Gabriele Guaitoli
gguaitoli.bsky.social
Gabriele Guaitoli
@gguaitoli.bsky.social
Macroeconomist, working on space, labour and inequalities | Postdoc @ INSEAD | Warwick PhD | https://www.gabrieleguaitoli.com
These implicit assumptions impose all kind of problems. From lack of identification, to assuming that no change in regulations can make prices fall if demand is fixed.

Some are not necessarily issues, but require reflection on whether they are suitable for the policy question of the paper.

8/n
November 10, 2025 at 1:34 PM
I formalise this argument into seeking to estimate the "Elasticity" and "Baseline" effects of policies.

For example, reducing minimum plot sizes not only reduces the price-demand elasticity (Elasticity effect), but also the cost of supplying the existing units (Baseline Effect).

5/n
November 10, 2025 at 1:34 PM
New paper alert! 🚨

What are the aggregate effects of NIMBY policies? How much GDP would we gain from building more in productive cities?

I show that how house prices are modelled matters for the answer. Most popular house price functions and microfoundations *underestimate* policy gains! #econsky
November 10, 2025 at 1:34 PM