FPLFutbolmetrix
@fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social
FPL and SerieAFantasy account. Two top 2k finishes, once in distant FPL prehistory, once in 2023-2024. #AnalyticsFC, FPLReview Elite 1000
That's not a bad rank at all for someone using only 3 out of 6 chips!
June 3, 2025 at 11:44 PM
That's not a bad rank at all for someone using only 3 out of 6 chips!
But what if we look instead of average ownership of just the *10* most popular players? Now E64 and Content Creators league are *much* more concentrated than AE64 👀
June 3, 2025 at 10:57 AM
But what if we look instead of average ownership of just the *10* most popular players? Now E64 and Content Creators league are *much* more concentrated than AE64 👀
Same table, but sorted
June 3, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Same table, but sorted
I was talking about ownership of players. This is the updated table including E64: average ownership rate of the 30 most popular players is almost identical between AE64 and E64 (44.27% versus 44.37%)
June 3, 2025 at 10:49 AM
I was talking about ownership of players. This is the updated table including E64: average ownership rate of the 30 most popular players is almost identical between AE64 and E64 (44.27% versus 44.37%)
I'd be curious to see how other gameweeks look like, but would need to scrape data from official website for that.
June 2, 2025 at 6:44 PM
I'd be curious to see how other gameweeks look like, but would need to scrape data from official website for that.
But comparison is not apples to apples, because for the large leagues you are comparing the selected group of highly performing managers
June 2, 2025 at 6:42 PM
But comparison is not apples to apples, because for the large leagues you are comparing the selected group of highly performing managers
Average ownership of top 30 most owned players (by top 50 ranked managers) in GW38 for selected leagues, from @fplgameweek.com. Turns out that analytics leagues (AE64, AEQ64, BW, FPLOptimized) had slightly more concentrated ownership than others
June 2, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Average ownership of top 30 most owned players (by top 50 ranked managers) in GW38 for selected leagues, from @fplgameweek.com. Turns out that analytics leagues (AE64, AEQ64, BW, FPLOptimized) had slightly more concentrated ownership than others
Based on what I'm seeing from captaincy polls, going Isak (c) over Salah (c) may be the best way to widen your outcome distribution. Not for the faint of heart, though...
April 25, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Based on what I'm seeing from captaincy polls, going Isak (c) over Salah (c) may be the best way to widen your outcome distribution. Not for the faint of heart, though...
I'd be curious to see a simulation that quantifies the rank gain from pursuing a defensive double or triple up versus going for a 10% owned versus a 50% owned asset
April 25, 2025 at 11:31 AM
I'd be curious to see a simulation that quantifies the rank gain from pursuing a defensive double or triple up versus going for a 10% owned versus a 50% owned asset
#SerieAFantasy GW23: 61 all out, OR 109-->115. Passing on Retegui+Zaccagni in previous GW proving to be very costly
February 6, 2025 at 3:16 AM
#SerieAFantasy GW23: 61 all out, OR 109-->115. Passing on Retegui+Zaccagni in previous GW proving to be very costly
If Ful-Tot is in 25, 33 would have only two teams doubling, NEW and CRY (unless some of the GW34 blanks slot into it). Seems manageable.
January 28, 2025 at 6:18 AM
If Ful-Tot is in 25, 33 would have only two teams doubling, NEW and CRY (unless some of the GW34 blanks slot into it). Seems manageable.
TC24 on Salah and then AM25 (after knowing whether DGW25 is on) is also an option.
January 28, 2025 at 6:05 AM
TC24 on Salah and then AM25 (after knowing whether DGW25 is on) is also an option.
It would be close, but keep in mind that DGW25 implies that Tottenham advances to CC final, so no LIV blank in 29, no LIV double in 33. You lose a big chunk of EV relative to TC24 on Salah.
January 28, 2025 at 4:13 AM
It would be close, but keep in mind that DGW25 implies that Tottenham advances to CC final, so no LIV blank in 29, no LIV double in 33. You lose a big chunk of EV relative to TC24 on Salah.
Optimal AM strategy very team dependent:
TC still available, already 3 Liv in squad: TC24 on Salah, AM in 31 or 35/36
TC still available, only 2 Liv in squad (or 3 LIV and lots of FTs) : maybe AM24 if provisional announcement of DGW25
TC played already: AM24 defo an option
TC still available, already 3 Liv in squad: TC24 on Salah, AM in 31 or 35/36
TC still available, only 2 Liv in squad (or 3 LIV and lots of FTs) : maybe AM24 if provisional announcement of DGW25
TC played already: AM24 defo an option
January 27, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Optimal AM strategy very team dependent:
TC still available, already 3 Liv in squad: TC24 on Salah, AM in 31 or 35/36
TC still available, only 2 Liv in squad (or 3 LIV and lots of FTs) : maybe AM24 if provisional announcement of DGW25
TC played already: AM24 defo an option
TC still available, already 3 Liv in squad: TC24 on Salah, AM in 31 or 35/36
TC still available, only 2 Liv in squad (or 3 LIV and lots of FTs) : maybe AM24 if provisional announcement of DGW25
TC played already: AM24 defo an option
Sharp-eyed managers will have noticed that there is some discrepancy between my EV for GW24 and Review's EV (mine is a bit lower on average). In this case, I would trust Review's numbers (based on betting odds, I think). But model is OK for predicting likelihood of table bonus in future GWs
January 27, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Sharp-eyed managers will have noticed that there is some discrepancy between my EV for GW24 and Review's EV (mine is a bit lower on average). In this case, I would trust Review's numbers (based on betting odds, I think). But model is OK for predicting likelihood of table bonus in future GWs
#SerieAFantasy GW22: 59 all out, OR 86 --> 100. 12 week green streak over, we go again in 23
January 27, 2025 at 1:31 AM
#SerieAFantasy GW22: 59 all out, OR 86 --> 100. 12 week green streak over, we go again in 23
GW23: 54 all out, 1.6M -->1.8M. When is it gonna end, Robbie?
January 26, 2025 at 10:19 PM
GW23: 54 all out, 1.6M -->1.8M. When is it gonna end, Robbie?
#SerieAFantasy GW21: 78 all out, OR 93-->86. Still slowly climbing.
January 21, 2025 at 10:38 AM
#SerieAFantasy GW21: 78 all out, OR 93-->86. Still slowly climbing.
GW22: 48 all out, OR, 1.64M --> 1.58M. New season objective: top 400K, roughly the average of my last 5 casual seasons before becoming an engaged manager 😔
January 20, 2025 at 11:12 PM
GW22: 48 all out, OR, 1.64M --> 1.58M. New season objective: top 400K, roughly the average of my last 5 casual seasons before becoming an engaged manager 😔
GW21: 61 all out, 1.5M --> 1.6M. This season is humbling.
January 17, 2025 at 12:38 AM
GW21: 61 all out, 1.5M --> 1.6M. This season is humbling.