John T Ormerod
@johntormerod.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.3K following 260 posts
Statistician at Sydney University.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
johntormerod.bsky.social
I taught this for the first time in my course this year. We ended up doing a couple of weeks. It isn't much, but at least they got a taste of it.
johntormerod.bsky.social
What an interesting sounding course!
Reposted by John T Ormerod
joneshowdareyou.bsky.social
#GazaGenocide #MarchForHumanity #AlboAndWongAreFucked #ChrisMinnsIsFucked
johntormerod.bsky.social
As my mum would say: :Butter wouldn't melt in its mouth".
johntormerod.bsky.social
I make the sun rise by waking up.
johntormerod.bsky.social
TSGTA =Three statisticians gave ten answers.
Reposted by John T Ormerod
solomonkurz.bsky.social
New #rstats blog up!

solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07...

This is the second post in the series where we use {brms} to learn {Stan} code. This time we review matrix notation, model matrices, and a new class of distribution functions in Stan.
johntormerod.bsky.social
I miss random too, but am all for an adopted kitten, yay.
johntormerod.bsky.social
So senseless. What a waste of life.
johntormerod.bsky.social
God loved everyone whoever they are, man, woman or any other child of god.
johntormerod.bsky.social
And what is your evidence against it?
johntormerod.bsky.social
To double down as a statistician, what is your null hypothesis?
johntormerod.bsky.social
Not all fields are at the same levels of maturity. Physics is at a different level of maturity as the social sciences, for example. Do you have an expectant difference in replicability for *any* field for the replicability given that all fields are exploring the forefront of their research areas?
Reposted by John T Ormerod
jbakcoleman.bsky.social
As the prior probability of any arbitrary molecule curing a cancer is extremely low than by Bayes rule alone even an extremely efficient science would produce many false positives.
johntormerod.bsky.social
Frequentist super-raft vs Bayesian superyachts, I know what I am choosing.
johntormerod.bsky.social
Then why use the word crisis? If science isn't stagnating, is there really a crisis?
johntormerod.bsky.social
People might see it as a consequence of a replication crisis.
johntormerod.bsky.social
Bayesian Superyachts are all the craze these days Steph. I put in a grant for one just the other day.
johntormerod.bsky.social
I find all of this really odd. I don't know about other fields, but there has been dramatic advances in cardiovascular and cancer research in recent history, i.e., where a whole heap of money has gone into. Advances in science haven't been uniform, but they are certainly there.