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'How the United States Would Fight China' by
@hoanssolo.bsky.social draws on superb research to reveal the significant risk to the US in a potential conflict with China.

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September 11, 2025 at 9:43 AM
"Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered another 160,000 Russian citizens be called up to serve in the military, Russian news agency Interfax reported Monday." www.politico.eu/article/vlad...
Putin to conscript 160,000 more Russians for war with Ukraine
Ukraine warned the Kremlin is preparing for a massive new military offensive.
www.politico.eu
March 31, 2025 at 10:44 PM
"Russian President Vladimir Putin is checking what it’s possible to achieve with Trump and success with SWIFT may lead to a gradual weakening of the sanctions regime as a whole, the people said, asking not to be identified discussing sensitive issues."
March 28, 2025 at 5:16 PM
"The purpose in picking Russian Agricultural Bank was to see if Trump would firstly engage with the idea and then whether he could bring the European Union on board, said two people close to the Kremlin. The EU has jurisdiction over SWIFT which is headquartered in Belgium."
March 28, 2025 at 5:15 PM
"Russia is demanding the reconnection of one of its largest state banks to the SWIFT international messaging system as a condition for accepting a US-brokered truce in the Black Sea."
March 28, 2025 at 5:15 PM
"The Kremlin has a deliberate strategy to test how far US President Donald Trump is willing to go in pressing Europe to ease sanctions, according to people familiar with the situation."
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Putin Tests How Far Trump Will Go Against Europe on Sanctions
The Kremlin has a deliberate strategy to test how far US President Donald Trump is willing to go in pressing Europe to ease sanctions, according to people familiar with the situation.
www.bloomberg.com
March 28, 2025 at 5:15 PM
"RU is seen ready to execute a “large scale” troop move about one yr after the conclusion of a ceasefire or peace in UA, Dutch Minister of Defence Ruben Brekelmans said in a speech at a security conference on Thurs, citing the military intel service of the NLD." www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
Russia seen ready for big troop move year after Ukraine truce: Dutch
The Dutch threat assessment appears even more acute than warnings from German and Danish intelligence reports.
www.defensenews.com
March 27, 2025 at 8:54 PM
"Ukraine needs European soldiers "ready to fight" on its territory after the war and not a peacekeeping force, a Ukrainian official participating in negotiations for a ceasefire with Russia told AFP on Wednesday." www.lefigaro.fr/internationa...
EN DIRECT - Guerre en Ukraine : Kiev réclame des soldats européens «prêts à combattre» après le conflit
L’Ukraine a besoin de soldats européens «prêts à combattre» sur son territoire après la guerre et non une force de maintien de la paix, a déclaré à l’AFP mercredi un responsable ukrainien participant ...
www.lefigaro.fr
March 26, 2025 at 5:48 PM
"Mike Martin, a Lib Dem MP and former army officer who sits on the defense select committee, told Playbook the “government needs to do a review of what intelligence we share with America.”" www.politico.eu/newsletter/l...
A spoonful of sugar
Presented by Lloyds Banking Group By SAM BLEWETT with BETHANY DAWSON PRESENTED BY Send tips here | Subscribe for free | Listen to Playbook and view in your browser Good Monday morning. This is Sam …
www.politico.eu
March 26, 2025 at 5:41 PM
"Since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine in February 2022, the Czech National Cyber and Information Security Agency (NÚKIB) has recorded more than 200 DDoS attacks by Russian-speaking hacktivist groups." english.radio.cz/over-200-pro...
Over 200 pro-Russian cyberattacks recorded in Czechia since war in Ukraine began
Over 200 pro-Russian cyberattacks recorded in Czechia since war in Ukraine began
english.radio.cz
March 26, 2025 at 5:32 PM
"Ulf Kristersson said a press briefing today that his “qualified guess” is that NATO would set the 3.5 percent target at the alliance’s summit in July. Sweden is already planning to hit that mark “within five years,” he said." breakingdefense.com/2025/03/swed...
Sweden targets $30B increase in defense spending, to hit 3.5% of GDP by 2030 - Breaking Defense
“I don’t want us to act in a way that undermines the possibility of transatlantic cooperation. But we also cannot assume or take for granted that the United States will continue to act in Europe as it...
breakingdefense.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:31 PM
"“What we urgently need now is the protection of our port infrastructure from missiles and drones, but there is not a single word about this in the White House statement.”" kyivindependent.com/not-what-ukr...
‘Not what Ukraine needs’ — Black Sea ceasefire favors Russia more than Ukraine, say experts
While the White House celebrates a ceasefire in the Black Sea after a 12-hour meeting in Riyadh, in Ukraine, the enthusiasm is muted. The agreement is missing crucial securities that Ukraine urgently...
kyivindependent.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:25 PM
""....The transfer of ZNPP itself or control over it to Ukraine or any other country is impossible,” the Russian foreign ministry wrote Tuesday night, referring to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, also ruling out any joint operation of the station." www.politico.eu/article/russ...
Russia refuses to give up massive Ukrainian nuclear plant to Trump or anyone else
It’s ours, end of story, Moscow says.
www.politico.eu
March 26, 2025 at 5:16 PM
"“These are really gifts to Russia,” said Oleksii Tsymbalyuk, 50, a sergeant in the Ukrainian armed forces, referring to the terms of the proposed deal. He said it was “dubious” whether Russia would in fact stop bombing Ukraine’s civilian power grid."
“"It is unsurprising that the Americans have agreed to most, if not all, of Russia’s demands” because “the U.S. wants almost any deal,” according to James Nixey, head of the Russia-Eurasia program at the London think-tank Chatham House." www.nbcnews.com/news/world/t...
