JustinCWX
@justincwx.bsky.social
Meteorologist | Outdoor Enthusiast
A storm will move thru the Desert SW Wed/Thu & exit NM Fri afternoon/evening. The most widespread light valley rain & high mtn snow impacts western NM Thu morning w/ little to no precip east of the central mtn chain through Fri. #nmwx
December 31, 2025 at 5:55 AM
A storm will move thru the Desert SW Wed/Thu & exit NM Fri afternoon/evening. The most widespread light valley rain & high mtn snow impacts western NM Thu morning w/ little to no precip east of the central mtn chain through Fri. #nmwx
A trough is digging SE thru the SW & ejects E Thu. A short duration, but fairly potent winter storm brings snow to NM thru tonight, w/ any lingering light snow ending midday Thursday. 6-12+” across the N mtns, 1-4+” RGV Santa Fe on N, & Trace-1” ABQ area. #nmwx #skinewmexico
December 3, 2025 at 3:54 PM
A trough is digging SE thru the SW & ejects E Thu. A short duration, but fairly potent winter storm brings snow to NM thru tonight, w/ any lingering light snow ending midday Thursday. 6-12+” across the N mtns, 1-4+” RGV Santa Fe on N, & Trace-1” ABQ area. #nmwx #skinewmexico
Received 0.44" of rain yesterday at Rancho Viejo - just S of Santa Fe. Also attached are current MRMS precipitation estimates for NM & precipitation reports across the SW. Looks like Red River picked up 9", 6-7" at Taos, 6" at Ski Santa Fe, & 3" at Pajarito.⛷️ #nmwx
November 21, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Received 0.44" of rain yesterday at Rancho Viejo - just S of Santa Fe. Also attached are current MRMS precipitation estimates for NM & precipitation reports across the SW. Looks like Red River picked up 9", 6-7" at Taos, 6" at Ski Santa Fe, & 3" at Pajarito.⛷️ #nmwx
Next short wave moving NNE brings fairly widespread precip thru late morning across N NM. Likely a short lull early afternoon w/ increasing shower/iso. storms afternoon/early evening.❄️ levels fall to 7000' late afternoon. Chance for some iso. thundersnow in the N mtns. #NMwx 😁
November 20, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Next short wave moving NNE brings fairly widespread precip thru late morning across N NM. Likely a short lull early afternoon w/ increasing shower/iso. storms afternoon/early evening.❄️ levels fall to 7000' late afternoon. Chance for some iso. thundersnow in the N mtns. #NMwx 😁
A series of cutoff low pressure systems will continue to impact the Desert SW & NM through this weekend: 1st system ejecting NE though NM on Thu; 2nd on Sun. Each bringing beneficial statewide valley rain and mtn snow. Drier weather likely early next work-week. #NMwx
November 20, 2025 at 4:29 AM
A series of cutoff low pressure systems will continue to impact the Desert SW & NM through this weekend: 1st system ejecting NE though NM on Thu; 2nd on Sun. Each bringing beneficial statewide valley rain and mtn snow. Drier weather likely early next work-week. #NMwx
Overall - an “active” weather pattern looks to be shaping up for the second half of November across the SW. Colder and wetter weather will bring advantageous conditions to most of NM ski resorts - natural snow at times with largely more favorable conditions for snowmaking. #NMwx
November 15, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Overall - an “active” weather pattern looks to be shaping up for the second half of November across the SW. Colder and wetter weather will bring advantageous conditions to most of NM ski resorts - natural snow at times with largely more favorable conditions for snowmaking. #NMwx
Anomalously moist airmass across the SW & widespread showers have developed across W & N NM. These showers and a few t-storms increase & track through the Rio Grande Valley mid to late afternoon. Primary hazards heavy downpours, brief wind gusts to 40 mph, & some lightning. #nmwx
October 11, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Anomalously moist airmass across the SW & widespread showers have developed across W & N NM. These showers and a few t-storms increase & track through the Rio Grande Valley mid to late afternoon. Primary hazards heavy downpours, brief wind gusts to 40 mph, & some lightning. #nmwx
Wet wx pattern continues across the SW & NM into early next week, especially along & W of the central Mtn chain. A persistent W Coast trough & ridge in the S Plains will draw tropical moisture & tropical cyclone remnants into the SW. #nmwx
October 9, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Wet wx pattern continues across the SW & NM into early next week, especially along & W of the central Mtn chain. A persistent W Coast trough & ridge in the S Plains will draw tropical moisture & tropical cyclone remnants into the SW. #nmwx
Picked up 0.2" at Rancho Viejo early this morning - 2 downpours near 1:30am & 4:45am. Lots of ⚡️w/ training storms just S in the middle of the night. #nmwx
October 8, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Picked up 0.2" at Rancho Viejo early this morning - 2 downpours near 1:30am & 4:45am. Lots of ⚡️w/ training storms just S in the middle of the night. #nmwx
