jon
jonmadison.bsky.social
jon
@jonmadison.bsky.social
The situation -- she's trying to defend that PDVAH and PWVAH to maintain this chance of a breakout, but she's below the 50% if the initial balance set this morning. She's still got some time to rescue, and also some time to lose the 5d VAH...anyone's game.
March 17, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Not saying I told you so, but…I understand a lil somethin’.

Have a great weekend, y’all!
March 15, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Don't forget the overall trend. Quite down.

Even though she can tap 3 sig low today. Tapping is one thing, closing above is another...can she close above? We will see!
March 14, 2025 at 5:39 PM
right at the top of the current conslidation. they're evil
March 14, 2025 at 5:04 PM
i'm dfd (done for the day) but i'm gonna stand by IBHx2/3 sigma low today (or close)...they have plenty of time. if they continue, what to look for...
March 14, 2025 at 5:03 PM
i closed my 480 call long ago because i got what i needed. but dang. just about money
March 14, 2025 at 3:42 PM
of note: IBH x 2 is right around 3 sig low pw...they could close above, and be in a good signal position for the next week. it's possible...
March 14, 2025 at 3:31 PM
might be quick, or they'll get slapped down...lil bit of orders ahead
March 14, 2025 at 3:21 PM
i've seen it before at these levels where they'd consolidate then dump it. but PDH lurks ahead, and given they seem to be trying to finish...not week on Friday, may be more likely for at least a tap
March 14, 2025 at 3:18 PM
alerted--balance cracked. admittedly made a technical error on a trade that just ended up in my favor. likely headed to at least top of the balance at this point. but we'll see. setting alert
March 14, 2025 at 3:03 PM
i did switch bias, though. ;-)
March 14, 2025 at 12:32 PM
stoped short of that 0.5...i'd be careful here...stopping short they often want to bust through it. we might get that 2024 POC on mnq after all, today
March 13, 2025 at 5:01 PM
so it goes, so far we remain in the balance since Monday. to all of you still at it, play accordingly.
March 13, 2025 at 2:47 PM
March 12, 2025 at 2:46 PM
so they tried to pump it. a decent one, but not terribly confident, losing the first half of the candle within 15 minutes. But they're still hovering, looking like they want to go for the 3 sigma low...people scared out there and it shows...no visible confidence in the moves. need to check later
March 12, 2025 at 1:13 PM
80% rule in effect?

will we see a drop to 2024 VAL (and below) this next few days/weeks?
March 11, 2025 at 1:05 PM
looks like they may try to stage a lil EOD rescue, so we'll still have time to make it to 2024 POC...they're moving too fast!
March 10, 2025 at 7:20 PM
watch the fibs. Friday's excess low coincide with 0.618 from 2024 VAH - 2024 VAL. they knew what they were doing.

cleaner if they waited to hit POC 'til weds then goose it back up on news...which has me thinking they might want to push through to VAL.

seems we're in an 80% rule on the yearly. 👀
March 10, 2025 at 7:13 PM
she broke!

we may get that POC today
March 10, 2025 at 6:58 PM
IBL x 2 hit. usually stops for the day around here, but we've been trending lately so she may give a little more.

note how IBL x 2 just 'happens" to be 0.5 of friday's excess low and 2024 POC.

this is a tell.
March 10, 2025 at 6:44 PM
dropping like a rock today. 2024 POC possible this week
March 10, 2025 at 2:40 PM