Sidenote: I'm utterly baffled that they shortlisted Cap 4 for VFX but not Thunderbolts, a *much* better-looking movie.

COSTUME - Knowing what I do about Sinners...it's ineligible, so #KateHawley for #Frankenstein.

MAKEUP/HAIR - Coin toss between #Frankenstein & #Sinners.

VISUAL EFFECTS - #AvatarFireAndAsh is gonna win; the Academy won't be allowed to give that snoozefest *nothing*.

#AcademyAwards 8/8

EDITING - Knowing what I do about #Sinners, picking #MichaelPShawver.

CINEMATOGRAPHY - #Frankenstein stills are utterly gorgeous, so #DanLaustsen.

PROD. DESIGN - I haven't picked #MartySupreme for anything else, so #JackFisk & #AdamWillis.

#2026OscarPredictions 7/8

SCORE - *Very* hard pick, but music being so essential to #Sinners makes me say #LudwigGoransson

SONG - Obviously #Golden from #KPopDemonHunters

SOUND - I haven't seen #F1, but if a car racing film *didn't* cause ears to bleed in theaters, it's gotta win for the mixing alone

#2026OscarPicks 6/?

SUPP. ACTRESS - #TeyanaTaylor, who should have a lead nomination (BUT WHERE'S GRANDE!?)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - I want Coogler, but I expect #JafarPanahi for #ItWasJustAnAccident.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Coin toss between #WillTracy for #Bugonia & #GuillermoDelToro for #Frankenstein

#OscarNoms2026 5/?

ACTOR - Of this field, #MichaelBJordan feels like a slam dunk. #Sinners

ACTRESS - #RoseByrne 'cuz #IfIHadLegsIdKickYou has no other noms & isn't Song Sung Blue. (BUT WHERE'S ERIVO!?)

SUPP. ACTOR - Can't say Elordi without laughing, so #StellanSkarsgard. #SentimentalValue

#OscarNominations 4/?

DOC FEATURE - All hot-button issues this year. #ThePerfectNeighbor feels like the most pressing *today*, like literally this day.

DOC SHORT - #ArmedOnlyWithACamera. The timing could not be more perfect.

CASTING - Stunned Sarah Finn isn't nominated. Gotta say #Sinners this time.

#OscarPicks 3/?

ANIMATED FEATURE - It'd be weird if it's not #KPopDemonHunters.

ANIMATED SHORT - No clue. Blind guess: #TheGirlWhoCriedPearls.

LIVE ACTION SHORT - #JaneAustensPeriodDrama has the best synopsis I've ever seen.

#Oscars2026 2/?

Oh, did the statute of limitations finally end?

She accepted that she lost. He won't tolerate that.

Based on what happened with Ayelet Zurer after the retool, I think they're trying to keep as much of the original cast as is willing/available.