Stephen Jackson
@goalprojection.bsky.social
Author of Dark Swans: A haunting techno-thriller. Actuary, Ipswich Town fan.
How many points do Ipswich need to survive? 34 points gives nearly 60% survival chance. The likely survival cut-off has dropped after weekend's fixtures.
January 7, 2025 at 2:40 PM
How many points do Ipswich need to survive? 34 points gives nearly 60% survival chance. The likely survival cut-off has dropped after weekend's fixtures.
Updated Premier League projection using shot based model
January 7, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Updated Premier League projection using shot based model
Updated Premier League projection using my shot-based model.
December 17, 2024 at 1:07 PM
Updated Premier League projection using my shot-based model.
Sometimes a Christmas present is not what it seems
December 9, 2024 at 2:11 PM
Sometimes a Christmas present is not what it seems
If you're after a quick read to get you into the festive spirit, check out my short ghost story, The Christmas Market amazon.co.uk/dp/B0DPHVXW5V
December 4, 2024 at 3:12 PM
If you're after a quick read to get you into the festive spirit, check out my short ghost story, The Christmas Market amazon.co.uk/dp/B0DPHVXW5V
This is how my model compares with the betting markets for this weekend's Premier League fixtures. Not much value.
November 23, 2024 at 8:51 AM
This is how my model compares with the betting markets for this weekend's Premier League fixtures. Not much value.
Modelled probabilities for this weekend's Premier League fixtures
November 22, 2024 at 2:53 PM
Modelled probabilities for this weekend's Premier League fixtures
Latest Premier League projection from my model. Still have City as favourites.
November 21, 2024 at 3:29 PM
Latest Premier League projection from my model. Still have City as favourites.