GeoStrategikon
@geostrategikon.bsky.social
PhD in Geography, Specialist in geopolitics and geo-history
🇮🇷 In Iran, the persistence and spread of protests are more dangerous to the regime than their intensity:
• they constantly exhaust intervention resources
• they continuously expose security forces
• they amplify already explosive social pressure.
#Iran
• they constantly exhaust intervention resources
• they continuously expose security forces
• they amplify already explosive social pressure.
#Iran
January 10, 2026 at 4:31 AM
🇮🇷 In Iran, the persistence and spread of protests are more dangerous to the regime than their intensity:
• they constantly exhaust intervention resources
• they continuously expose security forces
• they amplify already explosive social pressure.
#Iran
• they constantly exhaust intervention resources
• they continuously expose security forces
• they amplify already explosive social pressure.
#Iran
🇺🇸 Trump approves the toughest sanctions on Russian oil: tariffs of up to 500% on buyers such as China and India. The measure directly hits Russia's energy revenues and increases pressure on Putin for real negotiations in the war in Ukraine.
#UkraineWar
#UkraineWar
January 8, 2026 at 10:18 PM
🇺🇸 Trump approves the toughest sanctions on Russian oil: tariffs of up to 500% on buyers such as China and India. The measure directly hits Russia's energy revenues and increases pressure on Putin for real negotiations in the war in Ukraine.
#UkraineWar
#UkraineWar
🇺🇦⚔️ The war in Ukraine must be a war of one generation!
If Ukrainians do not escape Russian imperialism once and for all, their children and grandchildren will fight against Moscow again.
A just peace now = a secure future!
#UkraineWar
If Ukrainians do not escape Russian imperialism once and for all, their children and grandchildren will fight against Moscow again.
A just peace now = a secure future!
#UkraineWar
January 8, 2026 at 1:08 AM
🇺🇦⚔️ The war in Ukraine must be a war of one generation!
If Ukrainians do not escape Russian imperialism once and for all, their children and grandchildren will fight against Moscow again.
A just peace now = a secure future!
#UkraineWar
If Ukrainians do not escape Russian imperialism once and for all, their children and grandchildren will fight against Moscow again.
A just peace now = a secure future!
#UkraineWar
🇺🇸🇩🇰🇬🇱 The US is preparing a direct agreement with Greenland: investment + development in exchange for an expanded military role.
Denmark risks being bypassed, but a tripartite format would be a win-win: the US gains access, Greenland gains investment, Denmark gains Arctic security. #Greenland
Denmark risks being bypassed, but a tripartite format would be a win-win: the US gains access, Greenland gains investment, Denmark gains Arctic security. #Greenland
January 7, 2026 at 4:39 AM
🇺🇸🇩🇰🇬🇱 The US is preparing a direct agreement with Greenland: investment + development in exchange for an expanded military role.
Denmark risks being bypassed, but a tripartite format would be a win-win: the US gains access, Greenland gains investment, Denmark gains Arctic security. #Greenland
Denmark risks being bypassed, but a tripartite format would be a win-win: the US gains access, Greenland gains investment, Denmark gains Arctic security. #Greenland
🇺🇸🇬🇱 Trump wants Greenland, even though he knows he can't have it without Congress/Senate (weak support). But his rhetoric:
•forces concessions from Denmark
•mobilizes MAGA voters in an election year
•discourages Russian and Chinese expansion in the Arctic.
#Trump #Greenland
•forces concessions from Denmark
•mobilizes MAGA voters in an election year
•discourages Russian and Chinese expansion in the Arctic.
#Trump #Greenland
January 6, 2026 at 6:09 AM
🇺🇸🇬🇱 Trump wants Greenland, even though he knows he can't have it without Congress/Senate (weak support). But his rhetoric:
•forces concessions from Denmark
•mobilizes MAGA voters in an election year
•discourages Russian and Chinese expansion in the Arctic.
#Trump #Greenland
•forces concessions from Denmark
•mobilizes MAGA voters in an election year
•discourages Russian and Chinese expansion in the Arctic.
#Trump #Greenland
🇺🇦 What’s happening❓
Zelensky is replacing Budanov (GUR) and Malyuk (SBU) within days — two intelligence chiefs with notable results.
