Joe Servadio
@jlservadio.bsky.social
71 followers 110 following 5 posts
Research faculty working in infectious disease research, interested in statistical and mathematical modeling of respiratory and mosquito-borne viruses. Currently at Temple University. jlservadio.wordpress.com
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jlservadio.bsky.social
I was afraid that might happen! Maybe I should have reworked the sentence to use “whom” instead! 😆
jlservadio.bsky.social
Huge thanks to my coauthors: Marc Choisy at OUCRU in Vietnam, Pham Quang Thai at NIHE in Vietnam, and @maciekboni.bsky.social at Temple U.

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jlservadio.bsky.social
We found that prioritizing school-age children (10-19) for vaccination led to the greatest reductions in population mortality compared to other age groups. This was most pronounced under the lowest vaccine supplies. Elderly adults are an important second priority.

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Violin plots showing estimated annual mortality among age-based influenza vaccine allocations at four low supply levels. Pairs of violins show mortality when primarily vaccinating children 10-19 or vaccinating adults 60+. Vaccinating children shows lower minimum mortality values but higher variances.
jlservadio.bsky.social
Our study used a model emulating irregular, non-annual influenza transmission seen in Vietnam. We prioritized single age groups for vaccination, then applied ~74,000 age-based vaccine allocations among 9 vaccine supplies, ranging from 10% coverage (newly established program) to 90% coverage.

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jlservadio.bsky.social
New paper on #influenza #vaccination in tropical areas! Published in PNAS Nexus. #episky

doi.org/10.1093/pnas...

Without strong flu seasonality in much of the tropics, timing annual vaccination campaigns is challenging. It becomes more important to ask WHO to vaccinate instead of WHEN.

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Influenza vaccine allocation in tropical settings under constrained resources
Abstract. Influenza virus seasonality, synchronicity, and vaccine supply differ substantially between temperate and tropical settings, and optimal vaccinat
doi.org
Reposted by Joe Servadio
maciekboni.bsky.social
Hi @epidemiology.bsky.social we have just wrapped up the 4th year of COVID transmission in the US: Mar 1 2023 to Feb 29 2024. CDC recorded 67.5K deaths during this period. Death counts for previous years were 539K (year 1, almost all pre-vax), 443K (year 2, 3 variant waves), & 137K (year 3) 1/