The territory Russia has seized is, of course, sizable—and it never should have been taken in the first place—but the strategic interests Russia has forfeited are far greater.

In the short term, we should continue to monitor Trump’s words and actions, but for a longer-term perspective on the broader situation, it will be crucial to follow the specific initiatives being undertaken by officials at levels below him.

Whether a new vision will emerge after this destruction remains unclear at present. Trump himself likely does not have such a vision, but figures like Rubio and Elbridge Colby seem to have more concrete plans.