Jake Burgess
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jakeburgess13.bsky.social
Jake Burgess
@jakeburgess13.bsky.social
West Point Soccer ‘22

MLS | NWSL | Soccer Analytics

@SundayLeague 📊
https://jakeaburgess.substack.com/?utm_campaign=profile_chips
The power of Goal Probability Added in action.

#MLS #SportingKC
November 28, 2025 at 3:20 PM
He had some of the best defensive contribution numbers in the league. It helped him out a that DC United were in the top 5 worst teams in terms of ball possession.

It’s a good point that the model may be rewarding teams for being in bad situations that require defensive contributions to be made.
November 26, 2025 at 11:29 PM
MLS Goal Probability Added (GPA) Rankings : 2025 Season

The players adding the most value per pass, dribble, reception, shot, and defensive contribution this year.

Top Players: Bouanga, Messi, Surridge

Top Defenders: Max Arfsten, Berhalter, Freeman

#MLS #Bouanga #Messi
November 26, 2025 at 9:22 PM
I’m in the early stages of building a model that assigns value to every on-ball action based on its impact on creating goals. Do these Sounders player rankings look accurate for this season?

#mls #seattlesounders
November 26, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Sebastian Berhalter. Fearless Leader
November 23, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Minnesota United were such an annoying but efficient team to play against in 2025

Last place in total attacking third touches but above average in goals created and finished 4th in the West. 46% of their goals this season came from set pieces.
November 9, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Passing Contributions
November 7, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Sounders vs Loons Defensive Player Contributions
November 7, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United

Game 1 and 2 Positional Player Map

#mls #sounders #seattle
November 7, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United

Game 1 and 2 Attacking Momentum Flow

#Sounders #MinnesotaUnited #MLS
November 7, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Danny Musovski MLS xG stats over the years
#mls #sounders #musovski
November 7, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Maddie Mercado and Jordyn Bugg were standout defenders in Seattle Reign's draw with Orlando Pride last night.

#reign #orlando #nwsl #jordynbugg #maddiemercado
November 4, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Seattle Reign (1) vs Orlando Pride (1)
Expected Goals + Expected Assists Contributions

#reign #pride #nwsl
November 4, 2025 at 12:55 AM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Attacking Momentum Flow Chart From Both Regular Season Encounters

#seattlesounders #minnesotaunited #mls
November 3, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Season G+ Stats @americansocceranalysis.com
#seattlesounders #minnesotaunited
November 3, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Season Offensive Stat Comparison
#sounders #mls #minnesotaunited
November 3, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Minnesota United non-penalty shot map from 5 previous matches
#minnesotaunited #mls
November 3, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Seattle Sounders non-penalty shot map from 5 previous matches
#seattlesounders #mls
November 3, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United
MLS Playoffs Game 2 Probabilities

Seattle Win: 57%
Minnesota Win: 20%
PK Shootout: 24%

#sounders #minnesotaunited #mls
November 3, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Seattle Reign (1) vs Orlando Pride (1) - Shot Map
#SeattleReign #OrlandoPride #NWSL
November 3, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Seattle Reign (1) - Orlando Pride (1)
Attacking Momentum Flow

#SeattleReign #OrlandoPride
November 3, 2025 at 12:42 AM
11th place on expected points and average to below average in most stats… the Reign are somehow 4th in the NWSL. Potentially thanks to chat gpt?
October 30, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Game 1 Momentum Chart

#mls #seattle #sounders
October 30, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Sounders vs Minnesota Game 1 Player Contributions

#seattlesounders #mls
October 30, 2025 at 2:26 AM
Seattle Reign xG performance (2025)
#seattlereign #mls
October 27, 2025 at 10:49 AM