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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 4h

With the exception of the RN, no party wants new elections, and all are positioning themselves in view of the next presidential elections. An increasing number of actors push for Macron's resignation so to have a new presidential election in 2026 (or even earlier), but Macron is unlikely to go.

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 6h

We may soon have the first technocratic (ie not based on an explicit coalition of parties in parliament) of theFrench Fifth Republic. ⬇️

Euractiv @euractiv.com · 6h

Lecornu rules out dissolution while Macron readies new prime minister

Lecornu says dissolution of the National Assembly is off the table as Macron seeks a new government capable of passing the 2025 budget

dlvr.it

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 10d

France led by the RN would tilt the balance in Europe, but Meloni should be careful what she wishes for; not sure she and MLP want the same thing. As for the union of the rights, there’s no sign of that for now.

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 12d

agendapublica.es/noticia/2019...

The three dilemmas facing France's moderate right wing

Bruno Retailleau is destined to be one of the big names in French and European politics in the coming years. According to Oxford political scientist Giovanni Capoccia, both he and his ideology are fac...

agendapublica.es

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 23d

Probably but not sure it will be enough to keep in the whole range of parties from the PS to the LR. At this stage the problem is not concessions or negotiations, it is positioning vis-à-vis the next presidential election.

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Antonio Costa Pinto @acostapinto.bsky.social · 25d

An excellent summary of the debates on fascism and the contemporary radical right that we had in Rome earlier this year, at a conference organized by the George L. Mosse Center at the University of Wisconsin earlier this year.

60 Years: Fascism Seminar Revisited

The "60 Years: Fascism Seminar Revisited" conference marked the sixtieth anniversary of George L. Mosse's groundbreaking 1963 Stanford seminar by bringing together over 30 leading scholars from the Un...

www.hsozkult.de

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 25d

Agree. The US is clearly on a slippery slope now.

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 25d

I wroite a short piece on @verfassungsblog.de on the challenges facing the French new Prime Minister. The institutions of the Fifth Republic have so far been very resilient in the face of continued crisis, but fatigue is starting to show.

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · 25d

France 🇫🇷 has a new Prime Minister.

Many see the task he is facing as impossible.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) on the Fifth Republic and its constitutional identity under strain.

verfassungsblog.de/the-fifth-re...

Quote: “The polarization that accelerated after the 2022 elections and deepened following the 2024 dissolution could push the Fifth Republic toward an end – de facto, if not de jure.”

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Jan-Werner Mueller @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social · 28d

👇

Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 28d

Prime Minister @donald-tusk.bsky.social

Despite all the fatigue, sometimes irritation, and historical memory, let us once again restore the proper importance of this obvious fact. Ukraine is fighting Russia today, a Russia that directly threatens Poland.

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Saskia Dekkers @saskiadekkers.bsky.social · 29d

Check out more info on
new French PM Sébastien Lecornu 👇

Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

Macron has just appointed Sebastian Lecornu, from the centrist ranks, as new PM. Short 🧵/1
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...

En direct, Sébastien Lecornu nommé premier ministre : Emmanuel Macron « prend le risque de la colère sociale », dénonce le PS

La passation de pouvoir entre François Bayrou, qui a présenté sa démission à Emmanuel Macron ce mardi, et son successeur à Matignon est prévue mercredi à midi. L’ex-ministre des armées proposera un go...

www.lemonde.fr

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

Macron has just appointed Sebastian Lecornu, from the centrist ranks, as new PM. Short 🧵/1
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...

