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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 4h

Plenty to JD friends, none who ask to go by Dr, sounds like a blowhard

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 1d

Very very cool

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 1d

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 2d

I think this is one of the more important articles I've written in my career. Draws on lots of research and data. I hope it can be a reference for people and that it will make a positive impact. Goes out to all Strength In Numbers readers tomorrow morning: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/most-polls...

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 4d

Great way to term it. I was playing with “quiet quitting the union” myself but yours is better

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 6d

His books also helped me get back into reading for pleasure, in general. Was hard to get motivated to fun-read after academic reading for 10+ years, but his books also helped!

João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 7d

Thanks for sharing

Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 7d

Was asked about collinearity again, so here's Vahove's 2019 post on why it isn't a problem that needs a solution. Design the model(s) to answer a formal question and free your mind janhove.github.io/posts/2019-0...

tl;dr

Collinearity is a form of lack of information that is appropriately reflected in the output of your statistical model.
When collinearity is associated with interpretational difficulties, these difficulties aren’t caused by the collinearity itself. Rather, they reveal that the model was poorly specified (in that it answers a question different to the one of interest), that the analyst overly focuses on significance rather than estimates and the uncertainty about them or that the analyst took a mental shortcut in interpreting the model that could’ve also led them astray in the absence of collinearity.
If you do decide to “deal with” collinearity, make sure you can still answer the question of interest.

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 7d

I think very few are knowingly champing at the bit for authoritarianism and, and I think many may not fully be engaged enough to know what he’s actually doing

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 8d

Doesn’t necessarily mean all 42% agree the authoritarian tendencies of the admin

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 12d

Excited to share my latest preprint, a study from my postdoc days on the social neuroscience of mental representational change! Leveraging two cohorts of first year high schoolers, we used RSA to show that spontaneously evoked mental representations of known others grow more idiosyncratic with time

bioRxiv Neuroscience @biorxiv-neursci.bsky.social · 13d

Getting to Know You: Neural Representations of Other People Grow More Perceiver-Specific Over Time https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.09.23.677973v1

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Fernando Rosas @frosas.bsky.social · 14d

Finally published:
“Toward a unified taxonomy of information dynamics via Integrated Information Decomposition”
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

An information-theoretic framework to analyse complex multivariate dynamical processes ✨

Toward a unified taxonomy of information dynamics via Integrated Information Decomposition | PNAS

Our ability to understand and control complex systems of many interacting parts remains limited. A key challenge is that we still do not know how b...

www.pnas.org

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 16d

Disney reverses course on Kimmel. Lessons:

-Trump's anti-Constitutional stances, anti-1A in this case, are unpopular
-Popular resistance via expression and spending choices can have an impact
-Many corporate leaders are weak, amoral people who'll bow to threats unless they face countervailing ones

Oliver Darcy @oliverdarcy.bsky.social · 16d

Breaking: Jimmy Kimmel to return Tuesday.

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Mark Histed @markhisted.org · 16d

The New York Times piece today about US science is terrible and wrong—in many ways.

I could write a whole article about this, but as one example:

“To close observers, the original crisis began well before any of this…”
No. I’m a close observer of science, and this is incorrect.

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 17d

It’s one game bruh

Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Jenna Norton @jenna-m-norton.bsky.social · 17d

Excellent explainer on why private industry and venture capital can’t replace government funded basic science research.

Mark Histed @markhisted.org · 24d

That view is exceptionally naive.

As @narosenblum.bsky.social and I wrote last fall, “basic scientific research [is] a long-term investment, one that only governments have the time horizon to make, and it brings enormous payoffs.”

It can’t just be moonshots and looking for unicorn behemoths.

Basic Science Is The Foundation Of Future Cures

Injecting partisan politics into American basic science would be terrible for the US: for the economy, and for development of future treatments for diseases like schizophrenia and Alzheimer's.

www.infotimes.us

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 18d

I refuse to believe Jim Lookabaugh was a real person

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 19d

Lol

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 20d

This policy initiative is antithetical to the current consensus in developmental science, and has a very good shot of making crime worse in the long run.

The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 21d

House lawmakers voted to allow 14-year-olds to be tried as adults and to treat young people more harshly in the D.C. justice system — fulfilling a top request from the Trump administration despite universal opposition among top D.C. elected officials.

House votes to charge D.C. 14-year-olds as adults

The House also voted to restrict judges from giving lighter sentences to young adults, among 14 D.C. crime-related policy proposals from the GOP.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Reposted by João Guassi Moreira

Tim Onion @bencollins.bsky.social · 20d

By the way, you can in fact run a media business where people give you money for goods and services. 56k+ people give The Onion ~$100 and we give them a year of newspapers. This business didn’t exist last year in this way. People will pay for good shit. Now’s the time to break glass and go for it.

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 21d

🤞🏼

João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 21d

Super cool work, thanks for sharing

João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 21d

This is super, super cool, thank you for sharing!

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 21d

Hopefully it’s a blip, but that I can’t say I’m not unnerved

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João Guassi Moreira @jfguassimoreira.bsky.social · 21d

Elite cultural reference