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Reposted by Kenzo Nera

Scott L Greer @scottlgreer.bsky.social · 18d

“52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years. The vast majority of U-Turns (90%) lead to restored or even improved levels of democracy”

V-Dem data

When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900

The world is in a “wave of autocratization.” Yet, recent events in Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia demonstrate that autocratization can be halted and reversed. This article introduces “U-Turn” as ...

www.tandfonline.com

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · 26d

Thanks so much for the answer! Well, I wrote that we would stop if the observed effect was under the SESOI, but this rule did not impact the alpha spending calculation.

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · 26d

Thanks!

Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · 26d

At peek 1, my interaction is smaller than the SESOI. But decomposing it shows the expected pattern, only smaller than anticipated. I decide to collect extra data despite being below SESOI. At peek 2, interaction is significant at the adjusted alpha level.

Does this increase the type I error rate?

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · 26d

Dear academic twitter who's into type I error control and sequential analyses (winkwink @lakens.bsky.social), I need your help: I planned a sequential analysis with three peeks (1/3, 2/3, and total n), with adjusted alpha level with pocock boundary.

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Aug 18

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

“Trump Won, Biden Cheated”: Economic Inequality Increases Online Support for Conspiracy Theories About the 2020 Presidential Election - Political Behavior

Why do people support conspiracy theories? Past works on this question have primarily centered on individual factors such as psychological characteristics and political stances. This study explores ho...

link.springer.com

Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Aug 18

We're used to international comparisons involving less than 50 data points. Here's a county level analysis with > 2k data points.

For each data point, the author calculated a proportion of tweets supporting conspiracy theories, and examined its relation with inequalities indicators. It's mental.🤯

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Aug 18

Of all the articles I've reviewed, this is one of the most impressive and creative regarding its approach to data collection and "construction".

Congrats to Dr. Yun Lu!

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Jun 24

I'm very grateful to the chief editors Professors Shelley McKeown Jones (‪@shelleymckeown.bsky.social‬) and Sammyh Khan for asking me to fulfil the position!

*allowed to joke about bribery, not allowed to take bribes. 2/2

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Jun 24

🎉Starting September 1st, I'll be an Associate Editor for the British Journal of Social Psychology (BJSP). It is a great honor! 🎉

I won't make jokes about bribery options to get your paper published through me, as I am not sure yet if I'm allowed to* and I don't want to be fired before I start. 1/2

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Reposted by Kenzo Nera

Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · Jun 12

I often see Ioannidis' paper 'Why most published research findings are false' on reading lists. And by all means - I found it educational when I first read it. But you might also want a summary of the criticisms on the paper, and we dive into these in our @nulliusinverba.bsky.social podcast episode.

Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · Apr 4

New episode of @nulliusinverba.bsky.social ! We (very) critically discuss the classic paper by John Ioannidis 'Why most published research findings are false'. What did he get wrong, and why is it still interesting to read the paper? nulliusinverba.podbean.com/e/episode-56...

Episode 56: Cur Plerumque Investigation Publica Falsa Est | Nullius in Verba

Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2005). Why Most Published Research Findings Are False. PLoS Medicine, 2(8), e124. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124 Neher, A. (1967). Probability Pyramiding, Research E...

nulliusinverba.podbean.com

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · May 26

You can listen to the complete soundtrack on Youtube: youtu.be/f73OPXgj4_k?...

#indiegame #OST #coffee #gaming

Wake Cup - complete OST

YouTube video by Kenzo Nera

youtu.be

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · May 26

Lucky me - I again created the soundtrack for a video game! 🥰

It's called Wake Cup, it's a tower defense/clicker about capitalism and how coffee is important in this exploitation system. ☕

It's available for the price of a cup of coffee on Steam: store.steampowered.com/app/2881430/...

Save 20% on Wake Cup on Steam

Wake Cup is a caffeinated tower defense & clicker mash-up with rogue-lite meta progression. Shoot coffee to exhausted workers on a boring Monday morning to keep them energised. The economy must gr...

store.steampowered.com

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · May 7

One can never stress enough how studying psychology deeply changes the way you look at the world around you (created with ChatGPT).

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Reposted by Kenzo Nera

irsp_rips @irsp-rips.bsky.social · Apr 9

🧐👉 This paper is available in #OA: doi.org/10.5334/irsp...

#SocialPsyc
#OpenScience

@paulbertin.bsky.social
@kenzonera.bsky.social

Novelty, Consistency, Transparency: The Trilemma of Psychological Sciences and its Consequences on Open Science Practices | International Review of Social Psychology

doi.org

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Reposted by Kenzo Nera

Jacquelyn Gill @jacquelyngill.bsky.social · Mar 27

A really cool new study on the impact of climate activism has just dropped! Some highlights:

1) "There is strong evidence that climate activism shifts public opinion and media coverage in a pro-climate direction, but this varies by context and the tactics employed."

The impacts of climate activism

We review 50 studies on the impacts of climate activism. We present the existing evidence in a map of what we know about climate activism and its impa…

www.sciencedirect.com

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 24

I am super happy to back my most appreciated and trustworthy partner in crime in this great piece (in all objectivity of course)! #metascience #transparency #virtuesignaling

Paul Bertin @paulbertin.bsky.social · Mar 24

New publication with my dearest friend, @kenzonera.bsky.social!

We propose that multi-study articles can hardly achieve conceptual novelty and statistical consistency while remaining transparent.

Fulfilling two of these criteria considerably reduces the probability of satisfying the third one.

Mark Rubin @markrubin.bsky.social · Mar 22

New article by @paulbertin.bsky.social and @kenzonera.bsky.social considers the trilemma between novelty, consistency, and transparency in psychological research.

Open Access: rips-irsp.com/articles/10....

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 22

Thank you for sharing, Mark!

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 19

For instance, I owe much of my modest understanding of Bayesian probabilities to a combination of readings + ChatGPT which really facilitated my learning.

But even for the things ChatGPT rocks at, it requires to master the basics enough to be able to notice when it makes mistakes.

Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 19

IMO, ChatGPT (which I use a lot, I must confess) is extremely good at some stuff (e.g., generating textual stimuli for research, explaining concepts), meh at others (e.g., solving problems - because it can easily be tricked), and terrible at some (e.g., providing sources).

Paris Marx @parismarx.com · Mar 18

Columbia Journalism Review tested eight generative AI search tools and found their answers were wrong 60% of the time, and the paid ones actually fared worse than the free ones.

Meanwhile, millions of people trust the way they present total bullshit with confident language.

AI search engines cite incorrect sources at an alarming 60% rate, study says

CJR study shows AI search services misinform users and ignore publisher exclusion requests.

arstechnica.com

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 16

Cool, let's organize a coffee expedition then :D I'll write to you tomorrow.

Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 14

You're welcome! If you're available sometime in the upcoming weeks, I'd love to chat about a paper I'm currently work on (it involves light bayesian belief update modeling, and I'd like to have the thoughts of someone more competent than me on the issue). I'll write you an email.

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 13

SH*T THAT IS YOUUU!

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 13

One of the most fascinating reads I had in the past few months. Congrats to the authors!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Kenzo Nera @kenzonera.bsky.social · Mar 12

@nathlarigaldie.bsky.social ? 😇