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Reposted by Joe Millard

Dr Jess Williams @jjwilliams924.bsky.social · May 27

✨Bumble bee probability of occurrence responds to interactions between local and landscape land use, climatic niche properties and climate change🐝New paper out, led by @tnewbold31.bsky.social, & with @jetkerr.bsky.social & Peter Soroye (the result of some fantastic trips across the Atlantic 🇨🇦) 🌎 🧪 🌐

Bumble Bee Probability of Occurrence Responds to Interactions Between Local and Landscape Land Use, Climatic Niche Properties and Climate Change

We analyse a collation of bumble bee presence and absence data from across the continents of Western Europe and North America, spanning both natural and human-modified habitats. We find that bumble b....

tinyurl.com

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Forgot the paper link! That's here doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

A Multithreat Meta‐Analytic Database for Understanding Insect Biodiversity Change

Aim Widespread declines in insect biodiversity have been attributed to a diverse set of anthropogenic drivers, but the relative importance of these drivers remains unclear. A key reason for this unc...

doi.org

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Lynn Dicks, Cang Hui, Iwan Jones, Ben Woodcock, @drnickisaac.bsky.social, and @andypurvisnhm.bsky.social

Re further data collation, for anyone that happens to be at EntSoc in Portland, look out for Eliza Grames' symposium on evidence synthesis.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

And my brilliant co-authors on team GLiTRS, Grace Skinner, Andrew Bladon, @r-cooke.bsky.social, @charlieouthwaite.bsky.social, @james-rodger-za.bsky.social, Lindsey Barnes, Justin Isip, Daero Keum, Cristina Raw Villarino, Emily Wenban-Smith

bsky.app

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Lastly, some thanks! Massive thanks to our funders, the NERC Highlights Grant ‪‪@glitrs.bsky.social, and more recently @leverhulme.ac.uk and The Isaac Newton Trust on my ECF.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

I’m conscious that although this has been hard, performing experiments and collecting data is also hard. I’ve seen my role as to help lift up the work of others. For those that use these data, please do also cite the associated meta-analyses.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

This database represents a huge collaborative effort. That’s true of the GLiTRS team, with a lot of this work having been performed by early career researchers, but it’s also true of the research we have built on.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Some of this logic you can read in our recent publication (lnkd.in/eRiXUcqf), led by @r-cooke.bsky.social and @charlieouthwaite.bsky.social

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

lnkd.in

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

That means each effect size needs a structure such that it’s internally consistent with the meta-analysis within which it falls, internally consistent with another distinct meta-analysis, and externally consistent with predictions from two other evidence types.

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

lnkd.in

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

But that’s not all, there are more moving parts. The intent has been to build such that we can combine this database with space-for-time and expert elicitation predictions.

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

lnkd.in

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

To ensure all effect sizes are collected consistently, we we needed a protocol to guide two forms of effect size collation: first, the collation of effect sizes from previously published papers; and second, the collation of effect sizes from meta-analyses we performed ourselves (see osf.io/jw3gh)

OSF

osf.io

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Even the most robust data structures are only as strong as that structure is followed. That means Dynameta alone was not enough.

OSF

osf.io

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

The intent on Dynameta was to build software that could ingest effect sizes among all possible combinations of IUCN threats and insect Orders. The novelty for me is not its interactivity, but the lego-brick back-bone it imposes on its user.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

Dynameta is an interactive meta-analytic platform for performing ecological meta-analyses (lnkd.in/eu7QDBmX). That says what it does, but it doesn’t say why we needed it.

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

lnkd.in

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

What I've tried to aim for here is the highest level of meta-analytic synthesis on insect biodiversity change. That intent meant starting this project off 3 years ago with two core structures: First, Dynameta; and second, a meta-protocol that guides among all meta-analyses.

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

How can you take X meta-analyses on insect biodiversity change, performed in many regions of the world in many taxonomic groups, and for all the ways in which humans moderate the environment, and then collate these estimations meaningfully among many researchers?

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

This is the toughest piece of work I've undertaken. Evidence synthesis is so hard to get right, even for an individual research question. But here the task was harder:

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · May 27

New paper! Today introducing a 'multi-threat meta-analytic database for understanding insect biodiversity change', an output from the @glitrs.bsky.social project (see glitrs.ceh.ac.uk).

The GLiTRS project: assessing global patterns and consequences of insect declines. | GLiTRS

glitrs.ceh.ac.uk

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Reposted by Joe Millard

GLiTRS @glitrs.bsky.social · Apr 4

NEW PAPER from the GLiTRS team! 🎉

We review how best to use different types of evidence to better understand global insect declines 🦗🪳🪲🦋🐛🐜

"Integrating multiple evidence streams to understand insect biodiversity change" published in @science.org

🔗 tinyurl.com/mr35bdaa

A summary 🧵 below (1/7)

www.science.org

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Reposted by Joe Millard

Oisin Mac Aodha @oisinmacaodha.bsky.social · Feb 11

Do Large Language Models (LLMs) possess ecological knowledge?

For example, can they do tasks such as:
(1) predict the presence of species at a location
(2) generate range maps
(3) list critically endangered species
(4) perform threat assessment
(5) estimate species traits

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Reposted by Joe Millard

iBartomeus @ibartomeus.bsky.social · Feb 4

[new paper] EuPPollNet: A European Database of Plant-Pollinator Networks
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... Another wonderful paper of @joseblanuza.bsky.social making open more than >1500 networks and looking at their properties. Come for the data, stay for the cool figures!

EuPPollNet: A European Database of Plant‐Pollinator Networks

Motivation Pollinators play a crucial role in maintaining Earth's terrestrial biodiversity. However, rapid human-induced environmental changes are compromising the long-term persistence of plant-pol...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Reposted by Joe Millard

Laura Dee @lauradee.bsky.social · Dec 13

Foundations and future directions for causal inference in ecological research, forthcoming w/ @katherinesiegel.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4mm57zzd.
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n

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Reposted by Joe Millard

Inês Martins @inesismartins.bsky.social · Jan 14

Did you miss #BES2024 and are you interested in #BiodiversityFutures? check the recording of this great session led by @drnickisaac.bsky.social, featuring talks by Damaris Zurell, Anita Lazurko, Andy Purvis, James Bullock, Greta Bocedi, Jennifer Border and myself.
youtu.be/FkbS6Klzbdg?...

BES2024 Thematic Session - Biodiversity Futures: harnessing the power of scenarios and models

YouTube video by British Ecological Society

www.youtube.com

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Joe Millard @joemillard.bsky.social · Jan 12

Ok so the the biodiversity chat FOMO got too strong and I made an account. Hi all!

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