Adrian Smith
@lovejoyantiques.bsky.social
Political betting, occasional observations, interminable threads.
Yes, I would have been a touch sceptical prior to the locals with it being a wealthy shire county - but I think they have to be in pole position.
May 13, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Yes, I would have been a touch sceptical prior to the locals with it being a wealthy shire county - but I think they have to be in pole position.
Reposted by Adrian Smith
Wonder if we can get a market on the outcome of the trial? If some of juror's bet on it we could have a self-sustaining system.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Ex-MP Craig Williams charged with betting offences
The investigation was launched last year following bets placed on the timing of the 2024 general election.
www.bbc.co.uk
April 14, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Wonder if we can get a market on the outcome of the trial? If some of juror's bet on it we could have a self-sustaining system.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Adrian Smith
Although the main takeaway from this poll should be primary polls years out are useless. Harris virtually certain not to run. AOC deeply unlikely also. Maybe the only meaningful points are a reminder of AOC's recognition and base popularity and Buttigieg doing fairly well.
April 15, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Although the main takeaway from this poll should be primary polls years out are useless. Harris virtually certain not to run. AOC deeply unlikely also. Maybe the only meaningful points are a reminder of AOC's recognition and base popularity and Buttigieg doing fairly well.
Reposted by Adrian Smith
Exactly and, outside the USA, there is just paralyzed inertia. A decade of denial almost the entire commentariat about Trump being a straightforward Kremlin mouthpiece/asset has suddenly hit home. Are the clowns who govern us and the discourse even capable of acknowledgement, let alone action?
Right in front of our eyes, we’re seeing the destruction of the US, and the beginning of a dictatorship run by a career criminal & his enablers, drawn from the worst among us. Nobody seems to be taking effective action against this, while many calmly accept this fate like lambs led to the slaughter.
Apparently We Are Willing to Give Up Our Freedom, Cowering to Trump ... A Power-Mad Con Artist With No Soul
Right in front of our eyes, you're seeing the destruction of Democracy, and the beginning of a Trump dictatorship run by a career criminal.
www.dcreport.org
February 19, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Exactly and, outside the USA, there is just paralyzed inertia. A decade of denial almost the entire commentariat about Trump being a straightforward Kremlin mouthpiece/asset has suddenly hit home. Are the clowns who govern us and the discourse even capable of acknowledgement, let alone action?
Willesden Green is ready.
January 20, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Willesden Green is ready.
Reposted by Adrian Smith
There are votes to be won by appealing to the populists but eventually you have to draw a line or you will be taken to a very dark place. My @newstatesman.com piece on why Elon Musk provides a cautionary tale for parties of the right. www.newstatesman.com/comment/2025...
Elon Musk shows the perils of populism
Politicians must set clear boundaries or they will be taken to a very dark place.
www.newstatesman.com
January 7, 2025 at 8:15 PM
There are votes to be won by appealing to the populists but eventually you have to draw a line or you will be taken to a very dark place. My @newstatesman.com piece on why Elon Musk provides a cautionary tale for parties of the right. www.newstatesman.com/comment/2025...
A metaphor for life itself in 2025.
January 8, 2025 at 11:07 AM
A metaphor for life itself in 2025.
Top thread. The only thing I’d add is that while there may be room in the public head for two big personalities, there isn’t room for two people at the top of Farage-world. That’s the problem all these people with ambitions will have to confront.
On Friday I went to a Reform rally where grooming gangs featured heavily. Wrote about it today but quick thread on Reform's make or break year, because there's something happening I hadn't got before. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
This is how the grooming scandal is being weaponised – and this is what Starmer must do | Gaby Hinsliff
There is a nagging sense that justice still has not been done. At a Reform rally, I watched Nigel Farage exploit that, says Guardian columnist Gaby Hinsliff
www.theguardian.com
January 7, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Top thread. The only thing I’d add is that while there may be room in the public head for two big personalities, there isn’t room for two people at the top of Farage-world. That’s the problem all these people with ambitions will have to confront.
If you are of a nervous disposition, and your daughter is at her first rhythmic gymnastics competition, do not under any circumstances go to the pop-up shop and ask how much the sparkly leotards cost. I’m in the wrong business.
December 15, 2024 at 12:43 PM
If you are of a nervous disposition, and your daughter is at her first rhythmic gymnastics competition, do not under any circumstances go to the pop-up shop and ask how much the sparkly leotards cost. I’m in the wrong business.
Yeah. I’ve also agreed to go on a school trip to the Natural History Museum on 17th, some maniac has organized a gymnastics competition for Sunday, it’s two different music concerts this week, plus Brownies having their Christmas stuff, a performance at both gymnastics and Russian school, Christmas
December 10, 2024 at 10:25 PM
Yeah. I’ve also agreed to go on a school trip to the Natural History Museum on 17th, some maniac has organized a gymnastics competition for Sunday, it’s two different music concerts this week, plus Brownies having their Christmas stuff, a performance at both gymnastics and Russian school, Christmas
Reader, he did not.
I post this well aware I may look a fool in a few hours. But the numbers really don't add up to me.
November 25, 2024 at 9:43 AM
Reader, he did not.
Interesting election in Romania - race dominated by concerns about cost of living and inflationary pressure, for a post that has largely symbolic power and mostly on foreign policy.
November 25, 2024 at 9:42 AM
Interesting election in Romania - race dominated by concerns about cost of living and inflationary pressure, for a post that has largely symbolic power and mostly on foreign policy.
Reposted by Adrian Smith
Other ones which jump out: National Bitcoin Reserve by 20 April 2025 at 33%. Unless this is much more easily done than it sounds it feels like the mechanics alone will cause that timeline to be missed.
November 19, 2024 at 11:39 AM
Other ones which jump out: National Bitcoin Reserve by 20 April 2025 at 33%. Unless this is much more easily done than it sounds it feels like the mechanics alone will cause that timeline to be missed.
Will price up a tentative market for next Labour leader and next Tory candidate for Mayor of London over the weekend I think.
November 15, 2024 at 11:32 AM
Will price up a tentative market for next Labour leader and next Tory candidate for Mayor of London over the weekend I think.
On the other place I denigrated the Labour Party for accepting policy recommendations - commitments even - form minor celebrities. But now that I have seen that Edwina Currie is encouraging us to learn the public policy lessons of
November 12, 2024 at 7:59 PM
On the other place I denigrated the Labour Party for accepting policy recommendations - commitments even - form minor celebrities. But now that I have seen that Edwina Currie is encouraging us to learn the public policy lessons of
Well I’ve started up here as well as in the other place - nice to see so many political gamblers ahead of me, as usual.
November 12, 2024 at 10:48 AM
Well I’ve started up here as well as in the other place - nice to see so many political gamblers ahead of me, as usual.