7. Gen AI slips into the ‘it’s fine and all’ category of tech. Truth be told, it’s going to find its killer app in monetized search and owned platform integration e.g. natural language queries and useful actions in Gmail etc.

6. AGI DAOs and AGI claims (this is seriously going to test my patience). Someone will claim AGI - but, only because they’ve created a new definition - this will be laughed at by many and a misstep.

5. Crypto resurgence, and more serious CBDC experiments

4. Russian destabilization and ‘ally’ cannibalism.

3. Big tech more deeply ‘advising’ government and strip mining budgets in the name of efficiency. Like a technocratic ringworm.

2. The stumbling of automation at-scale - watch the dearth of humanoid robots stumbling at CES.

1. Ignorance of good design and finding limits more quickly across multiple industries (especially big tech)