A repositioning ahead of possible negotiations with Trump, or an internal cleanup driven by Yermak?
#UkraineWar
Zelensky is replacing Budanov (GUR) and Malyuk (SBU) within days — two intelligence chiefs with notable results.
A repositioning ahead of possible negotiations with Trump, or an internal cleanup driven by Yermak?
#UkraineWar
January 5, 2026 at 5:36 PM
🇺🇦 What’s happening❓
Zelensky is replacing Budanov (GUR) and Malyuk (SBU) within days — two intelligence chiefs with notable results.
A repositioning ahead of possible negotiations with Trump, or an internal cleanup driven by Yermak?
#UkraineWar
Zelensky is replacing Budanov (GUR) and Malyuk (SBU) within days — two intelligence chiefs with notable results.
A repositioning ahead of possible negotiations with Trump, or an internal cleanup driven by Yermak?
#UkraineWar
🇺🇸🇨🇺 US strategic logic: after Venezuela, Cuba is next. Havana controls the Florida Straits—the gateway to the Gulf of Mexico and the Mississippi Basin, the most fertile region in the US. Cuba can host Russian/Chinese bases and block essential shipping routes.
#Cuba #Venezuela
#Cuba #Venezuela
January 3, 2026 at 10:28 PM
🇺🇸🇨🇺 US strategic logic: after Venezuela, Cuba is next. Havana controls the Florida Straits—the gateway to the Gulf of Mexico and the Mississippi Basin, the most fertile region in the US. Cuba can host Russian/Chinese bases and block essential shipping routes.
#Cuba #Venezuela
#Cuba #Venezuela
🇺🇸💥Trump confirms – Maduro captured by US forces and extracted from Venezuela after massive strikes in Caracas! A heavy blow for Russia and China: they cannot protect any vassal dictators
They invested years of economic and military support in a regime that collapsed easily
#MaduroCaptured #Venezuela
They invested years of economic and military support in a regime that collapsed easily
#MaduroCaptured #Venezuela
January 3, 2026 at 12:16 PM
🇺🇸💥Trump confirms – Maduro captured by US forces and extracted from Venezuela after massive strikes in Caracas! A heavy blow for Russia and China: they cannot protect any vassal dictators
They invested years of economic and military support in a regime that collapsed easily
#MaduroCaptured #Venezuela
They invested years of economic and military support in a regime that collapsed easily
#MaduroCaptured #Venezuela
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Israel could attack the theocratic regime in the spring, when the economic crisis will completely overlap with the water crisis.
Until then, Mossad will take advantage of the chaos:
• infiltrating military depots and units
• recruiting dissatisfied IRGC members
• preparing nuclear targets.
#Iran
Until then, Mossad will take advantage of the chaos:
• infiltrating military depots and units
• recruiting dissatisfied IRGC members
• preparing nuclear targets.
#Iran
January 2, 2026 at 10:04 PM
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Israel could attack the theocratic regime in the spring, when the economic crisis will completely overlap with the water crisis.
Until then, Mossad will take advantage of the chaos:
• infiltrating military depots and units
• recruiting dissatisfied IRGC members
• preparing nuclear targets.
#Iran
Until then, Mossad will take advantage of the chaos:
• infiltrating military depots and units
• recruiting dissatisfied IRGC members
• preparing nuclear targets.
#Iran
🇮🇷 Pezeshkian: "If people are unhappy, it's our fault—not America's."
The regime admits it's incompetent and that the ayatollah isn't infallible.
#Iran
The regime admits it's incompetent and that the ayatollah isn't infallible.
#Iran
January 2, 2026 at 6:03 AM
🇮🇷 Pezeshkian: "If people are unhappy, it's our fault—not America's."
The regime admits it's incompetent and that the ayatollah isn't infallible.
#Iran
The regime admits it's incompetent and that the ayatollah isn't infallible.
#Iran
🇮🇷 The theocratic regime in Tehran is a historical accident that occurred within the millennia-old Persian civilization.
Sooner or later, the Iranian people will correct this historical error.
The future belongs to a free Iran that is proud of its true heritage.
