Joel Suss
@joelsuss.ft.com
6.1K followers 2K following 330 posts
Data journalist, Financial Times | Visiting Fellow, London School of Economics [email protected]
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joelsuss.ft.com
Really interesting post by Tej Parikh on the declining effectiveness of monetary policy (e.g. due to more and longer fixed loan terms)

Not clear though what central banks can do about it. Financial conditions targeting? What alternative to blunt interest rate tool?

on.ft.com/4h34Hp6
Confronting the limits of monetary policy
[FREE TO READ] The ability of interest rates to guide prices and the economy is diminishing
on.ft.com
joelsuss.ft.com
Great detailed reporting here on how Netanyahu finally succumbed to pressure from a US president

eg. Trump to Netanyahu (when he said Hamas delaying): “Why are you so fucking negative?”

www.ft.com/content/6a62...
How Trump cornered Netanyahu into signing up for peace
Israel’s prime minister has encountered the first US president he cannot easily outmanoeuvre
www.ft.com
joelsuss.ft.com
In short: US inflation is far from defeated. It is not just goods prices which are rising because of tariffs, but the Fed also has a services issue to worry about.

free-to-read link: on.ft.com/3IW1fzO
US inflation being driven higher by core goods and services
[FREE TO READ] A deep dive into inflation data reveals upward pressure via supply and demand forces
on.ft.com
joelsuss.ft.com
Then there is energy and food categories: both are rising and there are plausible narratives for continued increases, like electricity demand from data centre build-outs and labour shortages pushing up domestic food prices
joelsuss.ft.com
Looking more carefully at the non-housing core services bucket (which is more than half the total inflation basket): in the words of the Dallas Fed: “further slowing . . . is not obvious”
joelsuss.ft.com
Also worrying for the Fed is that, while core goods being driven higher by supply effects, it is a demand-driven story on the core services side, perhaps due to loose financial conditions and AI investment boom
joelsuss.ft.com
📢New piece from me on US inflation today in the @financialtimes.com📢

It's not just (still modest) tariff-related effects boosting core goods and headline above target, core services excluding housing remain elevated
joelsuss.ft.com
Nice! Ordered. Lovely touch that it is expected on first anniversary of 'liberation day'
Reposted by Joel Suss
soumayakeynes.ft.com
Eeee the cover for the UK edition of How to Win a Trade War is out!

Pre-order your copy here...
www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...
joelsuss.ft.com
Social media use appears to have peaked everywhere but North America

on.ft.com/4gP83eW Have we passed peak social media?
Reposted by Joel Suss
Reposted by Joel Suss
financialtimes.com
Opinion: It would be a hugely welcome development to discover that we have not merely reached social media saturation point, but that the experience has been degraded to such an extent that it has shocked people out of their stupor. on.ft.com/476Dcr8
Reposted by Joel Suss
lseinequalities.bsky.social
In our latest blog, Javier Terrero Dávila (@oecdsocial.bsky.social) asks how much income mobility do different countries exhibit?

And how does it vary across different groups relating to age, gender, education and where people live?

#LSEInequalitiesBlog

buff.ly/6Jo3KX7
Who climbs the income ladder? New evidence from tax records
Using surveys to track short-term social mobility – how much people move up or down the income ladder – has limitations. How can using administrative data help?
blogs.lse.ac.uk
joelsuss.ft.com
US electricity prices have risen significantly due to data centre needs

“electricity now costs as much as 267% more for a single month than it did five years ago in areas located near significant data center activity.”

www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
AI Data Centers Are Sending Power Bills Soaring
Wholesale electricity costs as much as 267% more than it did five years ago in areas near data centers. That’s being passed on to customers.
www.bloomberg.com
joelsuss.ft.com
Great reporting here on the political pressure affecting prosecutions of white-collar crime in the US

Featuring also great use of LLMs for structuring data 👇👇

on.ft.com/3VFYuW3
joelsuss.ft.com
The Fed's decision to cut rates last week have been criticised with inflation above target

A dovish turn also risks making a frothy US market frothier, raising financial stability risk

My latest in the @financialtimes.com (free-to-read) 👉 on.ft.com/4gEiMZF
joelsuss.ft.com
Very interesting on Apollo’s clever (and possibly dangerous) arbitraging of capital regulation rules by @leeharris.ft.com

on.ft.com/46CguXE The niche debt tool at the heart of Apollo’s private credit machine
The niche debt tool at the heart of Apollo’s private credit machine
How Apollo’s in-house insurer has raised capital to fund the group’s lending, without turning to policyholders
on.ft.com
joelsuss.ft.com
Big gap in income gains for 65+ versus working age populations in UK and France, with the increased cost of pensions for governments sending fiscal debts to unsustainable levels and crowding out other spending priorities
on.ft.com/46AUDjd
joelsuss.ft.com
US CPI data is out: inflation continues rising, but the Fed will most likely cut next week due to labour market concerns

The tension between price stability and maximum employment will not ease quickly

More on the challenge facing the Fed, with lots of charts

Free-to-read: on.ft.com/41K2yIn
Reposted by Joel Suss
sarahoconnorft.ft.com
Very cool sentiment analysis using FT articles by @joelsuss.ft.com. Also brings home how precisely I missed the Good Times. www.ft.com/content/9a99...