Gavin Hales
@gmhales.bsky.social
1.9K followers 900 following 880 posts
Researching/discussing policing, crime and the criminal justice system. Senior Associate Fellow @policefoundationuk.bsky.social but my own views. Based in London, UK.
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gmhales.bsky.social
And totally ignored in the debate about the policing of 'malicious communications', a sizeable chunk are domestic abuse related.
gmhales.bsky.social
I spotted an error in the final row of the table - corrected version here
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
Policy Exchange highlighting that the immediate custody rate for robbery last year was only 55%, but missing that's because very few child robbers get custodial sentences. For adults, the custody rate last year was 85%.
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
Can anyone explain to me why non-crime hate incidents aren't just logged as any other intelligence report, what if anything would be lost if they were, and why non-crime domestic incidents aren't part of the discussion? www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
gmhales.bsky.social
But the principle of recording non-crime incidents is identical.
gmhales.bsky.social
Was the focus on recording so they could be counted, in a way that other intel can't be?
gmhales.bsky.social
Policy Exchange highlighting that the immediate custody rate for robbery last year was only 55%, but missing that's because very few child robbers get custodial sentences. For adults, the custody rate last year was 85%.
gmhales.bsky.social
Can anyone explain to me why non-crime hate incidents aren't just logged as any other intelligence report, what if anything would be lost if they were, and why non-crime domestic incidents aren't part of the discussion? www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
gmhales.bsky.social
This is based on asking respondents to the Crime Survey if they reported their crime to police. That can then be used to estimate recording rates, but that's not what's shown here.
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
Have the public given up on reporting crime to the police?
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
And here's the blog. The basic point: there were huge changes to police crime recording from ~2014, as a result of a scandal and massively increased scrutiny. Note how, in the prev chart, violence without injury follows the same trend as sexual offences. www.police-foundation.org.uk/2018/03/crim...
Crime is up – blame the police?
Gavin Hales considers what the Crime Survey for England and Wales tells us about police...
www.police-foundation.org.uk
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
Second, immigration, police-recorded sexual offences and violent crime, and the same CSEW prevalence data. These are indexed to - and therefore show change relative to - 2012/13.
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
Is there a relationship between immigration and rape/sexual assault? Two charts and an old blog for your consideration.

First, immigration vs the prevalence of sexual assault recorded crime the Crime Survey.
gmhales.bsky.social
Have the public given up on reporting crime to the police?
Reposted by Gavin Hales
gmhales.bsky.social
On a similar theme, here's a health warning from ONS, from their most recent Crime in England and Wales report. www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
gmhales.bsky.social
On a similar theme, here's a health warning from ONS, from their most recent Crime in England and Wales report. www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
gmhales.bsky.social
And here's the blog. The basic point: there were huge changes to police crime recording from ~2014, as a result of a scandal and massively increased scrutiny. Note how, in the prev chart, violence without injury follows the same trend as sexual offences. www.police-foundation.org.uk/2018/03/crim...
Crime is up – blame the police?
Gavin Hales considers what the Crime Survey for England and Wales tells us about police...
www.police-foundation.org.uk
gmhales.bsky.social
Second, immigration, police-recorded sexual offences and violent crime, and the same CSEW prevalence data. These are indexed to - and therefore show change relative to - 2012/13.
gmhales.bsky.social
Is there a relationship between immigration and rape/sexual assault? Two charts and an old blog for your consideration.

First, immigration vs the prevalence of sexual assault recorded crime the Crime Survey.
gmhales.bsky.social
And I imagine there will be times when it is appropriate that specific defences relied on by a defendant are tested at trial.