force JAS 39C will be donated as they become surplus during the rearmament of 3 squadrons to E.
forsno.bsky.social
Strategy? I don’t think they’re into that anymore.
forsno.bsky.social
Budanov kommer att ha att göra även efter krigsslutet.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
michaeldweiss.bsky.social
Europeans worry Trump’s TruthSocial post means he’s walking away from Ukraine. My latest on what that isn’t necessarily a bad outcome: macspaunday.substack.com/p/in-praise-...
In Praise of Trumpy Boredom
Published exclusively on Substack
macspaunday.substack.com
forsno.bsky.social
That’ll be good enough.
forsno.bsky.social
Don’t hold your breath.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
wisemanswisdoms.bsky.social
Jag fick möjligheten att bjuda Tove Lifvendahl på kaffe och en rejäl pratstund om min resa från försvarsbloggare till förbandschef, samt de utmaningar och problem som såväl Försvarsmakten som Sverige står inför med den rådande omvärldsutvecklingen.

www.svd.se/a/Ey6P5a/sto...
”Största hotet är vår oförmåga att förstå” | SvD Ledare
LEDARE. Han var en anonym och tongivande försvarsdebattör. Nu leder Carl Bergqvist utbildningen av svenska stridspiloter och vässar Sveriges förmåga att bedriva luftstrid.
www.svd.se
forsno.bsky.social
The Swedish total defence concept is that the same actors that are responsible for the running of a sector in peace also is responsible for maintaining it in crisis or war.

This document summarises what they should be preparing for.
forsno.bsky.social
Core are seven “type situations” that should be planned for at a local level in and any combination:

Hybrid threats, host nation support, limited military attack on Sweden, attack on Gotland, long range strikes, reinforcement of the northern flank and reinforcement of the Baltic countries.
forsno.bsky.social
Not that I can find. It’s a document providing planning scenarios for local and regional governments as well as business and volunteer organisations.

I’ll try to summarise.