Krishna Kumar
@kriskumar.bsky.social
480 followers 2.6K following 14 posts
Macro guy. Chart connoisseur # Not Investment Advice
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
kriskumar.bsky.social
China’s high household savings rate is a result of them getting rid of universal healthcare in the 70s
kriskumar.bsky.social
Oops!
calculatedrisk.bsky.social
MBA: “The FHA, Dept of VA, and Rural Housing Service must clarify that the OMB memo calling on federal agencies to temporarily suspend payments for federal grants, loans, insurance and loan guarantees does not apply to the single family and multifamily loan insurance or guarantee programs ..."
kriskumar.bsky.social
My new intern deepseek thinks 5-7%
kriskumar.bsky.social
Market starts to price in some tariffs CME vs LME copper
kriskumar.bsky.social
Yes they have this in China as well.
kriskumar.bsky.social
Lack of guarantee is worth about 40bps in spread according to one estimate but in my opinion the nature of the mortgage market changes and becomes more U.K./Canada like if Fannie/Freddie are private entities without a backstop.
kriskumar.bsky.social
Keeping track helps to identify errors in (1) security selection (2) sizing and (3) timing.
kriskumar.bsky.social
Make Macro Great Again (MMGA)
kriskumar.bsky.social
Guess what happens when you have a no MTM, zero volatility asset competing with HY!
kriskumar.bsky.social
If we cannot flick a switch and move supply chains onshore the rest of the world benefits from the 60% tariffs on China they are going to be able to raise prices and margins improve.
kriskumar.bsky.social
You don’t choose the Jets life; the Jets life tackles you at the line of scrimmage..
kriskumar.bsky.social
The fallen angels will soon start singing..