luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl
@luketryl.bsky.social
45K followers 490 following 3.3K posts
Lover of finding out what people think. Director @moreincommonuk.bsky.social https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/
www.moreincommon.org.uk
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · Apr 29
Got back last night from focus groups this weekend in Beverley, Hull,Scunthorpe & Peterborough and without doubt the disillusionment was the worst I’ve heard, in every group it was anger; despondency or misery about the state of Britain that doesn’t feel sustainable.
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 3d
Increasingly convinced umbrellas are up there for most useless invention - rain is *often* accompanied by wind and yet the slightest breeze and they become not just unusable but actively hostile.
(Yes i did just get soaked)
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
FWIW people are currently more likely to believe the moon landings were hoaxes staged by NASA than the claims on paracetamol. Though of course trajectory of debates could shape these figures.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
Presented then with Donald Trump's arguments and push back from UK health professionals, still only 12% think it is either definitely or probably true that paracetamol causes autism - that only rises to 14% among Reform UK supporters, the same figure as Labour supporters.
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
🆕 The US debate about taking paracetamol in pregnancy does not appear to be shaping opinions here in the UK. Just 13% of Britons say they think it is either generally or completely unsafe to take paracetamol during pregnancy.
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
Yes! Update on events incoming
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
The big test for the greens is whether they can take their considerers (who make up a bigger ratio of their overall vote than any other party) and make them into voters. Polanski's command of the attention economy feels like an important step in doing that.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
But the Green Party have one clear advantage over Your Party - while voters split on whether they see them as a serious party (38-39) that is far higher than for Your Party 16-50 and Your Party's splits have created a bigger opening for the Greens.
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
But they obviously face competition in that space on the left - voters are much more likely to say 'Your party' or the Liberal Democrats are a bigger threat to Labour on the left than the Green Party
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
There's also a question whether the eco-populism pitch deters those who were voting green for the eco bit. On balance I think the Green's future lies in challenging Labour to the left, but it might make it harder to hold e.g. the two rural seats they won in 2024.
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
Risks of Polanski's approach? His embrace of a much more open immigration policy isn't backed by most voters - even green voters are more likely to say reduce than increase (though by a smaller margin). That said there clearly is a more pro-migration minority he could speak to.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
The idea of a wealth tax is popular across the board, though it is worth stressing this is highly hypothetical and as with Digital ID, when the debate became real with winners/losers and cost/benefit estimates this could shift significantly.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
Green supporters are younger than voters as a whole, and more female. They are particularly likely to be animated by climate (unsurprisingly) and housing compared to the wider public.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
Clearly his pitch is the 'anti-system left' designed to win support to Labour's left - and it's pretty striking that when you look at the current VI of Green Party voters, a plurality are those who voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour in 2019.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
It's also a message that resonates squarely with Polanski's own voters, Green voters along with Reform UK voters are the most likely to think we need to let our institutions 'burn' and also the least likely to think that higher GDP growth benefits people like them
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 4d
🧵Thoughts on Polanski speech: his pledge to "end rip off Britain" is closest to chiming with public mood on the cost of living of leaders speeches yet. The sense essentials, let alone treats are unaffordable & govt is unable/unwilling to tackle it epitomises broken Britain mood
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 6d
The attack on the Manchester synagogue on the holiest day of the Jewish calendar is both horrific & sickening.
Thoughts with all those affected and also others who'll be feeling scared or less safe in their communities. Something we all have to play a part in addressing.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 6d
In @theguardian.com - drop in support for digital ID since summer & govt announcement. From 54-18 support to 31-45 opposed, a real shift: suggests govt didnt get comms on use right, opponents did; but also risk govt unpopularity means they have reverse Midas right now
theguardian.com/politics/2025/…
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
And later that afternoon we'll be joining
@uclpolicylab.bsky.social to provide an instant reaction to the Prime Minister's speech and whether or not it is likely to hit the mark with the public with a stellar panel of experts.
luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
And sticking with the theme of climate we'll be looking at what the data says about the popularity of the climate and nature agenda with the public and what Britons expect from their politicians, with @wwf.org.uk
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
Next up we've got a fantastic panel looking at powering the home energy transition with @thermalstorageuk.bsky.social @mcsfoundation.bsky.social
@ecalive.bsky.social
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
We'll be back on Tuesday morning with a discussion about international aid, in the wake of the UK Government's decision and that of Government's around the world to cut aid with @uclpolicylab.bsky.social and
@savechildrenuk.bsky.social
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
After our coalition event we'll be turning to how we stop online violence against women and girls with
@evawuk.bsky.social and make Big Tech meet their responsibilities.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
Later on Monday we've got a fantastic panel to be looking at the role of big money in UK politics with @transparencyuk.bsky.social and @spotlightcorruption.org
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
Monday 2-3 along with @uclpolicylab.bsky.social we'll also be hosting @theguardian.com politics weekly with
@pippacrerar.bsky.social and @kiranstacey.bsky.social as they hold an in conversation with @andyburnham.bsky.social
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luketryl.bsky.social
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 11d
Monday afternoon we'll be exploring policy and delivery on neurological care with Neurological Alliance, @mssocietyuk.bsky.social @parkinsons.org.uk
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