Examples of countryside language #147: At the opening ceremony of #YSioe2024 at the Royal Welsh Showground in Powys, the speaker of the Welsh Parliament (the member for Ceredigion) joked that when she said that in 2124 there would be AI robots in the crowd, she did not mean Artifical Insemination

The Exit Poll

And now the exit poll, the moment in the night when everyone finds out if they have been elected or not according to the forecasts, and I have only one thing to say "Britain, prepare yourself, this is going to be an exit poll like no other!" #UKGeneralElection2024

Ten minutes left in #UKGeneralElection2024, and in these moments of calm I believe it is a good idea to remember the poet RUDYARD KIPLING who said in his poem "IF": "If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster, And treat those two impostors just the same:...you’ll be a Man, my son!"

Today is #GE2024 Election Day, whatever your thoughts about the parties, whether you agree with everything that has been said, or disagree with everything remember this, there are an estimated 48 million electors in this country, each of them has a vote, one vote can make all the difference. #VOTE

People of a certain vintage (most likely born before 1987) will have an understanding of what is likely to happen on Thursday, however for those of those born since 1997, the next few posts will prepare you for what is likely to happen. First this is the release of the 1997 exit poll and its effect

This chart shows the seven day moving average of the polls during the campaign up until June 24th and shows that just like in 1997, Labour have fallen from their pre election peak, but unsually the Conservatives have also fallen, and at the end, have Reform peaked?

And as well as those two parties, the Liberal Democrats will also be looking to increase the eight seats they had in the last parliament (ranked by majority on the left hand side) and their targets (ranked by swing on the right hand side)

For Labour to win a majority of their own, not only do they have to ensure the Conservatives lose 47 seats, but win 126 extra seats for themselves, something that only happened last in 1997 when Blair gained an extra 147 seats (this time ranked by Labour swing, the easiest in the top left)

In order to win another full term in office the Conservatives cannot lose more than 47 seats, these are those seats ranked by marginalinity (how close the challenger is to the Conservatives at the last election, the most marginal bottom left, safest top right)

And those notional calculations calculated by #Thrasher, #Rallings, #Denver and #Whyte are: 🟦Con 372 🟥Lab 200 🟨SNP 48 🟧Lib Dem 8 🟩Plaid Cymru 2 🌏Green 1 👨‍⚖️Speaker 1 with Northern Ireland parties winning the 18 seats in Northern Ireland, giving the Conservatives a majority of 94

In a week's time, the old notional House of Commons will be no more, having been filled with 650 new MP's. This has come around because the 650 seats at the last election have been rejigged to fit in with the new rules, therefore changes will be based on these notional calculations.

I migrated from Twitter in December 2021 due to the new owner's policy allowing vaccine denial promotion. I've been searching for a Twitter-like platform for the upcoming UK general election, aiming to explain the possible outcomes. I believe I have found such a platform.