John T
@jtatlife.bsky.social
160 followers 170 following 2.8K posts
Dutch consultant by day, interested in world history & British politics by night. Proud Hollander
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
jtatlife.bsky.social
...and *equivalent* cuts...
jtatlife.bsky.social
I mean, lower taxes and equivemt cuts leading to really bad public services/benefits are a perfectly viable combination economically, for a while.
The political constituency for that in the UK is pretty small though
jtatlife.bsky.social
Do homework before PMQs. Pick some areas where Labour might be seen to be doing badly but Reform are less comfy (education, benefits, foreign policy) and highlight those instead of being Nigel's warm up act.
None of those guarantee a win, but they leave you in an OK place for something to turn up
jtatlife.bsky.social
No-one talks about how she set fire about 5-10% of national GDP worth of debt before she even did a mini-budget but the UK is really short £150bn of capital expenditure at this point
jtatlife.bsky.social
For a start starting a fight with Jenrick to kick off a leadership challenge on the subject of 'gutter racism: yes or no' and hopefully winning an extra year. Then wait for Reeves to raise taxes at the Budget, condemn, propose some mindless but plausible benefit cuts instead. Be nice to journalists.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Truss had a coherent but wrong view on economics and no coherent view of political legitimacy or coalition building; Badenoch lack a coherent, plausible view of either
jtatlife.bsky.social
There's some talk that the non-killing people bureaucrats won't get back pay this time, or might get fired permanently because Trump hates them anyway
jtatlife.bsky.social
There's a bunch of optional stuff which stops immediately in an annoying way - national park centres, driving licence office etc. The staff don't get paid and they're sent home.
The army and the FBI do have to work but they don't get paid I think? Then after a few weeks they fix it and get backpay
jtatlife.bsky.social
Well, if their big new idea is 'let's be a Gulf autocracy minus the oil/gas reserves and the limitless sunshine' then they're finally done and we can all move on.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Preach it. 💯. Halfway to a slave society, that place. They'd go the other half if they thought they could get away with it.
jtatlife.bsky.social
On the one hand polls 4 years before an election don't say much, on the other, every poll for a year as consistently warned of disaster for FPTP
benansell.bsky.social
Somebody help me, my electoral system, he is very sick
chadbourn.bsky.social
New YouGov Westminster poll:

RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
jtatlife.bsky.social
Yes, but if I remember rightly it really helps to formed units to build on, especially if it ignites quickly (e.g. state militia in the US Civil War, various para-miltary police forces in the Yugoslav wars)
jtatlife.bsky.social
I mean, maybe Jenrick would go after her leadership after she booted him for racism but he'd be doing so on an explicitly pro-racism platform which is a fight worth having, & as you say still winnable for her, even now.
More winnable than a later scrap based around 'is this woman competent?' tbh
jtatlife.bsky.social
😀 Seriously, you should write an AD column just praising this lad and similar good deeds, and then after they can permablock all commenters coming back back with negativity for being either bots or incorrigible moaners.
(The latter probably includes half of Noord-Holland over 45, but so it goes)
jtatlife.bsky.social
Risking yourself to save the life of a small child is basically the most uncomplicatedly meritorious act imaginable. Something we can all agree on for once
jtatlife.bsky.social
Yup. Just can't stop listening.
Either of us.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Continues to surprise me, because even from a cowardice perspective, a UK where 'are black people British?' is a matter of doubt/discussion on the right is obviously where she has no (political?) future whatsoever. You'd think she'd as soon be hung for a sheep as a lamb, as they say in Herefordshire
jtatlife.bsky.social
This was the fellow who at college apparently motivated a bunch of students to come and vote aganst him in a semi-meaningless JCR election.
Even though he ran unopposed. He lost.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Someone who loved his party would leave Trott to foreground the proposal "Labour are breaking the schools we fixed, whom do you trust to fix that, the Tories or Nigel Farage?" which sounds like a question with a potentially happier answer for them.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Only his personal advancement. He want the Tory membership to ask themselves, "whom do I think will best 'fix' immigration, Bob or Kemi?" & as a side effect foregrounds the question "whom do I trust to 'fix' immigration, Farage or the clowns who increased it a lot whilst pretending they hated it?"
jtatlife.bsky.social
I must admit I would appreciate one of those papers explaining whether Pritzker or Newsom have any real control over their state National Guards, and whether those NGs even theoreticalllyvhave the capability to fight without/against the US Army.
Else it's all a case of 'they and whose army?'
jtatlife.bsky.social
Speaking as I guy who often repeated the accusation that he was off on a plane (and regrets that) I think that's unfair.
On www.rishisunak.com/news I count about one constituency event a week, that's not bad for an ex-PM. Most of his new jobs are unpaid, so likely vague advisory stuff
News | Rishi Sunak
Rishi Sunak, Conservative MP for Richmond and Northallerton - latest news and campaigns.
www.rishisunak.com
jtatlife.bsky.social
I think the Tory party was always in danger once the age of elitism passed. My understanding is that since the 1990s at least the membership have been considered very right wing, and rather thoughtless. So once they were in charge, the slide right seemed inevitable, David Cameron notwithstanding.
jtatlife.bsky.social
Quite. In retrospect it seems he was badly traduced by the Westminster commentariat, who were all certain he would be on the first plane to California after resigning.