kixir.bsky.social
@kixir.bsky.social
Same
January 22, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Yeap. And we have a lot of criptocurrencies that are a better comparison but as you well stated “they are not BTC”.

So BTC is not being bought at 100K for scarcity or the technology it uses.

There were less BTC available when it was been bought at 20K two years ago.
January 22, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Water is a commodity with limited supply. We can make more but is not cost effective.
January 22, 2025 at 2:29 PM
An aunt made some paintings. She died already. There’s a very limited supply of her paintings. It’s an asset with absolute scarcity.

That doesn’t make it worth more.
January 22, 2025 at 2:27 PM
A limited supply of something does nothing per se.

There are more then 8 thousand criptocurrencies with limited supply. And more can be easily be made.
January 22, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Same. 🤜🏼🤛🏼
January 21, 2025 at 9:59 PM
Sure. And I don’t need to is more a question to try to “push” you into a more conservative stand.

I get how you see it and I believe you could be right.

I just hope you save for your retirement believing that you also could be wrong about BTC’s future valuation.
January 21, 2025 at 9:54 PM
What percentage of your investment are planning to save in BTC? 10% 90% 100%?
January 21, 2025 at 9:47 PM
But there’s risk that BTC could have a lesser worth in the future.

Like if a new and better protocol / crypto arrives. If a flaw on the system is found or a new computer is able to beat the algorithm. Or something else when haven’t considered.

Don’t you agree that BTC could also fall behind?
January 21, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Yes. Both went up in value and some people used them as a saving asset for retirement. They were super sure people just didn’t get it why it was a super cool way of investing.

I would say that I get BTC like 80%. I know its “limited supply”.
January 21, 2025 at 9:37 PM
I can agree that some people are speculating with BTC because they believe is a good LT retirement strategy.

I would recommend to use it as part of a portfolio. That if it goes to 0 they don’t have 0 for retirement. If it goes 100,000X against inflation; it wouldn’t hurt to have other assets.
January 21, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Another example of what @buturut-tururut.bsky.social says is that some people believed that they were saving in the long term by buying Beanie Babies.

It was speculation.

Its value had been growing steadily well over inflation.
January 21, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Oh but it is speculation:

If you want a hedge against inflation there are instruments that offer, with certainty, to give you a return of at least the inflation.

If one buys BTC is because one thinks that I will grow above inflation. But one understands (or should) that it could also go down.
January 21, 2025 at 9:20 PM
You have certainty about “its policies”.

But as an investment you and nobody knows what the future value of Bitcoin will be. Not in in the short not in the long term.

Some try to use past values to predict its future. A strategy that has failed time and time again.
January 21, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Where are taking that definition? Speculation can be short or long term.
January 21, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Agreed. But is an enormous IF.
January 21, 2025 at 6:43 PM
That image is only valid while the bubble is growing.

You needed more BTC to buy a house in 2022 vs 2021.
January 21, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Not yet crashed. But the confidence of course selling grows and declines based on the tendency of Bitcoin.
November 27, 2024 at 2:27 PM
John: Yes! One without tuberculosis.
November 24, 2024 at 4:10 PM
Agreed. Including Bitcoin.
November 24, 2024 at 4:09 PM
The way I see it all cryptocurrencies are linked to pure speculation and don’t solve any real problem better that alternatives.
November 24, 2024 at 4:08 PM