#Iran
Sooner or later, the Iranian people will correct this historical error.
The future belongs to a free Iran that is proud of its true heritage.
#Iran
December 31, 2025 at 10:19 PM
🇮🇷 The theocratic regime in Tehran is a historical accident that occurred within the millennia-old Persian civilization.
Sooner or later, the Iranian people will correct this historical error.
The future belongs to a free Iran that is proud of its true heritage.
#Iran
Sooner or later, the Iranian people will correct this historical error.
The future belongs to a free Iran that is proud of its true heritage.
#Iran
🇮🇷 Iran's theocratic regime risks collapse when the economic crisis (rial at historic low, inflation >50%) perfectly overlaps with the water crisis (dams at <10%, Tehran will run out of water in a few weeks).
Calculations indicate that the overlap will occur in 3-6 months.
#Iran
Calculations indicate that the overlap will occur in 3-6 months.
#Iran
December 31, 2025 at 1:03 AM
🇮🇷 Iran's theocratic regime risks collapse when the economic crisis (rial at historic low, inflation >50%) perfectly overlaps with the water crisis (dams at <10%, Tehran will run out of water in a few weeks).
Calculations indicate that the overlap will occur in 3-6 months.
#Iran
Calculations indicate that the overlap will occur in 3-6 months.
#Iran
🇷🇺 Lavrov: "The West must recognize that Russia has the strategic initiative in Ukraine."
Moscow is humiliating itself by asking its enemy for recognition of a superiority it cannot impose on its own.
True initiative is not demanded—it is demonstrated on the battlefield.
#UkraineWar
Moscow is humiliating itself by asking its enemy for recognition of a superiority it cannot impose on its own.
True initiative is not demanded—it is demonstrated on the battlefield.
#UkraineWar
December 30, 2025 at 10:03 AM
🇷🇺 Lavrov: "The West must recognize that Russia has the strategic initiative in Ukraine."
Moscow is humiliating itself by asking its enemy for recognition of a superiority it cannot impose on its own.
True initiative is not demanded—it is demonstrated on the battlefield.
#UkraineWar
Moscow is humiliating itself by asking its enemy for recognition of a superiority it cannot impose on its own.
True initiative is not demanded—it is demonstrated on the battlefield.
#UkraineWar
🇺🇸🇺🇦Trump changed his tone: from threats to praise for Ukraine's resistance after meeting with Zelensky.
Trump feels pressure from the pro-Ukraine American electorate—evangelicals, traditional Republicans, and the diaspora do not want capitulation to Putin.
#UkraineWar
Trump feels pressure from the pro-Ukraine American electorate—evangelicals, traditional Republicans, and the diaspora do not want capitulation to Putin.
#UkraineWar
December 29, 2025 at 4:04 AM
🇺🇸🇺🇦Trump changed his tone: from threats to praise for Ukraine's resistance after meeting with Zelensky.
Trump feels pressure from the pro-Ukraine American electorate—evangelicals, traditional Republicans, and the diaspora do not want capitulation to Putin.
#UkraineWar
Trump feels pressure from the pro-Ukraine American electorate—evangelicals, traditional Republicans, and the diaspora do not want capitulation to Putin.
#UkraineWar
🇺🇸🇺🇦Meeting between Trump and Zelensky at Mar-a-Lago (December 28)
Trump's priority:not achieving a just peace, but scoring a personal diplomatic victory and gaining political capital for the 2026 parliamentary elections
He will be willing to sacrifice Ukraine's integrity to save Putin's regime
#Trump
Trump's priority:not achieving a just peace, but scoring a personal diplomatic victory and gaining political capital for the 2026 parliamentary elections
He will be willing to sacrifice Ukraine's integrity to save Putin's regime
#Trump
December 28, 2025 at 6:22 AM
🇺🇸🇺🇦Meeting between Trump and Zelensky at Mar-a-Lago (December 28)
Trump's priority:not achieving a just peace, but scoring a personal diplomatic victory and gaining political capital for the 2026 parliamentary elections
He will be willing to sacrifice Ukraine's integrity to save Putin's regime
#Trump
Trump's priority:not achieving a just peace, but scoring a personal diplomatic victory and gaining political capital for the 2026 parliamentary elections
He will be willing to sacrifice Ukraine's integrity to save Putin's regime
#Trump
🇷🇺 Putin canceled his annual speech to the Federal Assembly—the second time since the invasion of Ukraine.
