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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 5d

In his policy declaration, PM Anutin made a clear break with the previous Pheu Thai government, demonstrating that he didn't intend to be just a lame duck carrying out policy continuity. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/not-a-lame...

"Not a Lame Duck But a Mouse"

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul makes his policy declaration

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 9d

We have some of the first polling results since Bhumjaithai took power, showing a big slump for the People's Party and a major boost for Anutin. Analysis of how the numbers have moved: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/analyzing-...

Analyzing Initial Polling Results in the Anutin Era

People's Party slumps; Anutin rises; Pheu Thai still yet to recover

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 15d

The agreement between Bhumjaithai and the People's Party requires that Prime Minister Anutin begins the process of creating a new constitution. What does this entail? A summary here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-road-t...

The Road Towards a New Constitution

Bhumjaithai fires the starting gun

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 19d

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's cabinet was formally announced today. Some observations: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-anutin...

The Anutin Cabinet is Confirmed

Breakdown by party and some observations

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 20d

This week, the Coffee Parliament examines some major changes in the United Thai Nation and Democrat parties, which could impact Bhumjaithai's opportunity for growth. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/rupture-an...

Rupture and Renewal

Major changes in the United Thai Nation and Democrat parties

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · 26d

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul has unveiled several "outsider appointments" to his prospective cabinet.

In this newsletter, I look at the historical context of cabinet technocrats in Thailand and unpack Bhumjaithai's strategy: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Bhumjaithai's Big Technocratic Bet

Prime Minister Anutin welcomes outside experts to his cabinet

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Sep 5

Thailand has a new prime minister.

My profile of Anutin Charnvirakul, recently elected as Thailand's 32nd PM, and his Bhumjaithai Party. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-cha...

Anutin Charnvirakul Elected Prime Minister

A profile of Thailand's 32nd prime minister and his Bhumjaithai Party

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Sep 4

With a vote to select the next prime minister of Thailand scheduled for tomorrow, it looks like Pheu Thai may now be out of cards. Barring a last minute shock, Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul increasingly looks like an inevitability. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/out-of-cards

Out of Cards

Vote for PM scheduled for September 5th

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Sep 3

Not any easier to get anything done when you're awake for it all...

Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Sep 3

Anutin Charnvirakul is almost Thailand's 32nd prime minister. In a bid to stop him, Pheu Thai has requested a dissolution of parliament, sparking a constitutional crisis.

We're entering uncharted waters in Thai politics. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-is-...

Anutin is Almost Prime Minister. Can Pheu Thai Stop Him?

We're entering uncharted waters for Thai politics

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Sep 2

What is Pheu Thai doing with Chaikasem Nitisiri? When will the People's Party announce their decision? Will Phumtham dissolve parliament? Are we about to see a knight in shining armor?

Today's Coffee Parliament update: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/government...

Government Formation Update: A Day of Twists

Political maneuvering continues

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 31

Today's update: Pheu Thai has also accepted all of the People's Party conditions for a confidence and supply arrangement. But it looks like they're facing an uphill task to form a new government. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/pheu-thai-...

Pheu Thai Makes an Offer to the People's Party

An attempt to let bygones be bygones

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 30

It's hard to keep up at this point!

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 30

An alternative coalition led by Bhumjaithai has emerged.

It's a political innovation: fueled by renegade factions and likely dependent on a confidence and supply agreement with the People's Party. We've never seen a coalition like this in Thailand.
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Bhumjaithai's New Coalition Emerges

Dark blue PM, kaleidoscope government, orange guarantor

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 29

Paetongtarn Shinawatra has been removed by the Constitutional Court. Here, I lay out four potential scenarios on what comes next. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/paetongtar...

Paetongtarn Shinawatra is Out. Who Will Succeed Her?

Four possible scenarios

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 26

Pheu Thai first promised a 20 baht flat rail transit fare in Bangkok in 2011. It's now 2025: will it ever happen? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/will-twent...

Will Twenty Baht Transit Fares Happen?

Pheu Thai's 14-year old policy pledge still faces challenges

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 18

There's been a lot of speculation recently that Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra could resign before the Constitutional Court issues a ruling on her ethics case. Will she stay or will she go? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/will-she-s...

Will She Stay or Will She Go?

Speculation intensifies that the Prime Minister could resign

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 14

The Coffee Parliament today takes a look at how one big segment of Thailand's electorate currently lacks any party that meets their needs. Where will Thailand's conservatives go at the next election? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/filling-th...

Filling the Conservative Party Gap

An electoral niche has no perfect fit for now

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 8

In today's newsletter, I look at the three court cases that the Shinawatras are facing, all of which could be game-changers for Thai politics. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-walls-...

The Walls Are Closing In

The Shinawatras await three rulings from the courts

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Aug 4

A Thai constitutional clause regulating how legislators can influence spending led to the Deputy Speaker being removed last week. This same clause could also lead to the removal of most of Thailand's parliamentarians:
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/can-sectio...

Can Section 144 Wipe Out Parliament?

Another point of uncertainty in Thailand

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Jul 28

Thailand and Cambodia has agreed to a ceasefire. Some preliminary thoughts here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/thailand-a...

Thailand and Cambodia Agrees on Ceasefire

Preliminary thoughts

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Jul 27

Ceasefire talks scheduled between Acting Thai PM Phumtham and Cambodian PM Hun Manet in Malaysia: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/ceasefire-...

Ceasefire Talks Between Thailand and Cambodia Scheduled

What we know so far

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Jul 26

Some are seeking to explain the origins of the Thai-Cambodia clash by invoking domestic rivalries in Thai politics. My thoughts on why this theory makes little sense, and why the conflict is far better explained by an international family feud: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/on-the-dom...

On the "Domestic Rivalry Theory" and the "International Family Feud Theory"

Examining the origins of the Thailand-Cambodia clash

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Jul 24

Today, open conflict broke out between Thailand and Cambodia, with Thai civilian areas coming under bombardment. My recap: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/military-c...

Military Conflict with Cambodia

Thai civilian areas along border targeted by Cambodia

www.coffeeparliament.com

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Ken Mathis Lohatepanont @kenlmathis.bsky.social · Jul 22

In recent months, "Sor Tor Ror" ("meddling in everything") has emerged as an increasingly popular nickname for Thaksin Shinawatra. But what has this meddling produced so far?
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/meddling-i...

"Meddling in Everything"

On the liabilities of "Sor Tor Ror"

www.coffeeparliament.com

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