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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 20d

2/ ... and the type of crisis (and the nature of the response) may come with its own implications. For some crises, it might be more clear which level of government "owns" the transboundary crisis. We also discuss this in the paper.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 20d

Important questions! We also reflect on the generalizability of the findings in our article. Yes, the effect of the governmental level may be very different in another context. Think also of countries, such as Belgium and Spain, in which MLG can be more contested...

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 21d

... it would be interesting to study these legitimacy questions from a bottom-up citizens’ perspective, also for global threats like climate and defense.

Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 21d

And 2/ would be an excellent question for further research. Based on our empirical findings, we cannot link to these debates. Crises often act as a catalyst for supranational integration, but there are also concerns about the legitimacy of the EU (and IOs) as a transboundary crisis manager...

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 21d

... citizens may construct their legitimacy perceptions based on previous crisis experiences and a country’s administrative tradition. We also acknowledge that the Covid-19 memory and retrospective evaluations can play a role in our experimental setting.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 21d

Thought-provoking questions! And yes /1 is very important, and the differences between NL and GE also hint into this direction (& this is in line with our ‘institutional hypothesis’)...

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 22d

3️⃣ There is however some country-specific variation: in the Netherlands, citizens consider restrictive measures as more legitimate when they are decided by the national government, as compared to the regional government, whereas in Germany we find no significant difference.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 22d

2️⃣ For the legitimacy of restrictive measures, it matters very little which level of government takes a decision.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 22d

Based on a survey experiment with Dutch and German citizens, we show that:
1️⃣ Citizens do consider region-specific crisis interventions as equally legitimate as nation-wide ones

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 22d

💡New publication in Governance @govjournal.bsky.social!

Read our article, together w/ @dtoshkov.bsky.social and Brendan Carroll, on the perceived legitimacy of region-specific crisis interventions in Germany and the Netherlands, here ➡️ doi.org/10.1111/gove...

Short summary of our main findings ⬇️

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Sep 2

Already planning for your next conference after #EGPA25 or #ECPR25?

Consider our panel on the #legitimacy of public organisations during societal and political changes at @nigovernance.bsky.social in Leuven (Feb 5–6, 2026).

🔗 Submit your abstract here! www.nigovernance.nl/conference-2...

Conference 2026 | Netherlands Institute of Governance

Conference, public administration, governance, political science, Netherlands Institute of governance, NIG 2024, NIG 2025, NIG Conference 2024

www.nigovernance.nl

Reposted by Lars Brummel

Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · Jun 27

There is a very strong support among people in Holland for an active role of the Dutch government in international cooperation and defence. There are also big, cross-partisan majorities in favor of increasing the defence budget and continuing sending weapons to Ukraine.
shorturl.at/svcZp

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jun 26

Eerste bevindingen uit ons lopende polarisatie-onderzoek: onder inwoners van de provincie Zuid-Holland is brede steun voor o.a. het verhogen van de defensie-uitgaven naar 5% en het blijven steunen van Oekraïne met wapens www.universiteitleiden.nl/nieuws/2025/...

Onderzoek: ruime meerderheid Zuid-Hollanders steunt verhoging defensiebudget

Voor actieve betrokkenheid van Nederland bij internationale samenwerking is brede steun. Dit blijkt uit een nieuw publiek opinieonderzoek onder de inwoners van Zuid-Holland, uitgevoerd door onderzoeke...

www.universiteitleiden.nl

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jun 4

My two cents on Wilders' decision to withdraw from the Dutch coalition government, yesterday live at France 24: www.france24.com/en/video/202...

The only stable factor in Wilders' government was political instability, researcher says

www.france24.com

Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · May 8

En voor meer informatie over het volledige programma, zie shorturl.at/Gjzwq

shorturl.at

Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · May 8

Ben je zaterdag a.s. in #Leiden en heb je niets te doen? Kom om 15u naar het Wereldmuseum voor mijn lezing over polarisatie, protest en democratie tijdens het #symposium 'Delen en Verdelen' van studentenvereniging SSR-Leiden. Polarisatie in cijfers & getallen, met als klein voorproefje:

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Reposted by Lars Brummel

Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · Apr 1

Last week I completed another edition of my short introductory course to R for social science PhD students @fggaleiden.bsky.social. The course covers fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis (stat models) and data visualisation. All the slides are freely available at dimiter.eu/R-tutorial.h....

Introduction to R for social scientists covering fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis with statistical models, and data visualisation

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Mar 24

📆 Submit your abstracts by next Friday for the EGPA Conference (Glasgow, 26-29 Aug)!

We (PSG 6) invite papers on challenges public organizations face in a complex environment of shifting political realities, new technologies, and crises 👇

Call for papers ▶️ media.timtul.com/media/web_ii...

media.timtul.com

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Reposted by Lars Brummel

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · Feb 24

The story of this election really is BSW and Linke. When Sahra Wagenknecht finally split off in 2023, the Linke was thought to be dead. In line with every pundit's favorite narrative, the new left-authoritarian version (BSW) would do well, while the left-progressive Linke that remained was doomed 1/

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Reposted by Lars Brummel

Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · Feb 23

Thread - I've been thinking a lot about Walter Lippmann’s Public Opinion lately, especially in the context of Musk’s role in dismantling the federal workforce through DOGE. It’s a perfect example of what Lippmann warned about over a century ago.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jan 30

Lees mijn bijdrage over #demonstratierecht en #polarisatie samen met @dtoshkov.bsky.social bij @montesquieuinst.bsky.social!

Montesquieu Instituut @montesquieuinst.bsky.social · Jan 30

Dr. Lars Brummel en dr. Dimiter Toshkov analyseren hoe protesten en politieke verdeeldheid de vrijheid om te demonstreren onder druk kunnen zetten. Maar is de polarisatie echt zo groot als vaak wordt gedacht? Lees hun column hier: www.montesquieu-instituut.nl/id/vmkglm61o...

Demonstratierecht in tijden van affectieve polarisatie: recht voor ons, niet voor hen?

Vorige week woensdag (22 januari) voerde de Tweede Kamer een debat over het demonstratierecht. In het Hoofdlijnenakkoord van 2024 spraken de …

www.montesquieu-instituut.nl

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jan 30

6/6 En tot slot: wie meer wil lezen over ons onderzoek, check hier onze pre-prints (in ENG): osf.io/preprints/os... en osf.io/preprints/os.... En voor ons NL-talige onderzoeksrapport, zie: kennis.zuid-holland.nl/wp-content/u...

OSF

osf.io

Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jan 30

5/6 Als polarisatie toeneemt, kan begrip voor vreedzaam protest afnemen. Hoeveel ruimte gunnen we onze politieke tegenpolen? ⚖️

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jan 30

4/6 Polarisatie doet ertoe voor hoe we vinden dat de overheid met demonstraties moet omgaan. Steun voor vreedzaam protest is groot, maar hangt af van:
✅ Of we het eens zijn met de demonstratie
✅ Of we negatieve gevoelens hebben over de demonstranten
✅ Of demonstranten een meerder- of minderheid zijn

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · Jan 30

3/6: Toch bestaan er sterke negatieve gevoelens richting specifieke groepen in het debat, vooral rond klimaat, migratie en stikstof. 🌍🛂🚜

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