A sign of weakness: he is giving up the main propaganda show of the year.
He avoids giving explanations for the massive losses on the front and the economy hit by sanctions.
#UkraineWar
A sign of weakness: he is giving up the main propaganda show of the year.
He avoids giving explanations for the massive losses on the front and the economy hit by sanctions.
#UkraineWar
December 27, 2025 at 2:58 AM
🇷🇺 Putin canceled his annual speech to the Federal Assembly—the second time since the invasion of Ukraine.
A sign of weakness: he is giving up the main propaganda show of the year.
He avoids giving explanations for the massive losses on the front and the economy hit by sanctions.
#UkraineWar
A sign of weakness: he is giving up the main propaganda show of the year.
He avoids giving explanations for the massive losses on the front and the economy hit by sanctions.
#UkraineWar
🇺🇦⚔️Budanov: "Europe is the only remaining direction for Russian expansion: north means the US, south means China, east means the ocean"
North&East: ocean+US
South: mountains, deserts+China, India, Iran
West: plains+EU
Polish-German plains = Russia's gateway to Europe, defended by Ukraine
#UkraineWar
North&East: ocean+US
South: mountains, deserts+China, India, Iran
West: plains+EU
Polish-German plains = Russia's gateway to Europe, defended by Ukraine
#UkraineWar
December 26, 2025 at 5:09 AM
🇺🇦⚔️Budanov: "Europe is the only remaining direction for Russian expansion: north means the US, south means China, east means the ocean"
North&East: ocean+US
South: mountains, deserts+China, India, Iran
West: plains+EU
Polish-German plains = Russia's gateway to Europe, defended by Ukraine
#UkraineWar
North&East: ocean+US
South: mountains, deserts+China, India, Iran
West: plains+EU
Polish-German plains = Russia's gateway to Europe, defended by Ukraine
#UkraineWar
🇺🇦⚔️ Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on Christmas Eve.
Russia celebrates Christmas on January 7 (Julian calendar), so December 25 is not a holy day for Moscow. The timing shows deliberate contempt for Western and Ukrainian values.
Merry Christmas!
#UkraineWar
Russia celebrates Christmas on January 7 (Julian calendar), so December 25 is not a holy day for Moscow. The timing shows deliberate contempt for Western and Ukrainian values.
Merry Christmas!
#UkraineWar
December 24, 2025 at 10:01 PM
🇺🇦⚔️ Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on Christmas Eve.
Russia celebrates Christmas on January 7 (Julian calendar), so December 25 is not a holy day for Moscow. The timing shows deliberate contempt for Western and Ukrainian values.
Merry Christmas!
#UkraineWar
Russia celebrates Christmas on January 7 (Julian calendar), so December 25 is not a holy day for Moscow. The timing shows deliberate contempt for Western and Ukrainian values.
Merry Christmas!
#UkraineWar
🇺🇦⚔️ Orwell: "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past."
The Russian aggressor's strategy: rewriting history and denying the existence of a distinct Ukrainian people to justify imperialist war and annexations.
#UkraineWar
The Russian aggressor's strategy: rewriting history and denying the existence of a distinct Ukrainian people to justify imperialist war and annexations.
#UkraineWar
December 24, 2025 at 6:32 AM
🇺🇦⚔️ Orwell: "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past."
The Russian aggressor's strategy: rewriting history and denying the existence of a distinct Ukrainian people to justify imperialist war and annexations.
#UkraineWar
The Russian aggressor's strategy: rewriting history and denying the existence of a distinct Ukrainian people to justify imperialist war and annexations.
