Kyle James
kylejcaron.bsky.social
Kyle James
@kylejcaron.bsky.social
Calcio, Milan, statistics
Any papers on this? Most countries saw the same inflation spike even those without major stimulus packages - and the US recovered fastest from it. Should I be looking at it differently?
December 6, 2025 at 6:26 PM
The over regulation is already happening in cities like NYC and Toronto, not sure why you’re assuming Im not pay attention.

Cycling infra solves for these problems I mentioned, but we also need more clarity about sidewalk usage or else the over-regulation is going to become more extreme
August 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
I’m not shocked, cars are a leading cause of death. I’m as anti car as it gets

This isn’t a one thing or the other situation. Make the e-bike/escooter situation better to prevent future backlash and negative talking points. Everyone wins
August 14, 2025 at 7:44 PM
All for it, but in many US towns and cities some are using e-bikes and escooters recklessly - there definitely need to be better guidelines. I’ve experienced it myself and even know someone who was hospitalized from an escooter hit and run
August 14, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Everyone does this everywhere sadly
August 13, 2025 at 12:36 PM
94% is popularized from @rmcelreath.bsky.social and subsequently ArviZ for being as arbitrary as 95% - not sure if you’re implying it’s p-hacking but I wouldn’t rush to conclusions if so.

Stuff like this is why Pre-registration is so important and should get more popularized
August 13, 2025 at 2:07 AM
This is great, I’ll definitely be sending this peoples way when it comes up at work
July 19, 2025 at 11:24 PM
I don’t have a paper in mind, but I simulated a really simple example here why VIF can be overrated kylejcaron.github.io/posts/2025-0...

Imo everything goes back to causality, VIF and multicollinearity aren’t nearly as important as having a valid DAG for your data generating process
Common Misconceptions with Multicollinearity – Kyle Caron
kylejcaron.github.io
July 17, 2025 at 2:38 AM
Is there anything big you expect to get blocked?

The stuff you list is great but when ICE is now so funded and judges are losing their power, I’m spiraling
July 4, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Could you elaborate or give some examples to make me feel better
July 4, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Am I crazy or is the description off? Just skimmed through it and it seems like it’s more of AR models, GAMs, and GPs
June 27, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Yeah I could imagine that landlords wouldn’t be happy, the “fair compensation” would have to be very clearly defined. And future sales and investment would be limited due to downward pressure from lower rents and affordable housing.

Sounds great to me but somehow this is the country I live in
June 22, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Not trying to be skeptical, just trying to understand the specifics. Anytime I bring this up in conversation, that will be the talking point so it’d be nice to have an answer ready
June 22, 2025 at 3:11 PM
How do big cities get started on this? I saw the whole first dibs government policy, but I could picture alot of landlords becoming upset there isn’t competition driving the sale price of their investment property
June 22, 2025 at 1:42 PM
He’s a better coach than he gets credit for
June 19, 2025 at 6:11 PM
Any good reads to point me towards in this area? I hear people talk about this stuff all the time now…
May 31, 2025 at 7:31 PM
I’m still fairly new to VI but learning more in my spare time - i do more applied statistics but the idea of scaling Bayesian models and still getting robust uncertainty would be amazing

Exciting to see all of these branches of new VI work and looking forward to reading through your paper more!
May 7, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Referring to this stream of work from Agrawal, I’ve had it in my backlog for a few months but I saw a blog post from Bob Carpenter talking about alot of success with flow VI in terms of good uncertainty quantification and scalability compared to MCMC

scholar.google.com/citations?vi...
scholar.google.com
May 7, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Nice work! Still reading through but what benefits do you see for this method over other approaches like flowVI and eigenVI?

VI tends to underestimate uncertainty, does this suffer from that same problem or does it do any better in that regard?
May 7, 2025 at 2:56 PM
This is a very underrated answer. Always found these very helpful for calibration plots in low signal to noise problems
April 25, 2025 at 1:35 AM
As a Milan fan that watches every game, things were going fine for him until recently. He was getting good minutes and putting in good shifts, but his decision making and composure aren’t there yet and he probably got in his own head.

A red card and 2 mistakes leading to goals later and here we are
April 23, 2025 at 2:04 AM
It’s definitely a culture here. People grew up reading car magazines, view it as a symbol for freedom, and completely disassociate from reality and view traffic not as a car problem but as a city problem.

It’s insanity, it’s why cars are a leading cause of death, and it’s partly why we cant change
April 19, 2025 at 10:45 PM