Decent storm system w/ at least some precip across much of NM this weekend; heaviest totals W/SW of ABQ & across the E Mtns. One more round of showers/storms today, coverage not quite as numerous as this weekend - slight chance for heavy rain focuses near the Sacramento Mtns. #nmwx
September 29, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Decent storm system w/ at least some precip across much of NM this weekend; heaviest totals W/SW of ABQ & across the E Mtns. One more round of showers/storms today, coverage not quite as numerous as this weekend - slight chance for heavy rain focuses near the Sacramento Mtns. #nmwx
Picked up another 0.14” yesterday at Rancho Viejo; storm total 0.70” so far over the weekend. Beautiful to see the higher peaks of the Sangra de Cristos dusted with snow over the weekend. I got my pass! ⛷️#nmwx
September 29, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Picked up another 0.14” yesterday at Rancho Viejo; storm total 0.70” so far over the weekend. Beautiful to see the higher peaks of the Sangra de Cristos dusted with snow over the weekend. I got my pass! ⛷️#nmwx
A cutoff low over the SW U.S. will meander E-ENE today. This will allow for scattered to numerous showers/storms across NM; a few storms could be strong across C NM this afternoon/early evening. #nmwx
September 28, 2025 at 5:05 PM
A cutoff low over the SW U.S. will meander E-ENE today. This will allow for scattered to numerous showers/storms across NM; a few storms could be strong across C NM this afternoon/early evening. #nmwx
Rancho Viejo just S of Santa Fe received 0.54” of rain in the last 24 hours. According to my WS-500 a good approximation puts 0.2” falling before 12am & 0.34” after. Came in 3 waves: 0.14” w/ steady light rain around 12pm Sat, and w/ thunderstorms around 12am & 5am. 🤓 #nmwx
September 28, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Rancho Viejo just S of Santa Fe received 0.54” of rain in the last 24 hours. According to my WS-500 a good approximation puts 0.2” falling before 12am & 0.34” after. Came in 3 waves: 0.14” w/ steady light rain around 12pm Sat, and w/ thunderstorms around 12am & 5am. 🤓 #nmwx
Fall like wx pattern: an upper level trough is pushing into the Great Basin, moves into the Rockies Sat, & ejects NE into the High Plains early Sunday. This will allow for showers/storms to impact NW & W NM Thu/Fri, then the focus shifts to C & E NM Fri night/Sat. #nmwx
September 11, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Fall like wx pattern: an upper level trough is pushing into the Great Basin, moves into the Rockies Sat, & ejects NE into the High Plains early Sunday. This will allow for showers/storms to impact NW & W NM Thu/Fri, then the focus shifts to C & E NM Fri night/Sat. #nmwx
NWS severe warned storm S-SE of Las Vegas, NM this evening producing decent lightning and some pileus clouds. Attached are GR2Analyst images with NOAA/NWS NEXRAD data from KFDX - Cannon AFB ~10:20pm. Nice updraft & 55-60+ DBZ thru -20C. Decent mid altitude convergence too. #nmwx
August 31, 2025 at 5:14 AM
NWS severe warned storm S-SE of Las Vegas, NM this evening producing decent lightning and some pileus clouds. Attached are GR2Analyst images with NOAA/NWS NEXRAD data from KFDX - Cannon AFB ~10:20pm. Nice updraft & 55-60+ DBZ thru -20C. Decent mid altitude convergence too. #nmwx
Quick water vapor analysis depicts disturbances departing NE NM, one in N AZ, & another in far E AZ. Extensive cloud cover & some showers are currently across C & NE NM. Dew points across NM are in the 50s/lower 60s & monsoonal moisture remains in place. #nmwx
August 27, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Quick water vapor analysis depicts disturbances departing NE NM, one in N AZ, & another in far E AZ. Extensive cloud cover & some showers are currently across C & NE NM. Dew points across NM are in the 50s/lower 60s & monsoonal moisture remains in place. #nmwx
How did Tue rainfall look across #NM? Overall - forecasts paned out well as expected w/ most rain showers/storms across the W 2/3rds & N NM. Heavy thunderstorms developed S of Santa Fe late Tue afternoon then moved NNE - leading to a localized area of heavy rainfall. #nmwx
August 27, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Some impressively low based/shallow cumulus as of 10am MT. I’m accustomed to seeing cloud bases at 15,000 to 18,000 feet. 😀#nmwx
August 26, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Some impressively low based/shallow cumulus as of 10am MT. I’m accustomed to seeing cloud bases at 15,000 to 18,000 feet. 😀#nmwx
WV channel depicts a large ridge across W U.S. & deep trough E of the Rockies. Monsoonal moisture is throughout much of the W U.S. Locally to NM dew-points are in the 50s/lower 60s. Mostly clear skies across W & S NM allow daytime heating to destabilize the atmosphere today #nmwx
August 26, 2025 at 3:31 PM
WV channel depicts a large ridge across W U.S. & deep trough E of the Rockies. Monsoonal moisture is throughout much of the W U.S. Locally to NM dew-points are in the 50s/lower 60s. Mostly clear skies across W & S NM allow daytime heating to destabilize the atmosphere today #nmwx
