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herb20102015.bsky.social
@herb20102015.bsky.social
20 followers 19 following 11 posts
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 184 (+15)
🔵 CPC: 124 (-20)
⚜️ BQ: 25 (+3)
🟠 NDP: 8 (+1)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- August 30, 2025 -

Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
As August Ends, Liberals Remain Ahead
Meanwhile, Liaison and Abacus are telling two very different stories in Ontario
open.substack.com
August 30, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
> Need 172 for a majority
> Win Terrebonne, end at 170 seats
-You are here-
> Win Windsor-Tecumseh recount, get to 171
> One NDP MP crosses the floor, end at 172
May 11, 2025 at 12:00 AM
herb20102015.bsky.social
Vive le Canada! 🇨🇦
May 11, 2025 at 2:08 AM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
338Canada pollster ratings for the 2025 election are here

338canada.com/ratings-ca20...
May 5, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Final Polling Canada Model Result:

🔴 LPC: 185 (+25)
🔵 CPC: 128 (+9)
⚜️ BQ: 21 (-11)
🟠 NDP: 9 (-16)
🟢 GPC: 0 (-2)

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

Full article available for free here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/polling-ca...
Polling Canada Projection: Liberal Majority
After a month of campaigning, the final Polling Canada model results in a Liberal majority
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 28, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Second last day of projections!
April 27, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

🔴 LPC: 193 (+33)
🔵 CPC: 119 (-)
⚜️ BQ: 20 (-12)
🟠 NDP: 10 (-15)
🟢 GPC: 1 (-1)

- April 24, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-3-when-t...
E-3: When The Polls Differ
Regional polling in Atlantic Canada suggests a rosier picture for the Liberals than national polls do
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 24, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
And here's today's projections
April 20, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Another update of the trackers
April 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

🔴 LPC: 199 (+39)
🔵 CPC: 114 (-5)
⚜️ BQ: 18 (-14)
🟠 NDP: 11 (-14)
🟢 GPC: 1 (-1)

- April 17, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-10-polls...
E-10: Polls Remain Steady Ahead Of English Debate
Meanwhile, more Canadians say they trust Carney more than Poilievre to do what's right for the economy
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 17, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

🔴 LPC: 199 (+39)
🔵 CPC: 117 (-2)
⚜️ BQ: 17 (-15)
🟠 NDP: 9 (-16)
🟢 GPC: 1 (-1)

- April 14, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-13-seats...
E-13: Seats Narrow, Liberals Retain Comfortable Majority
Carney continues to lead on the preferred Prime Minister question, while many don't expect him to win the French language debate
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 14, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

🔴 LPC: 205 (+45)
🔵 CPC: 115 (-4)
⚜️ BQ: 18 (-14)
🟠 NDP: 3 (-22)
🟢 GPC: 2 (-)

- April 10, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-17-do-yo...
E-17: (Do You) Believe The Polls (?)
Polling averages have historically been very accurate in predicting the election outcome
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 10, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

🔴 LPC: 205 (+45)
🔵 CPC: 116 (-3)
⚜️ BQ: 17 (-15)
🟠 NDP: 4 (-21)
🟢 GPC: 1 (-1)

- April 9, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-18-growi...
E-18: Growing Share Of Canadians Say To Re-Elect The Liberals
Meanwhile, Canadians give Carney credit for eliminating the consumer carbon tax.
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 9, 2025 at 9:13 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 199 (+39)
CPC: 122 (+3)
BQ: 17 (-15)
NDP: 5 (-20)
GPC: 0 (-2)

- April 3, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-24-holdi...
E-24: Holding The Line
Federal polling remains steady as markets plunge after Trump's "Liberation Day" announcements
canadianpolling.substack.com
April 3, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 202 (+42)
CPC: 121 (+2)
BQ: 17 (-15)
NDP: 3 (-22)
GPC: 0 (-2)

- April 2, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
E-25: Liberals Blitz Past 200 Seats
For the first time, the Liberals have crossed the 200 seat threshold, winning 202 on today's model
open.substack.com
April 2, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Reposted
stephaniecarvin.bsky.social
BAGS! BAGS OF MILK YOU IMBECILE! 🇨🇦🥛🇨🇦
April 2, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 199 (+39)
CPC: 119 (-)
BQ: 19 (-13)
NDP: 5 (-20)
GPC: 1 (-1)

- April 1, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
E-26: Liberals Maintain The Advantage
As April begins, a flurry of new polling suggests the Liberals are polling well ahead of the Conservatives
open.substack.com
April 2, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted
usapolling.bsky.social
Deeply unserious people
April 1, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 197 (+37)
CPC: 119 (-)
BQ: 20 (-12)
NDP: 6 (-19)
GPC: 1 (-1)

- March 30, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-28-conse...
E-28: Conservatives Tied With Their 2021 Election Result
Despite being up three-points nationally from their 2021 finish, the Conservatives are still sitting at 119 seats on the model
canadianpolling.substack.com
March 31, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 195 (+35)
CPC: 121 (+2)
BQ: 21 (-11)
NDP: 5 (-20)
GPC: 1 (-1)

- March 28, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/e-30-liber...
E-30: Liberals Hold Nine Point Lead In Ontario
New polling out of Ontario has boosted the Grits further in the province, at the expense of the Conservatives
canadianpolling.substack.com
March 28, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
Here's the latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 190 (+30)
CPC: 124 (+5)
BQ: 21 (-11)
NDP: 6 (-19)
GPC: 2 (-)

- March 27, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
E-31: Liberals Continue To Rise
New polling puts the Liberals at 190 seats nationally, with the Conservatives dipping to 124
open.substack.com
March 28, 2025 at 2:39 PM
herb20102015.bsky.social
#ElbowsUp Friends. ✊🏿
March 28, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)

Ontario - Federal Polling:

LPC: 48% (+9)
CPC: 33% (-2)
NDP: 11% (-7)
GPC: 4% (+2)
Other: 4%

Campaign / Mar 26, 2025 / n=1902 / Online

(% Change w 2021 Federal Election)

Check out details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
March 27, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Reposted
canadianpolling.bsky.social
(Support me by subscribing/donating)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 50% (+17)
CPC: 35% (+1)
NDP: 7% (-11)
BQ: 4% (-4)
PPC: 2% (-3)
GPC: 2% (-)

EKOS / March 25, 2025 / n=1495 / MOE 2.4% / IVR

(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)

Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
March 26, 2025 at 10:06 PM
Reposted
bencollins.bsky.social
This is also known as invading Panama.
nbcnews.com NBC News @nbcnews.com · Mar 13
EXCLUSIVE: The Trump White House has directed the U.S. military to draw up options for increasing the American troop presence in Panama to achieve President Trump’s goal of “reclaiming” the Panama Canal, officials say.
Trump White House has asked U.S. military to develop options for the Panama Canal, officials say
Potential plans range from partnering more closely with the Panamanian military to a less likely option of U.S. troops seizing the canal by force, U.S. officials told NBC News
nbcnews.to
March 13, 2025 at 2:59 PM