Robert Black
@hurricanexyz.bsky.social
14K followers 390 following 49K posts
Constitutional scholar, general law nerd, Izzet mage, bear lover, Mets fan. Trans rights are constitutional rights! Uphold Yang Wenli Thought He/him https://www.eveningconstitutional.net
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Yeah I don't actually think it's that novel, and I think Will himself would be the first one to tell you that
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
It's interesting to me how this seems to fall out along parliamentary vs. presidential lines, but not, like, for any super obvious reason?
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
There were definitely points in history where slavery was, pretty plausibly, a humane innovation, as against the existing practice of "slaughter everybody when you win a war"
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Oooooh so like the worst possible answer
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Donny, buddy, you know you can just pardon George if you want to
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
You want to see Scientific Stancilism, in other words
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
How did that even work, who got to effectively control those two seats? Who were the five people mentioned in that story and why were they involved if they didn't live there?
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Part of the (mostly unspoken, I believe) reasoning of Baker v. Carr is "if we say there's just no rule at all, good golly can it ever get Worse than it already is"
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Yeah I uhhhh, keep meaning to try to customize the design of my site, which is on ghost
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
At this point that seems likely, although I wouldn't rule out "it's already started"
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
When they stopped letting Old Sarum send two men to parliament is one of the conventional markers for when Britain became a real democracy

(It wasn't just that, of course, it was part of a bigger electoral reform happening at that time)
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
(I'm not even joking, I've heard people advance with a straight face the idea that "beyond a reasonable doubt" means 90%)
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Proof beyond a reasonable doubt is like when a team's playoff odds on Fangraphs dip from 0.1% to 0.0%
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Yeah uhhhhh the law world does Not know about Bayes's Theorem
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Battle of Portland goes to the home team
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Serious > significant, here?

Also lol, the intersection of these other standards with reasonable doubt is always funny. "Well uhhh I have a reasonable doubt because I don't know what 'serious risk' actually means, so..."
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
This particular little anecdote (debate about whether slurs for robots are okay immediately spills over into using those same slurs on humans) feels pretty predictable though
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Ohhhh yeah. They always resist giving overly specific definitions. To some extent we want to let juries be black boxes on this stuff.
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Come now, in your heart of hearts you knew it would be this dumb
hurricanexyz.bsky.social
Oh there's whole philosophy of law debates about whether the various burdens of proof are meant to correspond to numerical probability thresholds or not

(I'm very much Team Not, at least as a general matter. Preponderance of the evidence, sure, that [basically] represents 50/50)