En direct, Sébastien Lecornu nommé premier ministre : Emmanuel Macron « prend le risque de la colère sociale », dénonce le PS

La passation de pouvoir entre François Bayrou, qui a présenté sa démission à Emmanuel Macron ce mardi, et son successeur à Matignon est prévue mercredi à midi. L’ex-ministre des armées proposera un go...

www.lemonde.fr

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

Unclear how Lecornu can do better than his predecessors in assembling a parliamentary coalition. Pressures for new elections or even for Macron's resignation are likely to mount in the coming months. More here ⬇️
verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

Déjà Vu

verfassungsblog.de

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

The Socialist Party's leaders had pressed strongly for a Socialist PM. They now warn that Macron is "defying social anger", which does not bode well for the new government. The leader of the Greens, Marine Tondelier, talks openly about a "provocation" on the part of Macron. /3

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

Lecornu was Macron's preferred PM already nine months ago, when Bayrou, threatening Macron to withdraw his support, forced his hand to become PM himself. French politics really set back the clock to last year, only with more fatigue due to an additional year of instability. /2

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

Macron has just appointed Sebastian Lecornu, from the centrist ranks, as new PM. Short 🧵/1
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...

En direct, Sébastien Lecornu nommé premier ministre : Emmanuel Macron « prend le risque de la colère sociale », dénonce le PS

La passation de pouvoir entre François Bayrou, qui a présenté sa démission à Emmanuel Macron ce mardi, et son successeur à Matignon est prévue mercredi à midi. L’ex-ministre des armées proposera un go...

www.lemonde.fr

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

On the occasion of a recent keynote lecture at the University of Helsinki, I gave an interview to the Finnish online media Uusi Juttu @uusijuttu.fi on my research on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies. It is here (in Finnish--Google translate may help).
www.uusijuttu.fi/juttu/sqSVZw...

Kansanvallan itsepuolustus. Miten liberaali demokratia pelastetaan?

Iltapäivisin julkaistavassa Pihvi-ohjelmassa valitsemme yhden olennaisen uutisen ja selvitämme, mistä se oikeastaan kertoo.

www.uusijuttu.fi

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 29d

On the occasion of a recent keynote lecture at the University of Helsinki, I gave an interview to the Finnish online media Uusi Juttu @uusijuttu.fi on my research on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies. It is here (in Finnish--Google translate may help).
www.uusijuttu.fi/juttu/sqSVZw...

Kansanvallan itsepuolustus. Miten liberaali demokratia pelastetaan?

Iltapäivisin julkaistavassa Pihvi-ohjelmassa valitsemme yhden olennaisen uutisen ja selvitämme, mistä se oikeastaan kertoo.

www.uusijuttu.fi

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Euractiv @euractiv.com · Sep 8

French government falls as Bayrou loses confidence vote

Upon taking office, Bayrou told Macron he aspired to “achieve great things” in the 30 months ahead. Instead, he lasted only nine

dlvr.it

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 8

Bayrou did not even receive all the votes of the parties that explicitly supported his government. A difficult puzzle to solve for Macron, like in 2024.

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 8

The French National Assembly just voted on the confidence to the Bayrou government. 364 votes against, 194 vote in favor. So Bayrou falls after only 9 months. The Parliament will have to approve a budget before Dec 31. I discuss the possible scenarios in this piece for @verfassungsblog.de

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

Quote: “All parties have begun positioning themselves for the possible scenarios following Bayrou’s fall.”

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 8

France is likely not to have a government after today’s critical vote of confidence on Bayrou’s government. I discuss the possible ensuing scenarios in this piece for @verfassungsblog.de

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 8

France is likely not to have a government after today’s critical vote of confidence on Bayrou’s government. I discuss the possible ensuing scenarios in this piece for @verfassungsblog.de

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 6

I wrote a short piece on the latest chapter in the seemingly endless crisis that has gripped French politics since 2022. The government is likely to collapse on Monday, leaving Macron once again with no good options at a time of international turmoil. ⬇️

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

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Reposted by Giovanni Capoccia

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

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Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · Sep 6

I wrote a short piece on the latest chapter in the seemingly endless crisis that has gripped French politics since 2022. The government is likely to collapse on Monday, leaving Macron once again with no good options at a time of international turmoil. ⬇️

Verfassungsblog @verfassungsblog.de · Sep 6

France 🇫🇷 is heading into a new political crisis, with a vote of confidence scheduled for this Sunday that Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to lose.

GIOVANNI CAPOCCIA (@gcapoccia.bsky.social) explains what is at stake – and the choice Macron will face after the vote.

verfassungsblog.de/deja-vu/

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