HistInt
HistInt
@histint.bsky.social
History and international affairs
The best way to understand the Takaichi gov. in Japan is to see it as a Liz Truss with 75% approval rating. Their reckless fiscal policy is leading to currency and sovereign debt depreciation. Worse than Truss due to Takaichi's strong public backing. Hence a Truss gov. that cannot be replaced.
January 14, 2026 at 1:24 AM
An "inter-NATO war". Rarely heard of the concept except in a Greece vs Turkey context.

To save NATO (the non-US part of it), I believe all members are expected to heed the call for collective security.

www.cnbc.com/2026/01/09/n...
Trump is desperate to take Greenland. Can NATO defend itself — and is it willing to?
Trump’s ambition for Greenland raises questions about what happens when two NATO members come to blows.
www.cnbc.com
January 9, 2026 at 7:38 AM
The Danes have successfully resisted a German invasion in 1848. They failed in 1864 and 1940 but they are used to fighting far powerful adversaries.

www.euronews.com/2026/01/08/d...
Danish soldiers would shoot back if invaded, government confirms
Danish soldiers must open fire even without orders if US troops were to try and capture Greenland by force, according to a 1952 directive that Denmark's Defence Ministry confirmed remains in place, do...
www.euronews.com
January 9, 2026 at 7:14 AM
I am starting to understand how the Delian league junior members thought of Athens in c. BCE 420 by observing the US attitude towards its Allies.

No alliance lasts for ever.
January 9, 2026 at 6:59 AM
Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Yemen, Ukraine, Russia, Sudan, US ICE raids...

2026 is going to be a rough ride.
January 9, 2026 at 5:07 AM
He knows he and his family would be ruined (duly) if MAGA loses the next Presidential election and the midterms would be a precursor to it. He will do anything to avoid this. If democratic means do not suffice, he will go extra-legal, i.e. election manipulation and/or a top-led coup d'état.
Trump: "You gotta win the midterms. Because if we don't win the midterms, they'll find a reason to impeach me. I'll get impeached."
January 6, 2026 at 7:56 PM
Would become comedic if Trump kept abducting defiant Presidents of Venezuela.

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...
Donald Trump warns of ‘big price to pay’ if Caracas fails to toe line
Washington keeping 15,000-strong military presence in Caribbean in case interim president hinders US objectives
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 12:25 AM
Bold prediction on how WW3 will start.

1. Civil war in the US (triggered by election fraud or denial)

2. Russia and China invades the Baltics and Taiwan respectively

3. "The West" resists Russia and China

4. WW3: MAGA-US, Russia, China, DPRK vs Anti-MAGA-US, NATO, JPN, ROK, Taiwan
January 4, 2026 at 3:29 PM
The Venezuelan case is another example that a large scale mobilization would most likely lead to war. US force buildup in the Caribbean was extraordinary. Russian troop buildup in 2021-22 too. If China ever mass mobilises around Fujian province, we know what will come.
January 4, 2026 at 5:18 AM
I bet a Noriega inspired mugshot of Maduro will appear within 24 hours.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manuel_...
Manuel Noriega - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
January 3, 2026 at 10:51 AM
Perhaps the only silver lining of Trump's illegal operation in Venezuela is that it probably killed the stupid peace negotiations with Russia. At least for now.
January 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM
Pretty cool stuff: AIs playing the game of Monopoly

www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4NB...
GPT 5.2 vs Claude Opus 4.5 vs Grok 4.1 vs Gemini 3 Pro - AI Plays Monopoly
YouTube video by JC BuenaVentura
www.youtube.com
December 29, 2025 at 11:35 AM
BOJ hiked rates to 0.75% but importantly signalled that further rate hikes would not be coming anytime soon. So dovish overall. In response, the market is selling off on the Yen, and stock futures are on a upwards trajectory.
December 19, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Ukraine has to prove its sovereignty by detaching from MAGA run US. I hope they can do this.
November 25, 2025 at 12:04 AM
I have a fantasy that Marco Rubio joined the MAGA cabinet to prevent the world from collapsing. Probably an overestimation, yet...

www.bbc.com/news/article...
US and Ukraine signal peace plan progress after Geneva talks
Both sides say "intensive work" will take place on outstanding issues following talks on a US-backed plan to end the war.
www.bbc.com
November 24, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Israel might as well let journalists in Gaza. Satellite images reveal enough.
Gazan city of Khan Yunis is almost completely leveled, satellite images show
Israel's ground offensive has caused massive destruction in the Gaza Strip. Recent satellite photos show that the Israeli military has nearly completely razed the second-largest city in the Palestinia...
www.lemonde.fr
July 29, 2025 at 1:56 AM
Very confusing. MAGA-DOGE ideology will no doubt at least severely underfund the archives.
Many AHA members have expressed alarm about a posting by the National Archives about access restrictions at Archives II. In a message on X (formerly Twitter), the Archives has clarified that research rooms will remain open to the public. 🗃️(1/2)
Update on National Archives at College Park - AHA
Many AHA members have expressed alarm about a post on the National Archives website regarding restricted access to Archives II in College Park, Maryland. In a message on X (formerly Twitter), which we...
www.historians.org
June 26, 2025 at 4:22 AM
Iran invading Iraq will be an interesting (of course highly escalatory and worrying) move. I know little of the region, but one corner the Iranians might consider they can show an edge could be land forces. Both the US and Israel surely wouldn't want to be dragged into a land war. Thus the leverage.
June 22, 2025 at 1:56 PM
So Trump finally understood he's never going to get the Nobel Peace Prize and chose a war as his legacy.
June 19, 2025 at 12:25 PM
In July 1932, Weimar Germany's chancellor von Papen and President von Hindenburg orchestrated a federal coup to gain control of the powerful Prussian regional government. This paved the way for the Nazis gaining sweeping law enforcement powers as soon as Hitler took power.
June 10, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Their outfit (& choice of representatives) is symbolic. Shows that Ukraine regards their armed forces highly, in contrast to the Russians.
🇷🇺🇺🇦 In the second round of talks in Istanbul, Russia and Ukraine will discuss a ceasefire, exchange of POWs and civilians, and a possible meeting between the two presidents — Turkish FM confirms.
June 2, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Cannot but respect Ukrainian ingenuity
Ukrainian security service sources tell @financialtimes.com the agency is conducting "a large-scale special operation to destroy enemy bomber aircraft" deep inside Russia.

"SBU drones are targeting aircraft that bomb Ukrainian cities every night." Claims 40 aircraft have been hit.
June 1, 2025 at 12:15 PM
I don't know about your countries, but in Japan, the popular take on social media comments regarding the Trump ban on Harvard internationals, is "way to go Trump, Japan should do the same". We are all doomed.
May 23, 2025 at 8:31 AM