Ian W
@fplstrategic.bsky.social
Here to chat FPL, analytics, visualizations, and the occasion other thing. 🇨🇦
Will make jokes on a lot of things.
Provide weekly (most of the time) rundowns of a variety of team xG/G prediction models.
https://fplstrategic.substack.com/
Will make jokes on a lot of things.
Provide weekly (most of the time) rundowns of a variety of team xG/G prediction models.
https://fplstrategic.substack.com/
I'll DM you my numbers
December 19, 2025 at 5:33 PM
I'll DM you my numbers
6 weeks of sample isn't a "put this to bed" amount of time. I expect it is a bit of a 'more points than expected' at the start of the season and a 'fewer points than expected' in the last couple games. I would still back them to get the most CSs/defensive points going forward.
December 17, 2025 at 5:34 PM
6 weeks of sample isn't a "put this to bed" amount of time. I expect it is a bit of a 'more points than expected' at the start of the season and a 'fewer points than expected' in the last couple games. I would still back them to get the most CSs/defensive points going forward.
Could be proxied by just taking the 45 plus any added time and splitting it into 3 equal slices per game and having second half 'thirds'.
December 16, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Could be proxied by just taking the 45 plus any added time and splitting it into 3 equal slices per game and having second half 'thirds'.
To be fair, you burn a FT any time you use your FH, so 1 less negative.
December 9, 2025 at 5:10 PM
To be fair, you burn a FT any time you use your FH, so 1 less negative.
Haven't tried before
December 9, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Haven't tried before
Selling this week. The options seem tasty (not fully decided on who yet).
December 8, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Selling this week. The options seem tasty (not fully decided on who yet).
I also got 4 pt Anderson 😂
December 8, 2025 at 6:42 PM
I also got 4 pt Anderson 😂
I did not. I did get an auto sub, but Guehi was 2nd Bench 😢
December 8, 2025 at 4:44 AM
I did not. I did get an auto sub, but Guehi was 2nd Bench 😢
I'm keeping. Did Sensei (mostly just needed him for 17) and Mateta (tougher and congested fixtures) to O'Reilly (good fixtures including 17) and Woltemade (great fixture this week).
December 6, 2025 at 1:16 AM
I'm keeping. Did Sensei (mostly just needed him for 17) and Mateta (tougher and congested fixtures) to O'Reilly (good fixtures including 17) and Woltemade (great fixture this week).
Still need to fully evaluate. I have 2 FTs I want to use to maximize the refresh, so selling is tempting for multiple reasons. But need to see if the timing works for buying someone.
You?
You?
December 4, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Still need to fully evaluate. I have 2 FTs I want to use to maximize the refresh, so selling is tempting for multiple reasons. But need to see if the timing works for buying someone.
You?
You?
I've been very lucky to start the season so about time I take some weeks on the chin. Van Hecke brought me some joy. At least we don't have long to wallow
December 4, 2025 at 5:18 PM
I've been very lucky to start the season so about time I take some weeks on the chin. Van Hecke brought me some joy. At least we don't have long to wallow
I have no one, doubt the MUN players will get enough negative points to bring me up 😂
December 4, 2025 at 2:31 AM
I have no one, doubt the MUN players will get enough negative points to bring me up 😂
a man in a red standard chartered shirt stands on a field
Alt: Salah
media.tenor.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Probably, no. Hits may not pay off. That said, seem you have a depth problem and Sensei with a ban this week and 2 iffy fixtures after isn't a terrible sell to get more stability
December 2, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Probably, no. Hits may not pay off. That said, seem you have a depth problem and Sensei with a ban this week and 2 iffy fixtures after isn't a terrible sell to get more stability
Basically this. The top 5 team xG/G predictions (MCI, BRE, LIV, AVL, and CRY) are all better than typical top predictions. Teams 6-12 are below typical predictions. A change to invest in lesser owned teams with fabourable fixtures for a week.
November 29, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Basically this. The top 5 team xG/G predictions (MCI, BRE, LIV, AVL, and CRY) are all better than typical top predictions. Teams 6-12 are below typical predictions. A change to invest in lesser owned teams with fabourable fixtures for a week.
This might be the week 😂
November 24, 2025 at 5:22 PM
This might be the week 😂