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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition)

@kitsuneinferno.bsky.social

620 followers 820 following 9.7K posts

🦊 Writer 🦊 Software Engineer 🦊 Amateur Game Dev 🦊 Internet Trash 🦊 Radicalized, as a treat 🦊 35 and Happily Taken 🦊 Future Big Brother Winner

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · Jul 8

Hey there, new followers! Here's a rundown on the kinds of things to expect from me and what I skeet about:

- Reality TV (BB, Survivor, Drag Race, more)
- Politics/LGBTQ+ Issues
- Game Dev
- Anime/Manga (mostly One Piece)
- Video Games (Final Fantasy, RPGs)
- TV (cw The Americans)
- Personal stuff

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 1h

- Harris claimed the highest vote share of a Democratic nominee in Utah in 60 years (since Johnson won the entire nation by a landslide in 1964)
- Three of Utah's five metropolitan areas are among the 10 fastest growing in the nation throughout the 2020s. All five of these metros swung left in 2024.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 1h

More data to support my assertion that Utah is flippable:

Using the "official" 2024 election results
- Utah had the 2nd smallest red shift of any state (R+1.1). If there was no national red shift, Utah would have shifted 5 points bluer
- Utah is the only state where Harris outperformed Biden.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 1h

To wit, in 2004, Utah was R+46, by far the reddest state in the country. In 2020, it was "only" R+21.

I think Utah's trend has been decidedly leftward but 2012 and 2016 created two big anomalies with Romney in 12 followed by the big third party spoiler in 16 and that kind of obscures the trend.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 2h

Of those five states it would definitely be the last one to flip but I dont think its that much of a pipe dream.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 2h

I know part of the reason Utah jumped left in 2016 is because an independent ran that year and siphoned a bunch of votes from Trump but the trend is still generally leftward there.

SLC is also one of the fastest growing cities in the country and has a huge blue population.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 2h

Alaska's been gradually sliding blue for a while now (which is one reason the supposed 2024 rightward lurch is so suspect) and Utah's kind of a roller coaster. It flipped 30 points to the left in 2016 when most red states got redder and it had a big jump leftward in 08 too.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 2h

It's always possible. It flipped nearly 20 points in 2008 and the totally-not-doctored-nope-not-one-bit election results supposed 2024 margin is I think R+18 or R+19 so it could happen!

I just worry about the rust belt in general. There is no planet where MI, WI and PA should even be swing states.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 2h

Oh yeah definitely not. I dont see Indiana flipping blue or Florida even coming close to it, but I've got eyes on Alaska, Montana, Kansas, Texas and even Utah. I think those are going to be our next generation swing states? If not in 2028 than 2032 (if our country is even around that long)

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 3h

Like, New York shifted 10.5 points to the right and New Jersey shifted 10 points to the right using the "official" election results.

In 2008, 27 states shifted by 10 or more points to the left and five red states shifted by more than 17 points.

There was no red wave, but that blue wave is coming.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 3h

Agreed. There's also a really annoying narrative that Harris did worse than Clinton overall and "every state shifted to the right in 2024" but the shifts in 2024 are so comparatively slight and in many states, Harris had much better margins than Clinton did.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

I actually think Alaska, Montana, Kansas and even Texas could flip blue in 2028 with a strong candidate and strong anti-R sentiment, but that would require even larger margins than Obama.

Though in Alaska's case, Obama only moved the needle 4 points and Alaska has seen larger shifts since.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

I was bored earlier so I made a possible electoral map for 2028 assuming every state swings by exactly the same amount between 2024 and 2028 as states did from 04 to 08 when Obama was elected to his first term.

Dems win this 320-218. Do I think this will happen? Almost certainly not. But still.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

Every word in this headline causes me intense psychological harm.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

I'm ready for Vince to end Jared after BB28 airs. It would practically be tradition. #bb27

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

I think a big part of it is because many of these Asian economies are relatively young and mostly developed post-World War II. And foreign investors saw dollar signs much like they do now in the Middle East. Drove the cost of everything into the stratosphere, then pulled out when the winds changed.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 4h

"Funny" enough Ive been doing a lot of research on this lately because the developer of the video game I'm currently playing cited the Japanese debt crisis of the 90s as inspiration and it seems like all of these contemporary crises exist because of a large pan-Asian crisis from the 90s.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

#bb27

I'd love to hear how creative led them to imitating the Reindeer Games hamster wheel is if they didn't shoehorn that in out of nowhere.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

My mom told me she's making mince pies for Thanksgiving dinner but I hung up on her and later texted her telling her I'm only going if she makes vorgan pies instead. #bb27

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

#bb27 (ew.com/big-brother-...)

BB13: "Pre-jury battleback"
BB14: threat of "pre-jury battleback"
BB15: "Jury battleback"
BB16: "Jury battleback"
BB17: "Jury battleback"
BB18: "Jury battleback AND pre-jury battleback"
BB19: "Pre-jury battleback"
BB20: "Jury battleback"
BB21: "Pre-jury battleback"

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

People play the games, and people lose the games, and their financial situations worsen, and the games simply continue to prey on them with "second chance rounds" that force the players to go even deeper into ruin.

And for the protagonists, the goal isn't simply to survive and win the games.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

What makes Liar Game more compelling to me is that, the motivating factor that keeps people in the games isn't the threat of death itself, but rather further financial ruin. The players are tricked into participating in games where often only one person profits and the rest fall deeper into ruin.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 5h

Oh it definitely is, and I think the universality of financial inequality is one of the main reasons it resonated globally. Liar Game, and similar works of the genre, also deal with the same themes, though not necessarily context-specific to South Korea.

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 6h

There's an anime adaptation coming out next year.

Ive never watched the live action series (the Japanese one spawned sequels and films) so Im not sure how closely they hem to the manga.

Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 6h

Liar Game's a bit tricky. It's a manga that never had an official English release (and last I heard the last chapter or so has also never been translated to English or if it was it came out much later)

But it was adapted into a live action series twice in Japan and South Korea and

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Kitsune Inferno (35 and Barely Alive Edition) @kitsuneinferno.bsky.social · 6h

Which isn't to say Squid Game is bad. It just mirrors Liar Game. And while I appreciate SG's themes and character development, it's kind of empty calories to me.

Liar Game is basically the same thing only the games aren't death games and how the characters navigate the games is far more cerebral.

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