#UkraineWar
🇵🇱Poland's advantages in a defensive war against Russia:
•experience—soldiers tested in Iraq & Afghanistan
•geography—perfect terrain for ambushes and attrition (mountains, dense forests, rivers, swamps)
•NATO + Western equipment
Poland in 2025 is much better prepared than Ukraine in 2022
#UkraineWar
•experience—soldiers tested in Iraq & Afghanistan
•geography—perfect terrain for ambushes and attrition (mountains, dense forests, rivers, swamps)
•NATO + Western equipment
Poland in 2025 is much better prepared than Ukraine in 2022
#UkraineWar
December 23, 2025 at 5:59 AM
🇵🇱Poland's advantages in a defensive war against Russia:
•experience—soldiers tested in Iraq & Afghanistan
•geography—perfect terrain for ambushes and attrition (mountains, dense forests, rivers, swamps)
•NATO + Western equipment
Poland in 2025 is much better prepared than Ukraine in 2022
#UkraineWar
•experience—soldiers tested in Iraq & Afghanistan
•geography—perfect terrain for ambushes and attrition (mountains, dense forests, rivers, swamps)
•NATO + Western equipment
Poland in 2025 is much better prepared than Ukraine in 2022
#UkraineWar
🇺🇦⚔️ Machiavelli: "In politics, the choice is rarely between good and evil, but between the greater evil and the lesser evil."
Zelensky chooses the lesser evil: giving up NATO membersh to avoid the greater evil—the definitive surrender of the territories occupied by Putin.
#UkraineWar
Zelensky chooses the lesser evil: giving up NATO membersh to avoid the greater evil—the definitive surrender of the territories occupied by Putin.
#UkraineWar
December 22, 2025 at 6:18 AM
🇺🇦⚔️ Machiavelli: "In politics, the choice is rarely between good and evil, but between the greater evil and the lesser evil."
Zelensky chooses the lesser evil: giving up NATO membersh to avoid the greater evil—the definitive surrender of the territories occupied by Putin.
#UkraineWar
Zelensky chooses the lesser evil: giving up NATO membersh to avoid the greater evil—the definitive surrender of the territories occupied by Putin.
#UkraineWar
🇺🇸🇺🇦 AOL | Top Republican senators (Graham, McConnell) urge Trump to allow Ukraine to buy American weapons with frozen Russian funds.
🧭 Trump no longer has control over the party's position on Ukraine.
The isolationist wing is losing ground. What will Trump do?
#UkraineWar #Trump #GOP
🧭 Trump no longer has control over the party's position on Ukraine.
The isolationist wing is losing ground. What will Trump do?
#UkraineWar #Trump #GOP
December 20, 2025 at 10:15 PM
🇺🇸🇺🇦 AOL | Top Republican senators (Graham, McConnell) urge Trump to allow Ukraine to buy American weapons with frozen Russian funds.
🧭 Trump no longer has control over the party's position on Ukraine.
The isolationist wing is losing ground. What will Trump do?
#UkraineWar #Trump #GOP
🧭 Trump no longer has control over the party's position on Ukraine.
The isolationist wing is losing ground. What will Trump do?
#UkraineWar #Trump #GOP
🇺🇦Dostoevsky:“The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to a point that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him”
Putin, in his 2025 annual address: “We did not start this war.
He has been repeating the same lie for nearly 4 years-and has come to believe it himself
Putin, in his 2025 annual address: “We did not start this war.
He has been repeating the same lie for nearly 4 years-and has come to believe it himself
December 20, 2025 at 4:35 AM
🇺🇦Dostoevsky:“The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to a point that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him”
Putin, in his 2025 annual address: “We did not start this war.
He has been repeating the same lie for nearly 4 years-and has come to believe it himself
Putin, in his 2025 annual address: “We did not start this war.
He has been repeating the same lie for nearly 4 years-and has come to believe it himself
🇸🇰 Slovakia is digging its own geopolitical grave. Fico, aligned with Orban, is undermining EU/NATO unity and blocking support for Ukraine. If Russia wins, revisionism will dominate Europe, and Slovakia, vulnerable to Hungarian irredentism, will need the EU and NATO more than ever. #UkraineWar
December 19, 2025 at 3:40 AM
🇸🇰 Slovakia is digging its own geopolitical grave. Fico, aligned with Orban, is undermining EU/NATO unity and blocking support for Ukraine. If Russia wins, revisionism will dominate Europe, and Slovakia, vulnerable to Hungarian irredentism, will need the EU and NATO more than ever. #UkraineWar