Jeffrey Pryce
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Jeffrey Pryce
@jeffpryce.bsky.social
International Security & International Law at Johns Hopkins SAIS.
Sr. Fellow, SAIS Foreign Policy Institute.
Former DoD Special Counsel for International Affairs; Counselor, OSD Policy.
[Own views, no endorsement, etc.]
It looks like direct travel between India and China is going to be resumed. So at least in the short term, and at the public diplomacy level -- and maybe more deeply -- there seems to be a warming between India and China. That could have geopolitical implications.
September 1, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Regarding India, Modi's attendance is symbolically important. Modi did not attend the last SCO summit. The SCO has grown into a kind of China-centered alternative security forum. Given the traditional alignments on the Asian geopolitical chessboard, Modi's participation is significant.
September 1, 2025 at 9:58 PM
(That said, Putin is evidently going to use this summit to give other participants his version of the conversations in Anchorage, and to seek to use the SCO forum to his diplomatic advantage.)
September 1, 2025 at 9:57 PM
But Xi is walking a fine line, giving Putin some material assistance, but not going so far as to provide direct military support, which could then trigger sanctions from the US and other parts of the world.
September 1, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Regarding implications for Ukraine: It's not good, certainly on the public diplomacy level. Remember that just before Putin launched his invasion, after the 2022 Olympics in China, he and Xi announced their "no limits" partnership; it appeared that Putin had a kind of tacit approval from Xi.
September 1, 2025 at 9:55 PM
It's a win for Putin as well -- his second red-carpet summit, after the one with President Trump in Anchorage. Putin couldn't go to recent BRICS summits in Brazil and South Africa, because there's an arrest warrant out for him from the International Criminal Court. He's having a good August.
September 1, 2025 at 9:53 PM
From memory, it was originally three zones of occupation (US, British and Soviet). Stalin agreed to add France as an occupying power so long as its zone came out of the British and US areas.
April 22, 2025 at 12:58 AM