Trump's Black Sea truce plan is a 'gift to Russia' that risks undermining sanctions, analysts warn
The White House said Tuesday it had reached agreements with Russia and Ukraine for a truce over the Black Sea, but the deal's terms are enormously favorable for the Kremlin.
www.nbcnews.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:10 PM
“"It is unsurprising that the Americans have agreed to most, if not all, of Russia’s demands” because “the U.S. wants almost any deal,” according to James Nixey, head of the Russia-Eurasia program at the London think-tank Chatham House." www.nbcnews.com/news/world/t...
Trump's Black Sea truce plan is a 'gift to Russia' that risks undermining sanctions, analysts warn
The White House said Tuesday it had reached agreements with Russia and Ukraine for a truce over the Black Sea, but the deal's terms are enormously favorable for the Kremlin.
www.nbcnews.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:10 PM
"Russia is pushing to gain full control over four occupied Ukrainian oblasts—Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson—during negotiations with the United States in Saudi Arabia, the Moscow Times reported, citing sources familiar with the Kremlin’s strategy." kyivindependent.com/russia-seeks...
Russia seeks full control of partially occupied Ukrainian regions in talks with US, media reports
A Kremlin-linked official told the Moscow Times that Vladimir Putin cannot afford to lose these territories politically, and Russia intends to solidify its grip on them at any cost.
kyivindependent.com
March 25, 2025 at 8:34 PM
"The WH aims for a truce agreement by April 20, which this year is Easter in both the Western and Orthodox churches, but recognizes that timeline may slip given the large gaps between the positions of the two sides, according to people familiar with the planning." www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
US Hopes for Ukraine Peace Deal Soon as Putin Seems in No Hurry
The US is still hoping a broad ceasefire in Russia’s war in Ukraine can be reached within weeks, even as the Moscow increases strikes on Ukrainian cities and gives off signals that it’s in no hurry to...
www.bloomberg.com
March 23, 2025 at 10:32 AM
"Meanwhile, the Ministry of ­Defence in London is considering cutting the number of aircraft in its Shadow fleet, based at RAF Waddington, and cancelling plans to buy more A400M transport aircraft."
"Britain’s most senior military chiefs have been gagged by the government amid “anxiety” that a major ­review into the nation’s defences is ­“likely to be seen as limp”, sources have told The Times."
www.thetimes.com/article/e397...
UK military chiefs ‘gagged over limp defence review’
Senior figures are said to have been blocked by 10 Downing Street from giving interviews
www.thetimes.com
March 22, 2025 at 10:27 PM
"Britain’s most senior military chiefs have been gagged by the government amid “anxiety” that a major ­review into the nation’s defences is ­“likely to be seen as limp”, sources have told The Times."
www.thetimes.com/article/e397...
UK military chiefs ‘gagged over limp defence review’
Senior figures are said to have been blocked by 10 Downing Street from giving interviews
www.thetimes.com
March 22, 2025 at 10:25 PM
"Despite the doubts expressed by banking officials in private conversations, the possibility the Fed would ever curtail its financing lines is seen by European officials as only a very remote possibility, according to the five eurozone central bank officials"
March 22, 2025 at 4:27 PM
"In some European forums where participants assess potential risks to the financial system, these officials have discussed scenarios under which the U.S. government might pressure the Fed to suspend the dollar backstops, two of the sources said."
March 22, 2025 at 4:26 PM
"Some European central banking and supervisory officials are questioning whether they can still rely on the U.S. Federal Reserve to provide dollar funding in times of market stress, six people familiar w/ the matter said" www.reuters.com/markets/some...
Exclusive: Some European officials weigh if they can rely on Fed for dollars under Trump
Some European central banking and supervisory officials are questioning whether they can still rely on the U.S. Federal Reserve to provide dollar funding in times of market stress, six people familiar with the matter said, casting some doubt over what has been a bedrock of financial stability.
www.reuters.com
March 22, 2025 at 4:24 PM
"On Friday, a Ukrainian official speaking to AFP on condition of anonymity explained that Kiev hoped for "at least" an agreement on a partial truce with Russia on the energy sector, infrastructure and the Black Sea."

www.leparisien.fr/internationa...
Guerre en Ukraine : la Russie attend « quelques progrès » lors des négociations lundi avec les Américains
Si l’Ukraine est toujours « prête » à un cessez-le-feu « général », cette option semble difficilement envisageable pour Vladimir Poutine tan
www.leparisien.fr
March 22, 2025 at 4:14 PM
"Jonathan Teubner, chief executive of FilterLabs, said skepticism toward the United States was behind much of the Russian public’s attitudes."
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/20/w...
Russian Public Is Ready to End War but Skeptical of Concessions, Analysis Finds
There is little appetite in Ukraine and Russia for major concessions, according to a U.S. firm’s analysis of online posts. But a minority of Russians want to keep fighting until Ukraine’s president is...
www.nytimes.com
March 20, 2025 at 9:19 PM
"Ukrainian troops "destroyed" a command post of the Third Motor Rifle Division of the 20th Army of the Russian Armed Forces near the village of Demidovka in Russia's Belgorod Oblast on March 18, Ukraine's General Staff reported on March 20." kyivindependent.com/ukraine-dest...
Ukraine 'destroys' Russian command post in Belgorod Oblast, military claims
According to the Ukrainian military, Russia used the command post to plan and conduct combat operations against Ukrainian soldiers in Sumy Oblast.
kyivindependent.com
March 20, 2025 at 9:14 PM