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globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor
@globalinvestor.bsky.social
260 followers 3 following 5.2K posts
Investment, Equity (on Wall Street), Macro Research background. ~10 years of experience in markets, supporting investors in succeeding. Join 5000+ FREE subscribers at https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/
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Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 17m
🔥Billionaire Ray Dalio says gold is more of a safe haven than the US dollar.

Gold is excellent diversifier of the portfolio strong store of value at a time of rising government debt, geopolitical tensions, and the erosion of confidence in currencies.
globalmarketsinvesto... 👇
🚨 Gold prices surpassed $4,000 for the first time
Gold and silver are having outstanding performance
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Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 1h
⚠️ S&P 500 Shiller P/E (CAPE) — smooths earnings over a 10-year period and adjusts for inflation to account for economic cycles

At ~40x, this is one of the highest readings EVER.

Historically, high CAPE values preceded long-term returns FAR below avg👇
🚨 US stock market valuations are hitting historic extremes.
A few metrics beautifully compiled by @AugurInfinity show the market is more expensive than nearly any point over the last 100 years
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Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 2h
🔥THERE WE GO:

Gold prices hit $4,000 per ounce for the FIRST TIME IN HISTORY.

Gold prices have SKYROCKETED 53% year-to-date.

The gold market cap hit $28 trillion.

Something is wrong with the global economy or the financial system. 👇
🚨 Gold prices surpassed $4,000 for the first time
Gold and silver are having outstanding performance
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 3h
🚨HERE WE GO AGAIN in Japan:

Japan's 20-year government bond yield hit its highest since 1999.

The 30-year JGB yield reached its highest since debuting in 1999.

The 40-year JGB yield is near its highest since debuting in 2007. 👇
🔴Japanese long-term government bond yields are trading at multi-year highs
Japanese government bonds are selling-off again
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globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 4h
⚠️US ECONOMY HAS:

1) JOBS REVISED DOWN BY ~900K in 12 mths ending Mar 2025.

2) Record $18 TRILLION in US household debt.

3) 446 BIG bankruptcies in 2025, the most in 15 YEARS

4) $1.6tn Deficit in 11 mths of FY2026

5) $37tn DEBT - record👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
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Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 5h
⚠️HOLY COW:

US corporate profits in non-financial domestic industries FELL by -$331 BILLION, or -11%, in Q1 2025.

This was the LARGEST quarterly decline in the data going back to 2001.

Q2 2025 saw only a slight improvement, with profits rising $9B👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
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globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 6h
🚨HOLY COW:

The BLS revised US job numbers DOWN by -911,000 for the 12 months ending March 2025.

This marks the biggest annual revision on record and exceeded expectations of 700-800K.

The previous record revision was -902,000 in 2009.👇
🚨The US labor market just saw the biggest downward revision on record
The US job market is falling apart
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 7h
‼️US FREIGHT RECESSION is getting worse:

The Cass Freight Index, a key measure of freight volumes, fell in August to the lowest since the Financial Crisis.

Weak consumer spending, housing, and industrial activity continue to hit demand.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 8h
🚨The US labor market is CONTRACTING.

US ADP Private Employment FELL -32,000 in September, far below the expected gain of +51,000.

August was revised DOWN by -57,000, to -3,000.

This rarely happens outside of RECESSIONS.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
1
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 9h
‼️US inflation is materially UNDERSTATED:

The True Living Cost (TLC), an alternate inflation metric, SURGED 30% faster than the CPI in 2001-2023.

TLC shows medical costs nearly TRIPLED during this time while CPI says they only doubled.👇
⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: US wages have been declining this century
Salary growth adjusted for an alternative inflation metric has materially declined.
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Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 10h
⚠️This is INSANE:

US job numbers have been revised DOWN by nearly 1,100,000 since February 2022.

These are the biggest downward revisions since the GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS.

This is a crisis.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
1
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 12h
🔥Are gold prices heading to $5,000 per ounce?

Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast by $600 to $4,900 by the end of 2026.

That would imply a 21% rise from the current price.

World central banks and Western ETFs are expected to continue driving demand, the bank says.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 13h
🔴US consumer demand for credit card debt is FALLING:

US consumer revolving credit, which covers credit cards, dropped by $6 BILLION in August — one of the largest monthly drops since the 2020 CRISIS.

Total consumer credit rose by just $363 million.

Are Americans tapped out?
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 15h
⚠️Retail investors have NEVER been buying so much US equities:

Individual investors have purchased $100 BILLION worth of stocks over the last month, an ALL-TIME RECORD.

Year-to-date, they bought a record $630 BILLION of stocks, on pace for $800 billion for the full year.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 16h
🔴 German industrial RECESSION is deepening:

Germany's industrial production FELL -4.3% in August, marking one of the largest monthly declines since the Financial Crisis.

This comes as automotive industry output COLLAPSED -18.5%.

Germany is in its 3rd year of recession.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 17h
🚨This is a CASINO-like market:

Total call options volume has averaged ~42 MILLION contracts per day over the last 20 days.

Call volume has DOUBLED in just 2 years.

As a result, average single-stock volatility in the S&P 500 SPIKED to its highest since the Financial Crisis.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 18h
⚠️Is the AI bubble on the verge of POPPING?

US stocks relative to global equities hit a RECORD 3.4x last year before rolling over.

The ratio fell to 3x as world outperformed the US

This is still WAY above the 2000 Dot-Com and Nifty 50 bubbles.

Will it revert to the average?
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 19h
🚨AI BUBBLE deals are a massive RED FLAG:

NVIDIA funds OpenAI, which buys NVIDIA chips.

AMD offers equity for chips.

This is circular financing dressed as strategy, echoing the late Dot-Com BUBBLE when Cisco funded gear purchases.

This huge bet on AI will end up in tears.
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globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 20h
🚨US household wealth has NEVER been more dependent on the S&P 500 performance:

US households hold a MASSIVE 80% of their assets in equities, an ALL-TIME HIGH.

The share is higher than at the Dot-Com era peak.

Diversification is nonexistent. 👇
US stocks face one of their worst years in history alongside historic valuations.
Time for an asset class performance review as of Q3 2025
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
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globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 20h
For the week ending October 10, 🔥key events are:

- FOMC Minutes on Wednesday

- Fed Chair Powell Speech on Thursday

- US Consumer Sentiment for October on Friday

- At least 12 Fed Speeches👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 23h
🔥GOLD IS GOING PARABOLIC:

Gold prices are up another 1.4% in today’s session, trading around $4,060 per ounce.

They have risen ~50% year-to-date, on track for the best year since 1979.

What is gold trying to tell us about the global financial system?
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 1d
🔥Investors cannot get enough gold:

Gold-backed ETFs saw 111 tonnes of gold inflows in September, the largest in 2.5 YEARS.

This marks the 8th consecutive month of inflows this year, one of the best streaks in 6 years.👇
Gold and silver are making history
What's next for the most in-demand precious metals?
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 1d
🚨Global debt is MASSIVE:

World debt covering government, households, and non-financial corporates hit $251 TRILLION in 2024.

Global debt-to-GDP is 235%, below the 2020 peak of 258%.

This does not include financial corporates.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 1d
🚨2-year and 10-year Japanese yields hit their highest levels in 17 YEARS:

This comes as Japan’s auction of 2-year government bonds drew the WEAKEST DEMAND since 2009.

Investors want higher yields to compensate for the risk.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
Global Markets Investor @globalinvestor.bsky.social · 1d
🔥The US Treasury’s gold reserves hit a record $1 TRILLION in value.

That’s over 90 TIMES the ~$11 billion reported on the government’s balance sheet.

The US holds the world’s largest gold reserves at 8,100 tonnes.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com