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Jared Peterson

@jaredpeterson.bsky.social

1.1K followers 1.5K following 140 posts

Cognitive science | Naturalistic Decision Making | behavior change | jtpeterson.substack.com

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Nov 16

#introduction I'm an applied researcher interested in
- expert and rational decision making
- motivation and behavior change
- sensemaking and relevance realization
- philosophy of science and how context breaks our models
- AI
- What all this implies for science and industry (1/5)

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · 8d

The paper changed significantly in the re-write. 6-pages as conversation starter for the NDM conference. I'd still love to get your take if you are not too busy with your new book :). Especially since you introduced me to the Bordalo et al. paper which makes an appearance.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · 22d

Here is the article jtpeterson.substack.com/p/psychology...

Psychology Experiments Are Gardens, Not Digsites

(Most of the time)

jtpeterson.substack.com

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · 22d

Got a nice honorable mention from Experimental History🐐

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Aug 31

That may have been the intention. But at some point the medium became the message, and it seems biases became more important than heuristics. I'm not entirely sure how Kahneman felt about that shift.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · May 13

New article on context and the psychological paradigm, arguing that the boundaries we have put around "psychology" are in the wrong place. What we have dismissed as context is actually content.

jtpeterson.substack.com/p/rethinking...

Rethinking the Edges of the Mind – Part I

What is context? Why is it so hard to study? Can we redraw the boundaries of psychology so that context becomes content?

jtpeterson.substack.com

Reposted by Jared Peterson

Roger L. Cauvin @rcauvin.bsky.social · Mar 8

The behaviors, problems, and outcomes that impact your customers most usually don't happen inside your product. Listen to @jaredpeterson.bsky.social describe how #UX and #prodmgmt often neglect what happens outside the product.
www.productcoalition.com/p/behavioura...

Behavioural Science and Strategy Alignment

In this episode of the Product Coalition podcast, Jay Stansell interviews Jared Peterson, a behavioral scientist and co-founder of Nuance Behavior.

www.productcoalition.com

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Mar 4

Which is why John always emphasizes that there is no single correct answer when he does TDGs. The only thing that matters is that you bring good ideas to the table.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Mar 4

I've been getting more into military doctrine. My boss is John Schmitt who wrote War fighting, which is tactical doctrine for the Marines. I'm increasingly concerned there will be a need to know this stuff

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Feb 27

To those interested in the science of decision-making, here is a primer on the main schools of thought, the personalities behind them, and some resources for learning more.

substack.com/home/post/p-...

The Many Schools of the Great Rationality Debate

A war of acronyms and personalities

substack.com

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Feb 5

So we're not mapping the non-ethical side. In some sense, what we're interested in is our ability to predict someone's ethical choices. But to do that, we have to know what ethical factors they consider. eg whether they are the perpetrator or the victim, long term quality of life, etc.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Feb 4

Not naive. It means something like "how much variance can we explain on the ethical side." But the problem is circular. We can explain the majority of the variance for the probes we've written. But are our probes comprehensively testing the reasons medics choose one patient over another?

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Feb 3

Thanks for sharing. I follow some bioethicists, so am hoping one might chime in.

We've already done a first pass on the ethical factors, but now were being asked about whether we have sufficiently mapped the decision space. And that is a hard question that I don't really know how to answer

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Feb 3

Has anyone done a comprehensive analysis of factors that people think are, or think should be, ethically relevant when doing triage? eg likelihood of survival is relevant, some think "woman and children first", most think race is irrelevant, etc.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 28

I read somewhere that one hamburger is about 10,000 queries worth of water and electricity. But I'm not sure how many queries are worth one unit of Jared

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 28

These price comparisons are getting out of control

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 10

It's one of the best subtitles of all time. And given that I've worked in both traditions, it seemed appropriate

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 7

In fact, here's a thread from @aleximas.bsky.social where he talks a bit about it. There was also a recent paper on Loss Aversion that has people asking whether it is dead (Decisions under risk are decisions under complexity), which is part of the Cognitive Turn, as I understand it.

Alex Imas @aleximas.bsky.social · Dec 2

This is the issue that the new cognitive turn in behavioral econ has to resolve head on.

Is the dimensionality of factors that the new frameworks are introducing going to be so high to make them vacuous? 1/n

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Dec 1

Three formal arguments for why there cannot be a finite set of cognitive biases.

The lack of a finite set of biases is one reason I believe Heuristics and Biases cannot survive long term as a prescriptive paradigm. A paradigm of deviations must eventually collapse under its own weight.

Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 6

There's a paper called "The Cognitive Turn in Behavioral Economics" which is the only reference I really know of. Outside of that, it's mostly stuff I just pick up on BlueSky here and there

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 6

Cognitive Turn people. Are any of you reading about Naturalistic Decision Making? Started reading *A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice* and thought, "this is just a math-y version of Dataframe Theory of Sensemaking, and Recognition Primed Decision-Making.

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Jan 2

Newly published follow-up article to the #BehavioralScience framework tier list series I've been doing the past few months. Curious to hear your thoughts!

open.substack.com/pub/jtpeters...

Reposted by Jared Peterson

Ronen Tamari @ronentk.me · Dec 30

Cool to see lots of ppl getting excited about “Science Goodreads”! (x.com/sanjehorah/s...)

Why it doesn’t exist yet is an interesting rabbit hole I went down a few years ago (which also resulted in me joining the @asterainstitute.bsky.social Open Science fellowship) >

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Dec 25

Kahneman would resist so long as he can't see it because wysiati

Thaler would resist so long as it is stored with the cashews

Zimbardo would write up how he resisted, but it would be fake

Freud would be torn, but Id would win

Mischel would pretend it was a picture of a ring, but would give in

paolo @paolopalma.bsky.social · Dec 25

name a famous psychologist who would resist the One Ring

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Dec 25

Anyways, merry Christmas. Make sure to get in your annual LoTR marathon in before the end of the year. It embodies the spirit of Christmas in a way few other works do.

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Dec 25

Many non LOTR characters could have resisted the ring for minutes or even years. But I have yet to see anyone mention someone who could toss it in the fire. Only someone who knows true redeeming love could have succeeded at the quest, and only then by losing their life for the one they love

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Jared Peterson @jaredpeterson.bsky.social · Dec 25

If Sam had been able to see and accept the change in Smeagol, Smeagol may have been redeemed.

And at the end, pulled between the ring and his love for Frodo, unable to give up the ring, but compelled by love, Smeagol may have "voluntarily cast himself into the fire" in a final act of love

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