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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Aug 10

Honoured to see our work recognized in this way. The project started in my first year of graduate school, so I’m glad to see the many, many hours we put in were worth it.

Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · Aug 8

We are pleased to announce the 2025 Editors’ Choice Award for the paper “How Much Should We Trust Instrumental Variable Estimates in Political Science? Practical Advice Based on 67 Replicated Studies” by @apoorvalal.com‬, @maclockhart.bsky.social, @yiqingxu.bsky.social‬, and @garyzu.bsky.social.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · May 21

Two paper rejections in one day! I think it's a sign I should log off my email to make sure it doesn't hit 3.

Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · Apr 25

From February 2025 -

Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP

- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero

#OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of partisan actors on U.S. elections, mentioning investigations in states including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and others, and addressing the erosion of trust in the democratic process.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 23

With the Canadian election looming, are you wondering about how provincial politics might affect the federal outcome? Our pre-print shows where you should expect to see provincial politics bleed over the most (spoiler alert - the answer is Quebec!)

Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 17

New pre-print out with Alex Rivard (
@sfufass.bsky.social):

"I’m a Federal Sovereigntist but a Provincial Nationalist: Party Identification in a Multi-Level Westminster Democracy"

Ever wondered how voters handle partisan identity at levels besides the national government?

Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 17

We're open to any feedback or thoughts. This project was motivated by a lot of things, but first and foremost among them was the disaster that was the BC United in the 2024 BC provincial election.

Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 17

To preview our findings, we show:
(1) Provincial PID is correlated with federal PID, but distinct.
(2) Congruent PIDs lead to stronger partisan attachments
(3) In provinces with distinct party systems like QC, provincial PID helps structure federal vote choice.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 17

In this preprint, we investigate how subnational PID interacts with our usual measure of PID. You can read the whole paper on osf here.
osf.io/preprints/os...

OSF

osf.io

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Apr 17

New pre-print out with Alex Rivard (
@sfufass.bsky.social):

"I’m a Federal Sovereigntist but a Provincial Nationalist: Party Identification in a Multi-Level Westminster Democracy"

Ever wondered how voters handle partisan identity at levels besides the national government?

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Mar 15

If people never really expected the money, then it won’t be missed (it was just an occasional windfall). If they got used to an extra payment, then it’ll be politically noticeable.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Mar 15

I was just thinking about this. I wonder how much Canadians took into account the rebate in budgeting and salary expectations. I suppose that’s hard to figure, but it seems important for how much they’ll miss the money.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Mar 13

Did I promise myself not to take on any new projects? Yes.

Did I take on a new project because I promised myself it was a teenie tiny little itty bitty project? Also yes.

Is it going to end up being a teenie tiny little itty bitty project? I plead the fifth.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 26

I've been an unwaivering NYT and WaPo subscriber since moving to the US. I have always been happy to support them despite many editorials and op-eds I disagree with, for the good journalism. I have no problem with balanced editorial rooms.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 26

Other than the NYT, what is a good paper I can subscribe to to financially support good journalism? Ideally with minimal editorial content.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 26

I happily subscribed to the WaPo for their news coverage and stayed subscribed through many editorials I disagreed with because I believe in paying for journalism.

But an editorial page with an official point of view is not something I need to fund. I’ll take my subscription dollars elsewhere.

Ben Mullin @benmullin.bsky.social · Feb 26

SCOOP: WaPo Opinion editor David Shipley is out. Jeff Bezos emails staff about a change to Post Opinions: "We are going to be writing every day in support and defense of two pillars: personal liberties and free markets."

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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · Feb 19

NEW -

Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP

- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero

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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart

Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

🚨 New paper out at @bjpols.bsky.social 🚨

Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? Yes!

We show, using large national and state specific survey experiments, that public information campaigns from election officials work.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

It was great to work on this piece with @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, and Mindy Romero - look forward to more in the near future!

Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

We're incredibly grateful for the time and input of the election officials we worked with and believe this paper offers a model for future work. All our results are our own and don't reflect the views of any of the election officials we worked with.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

Excited to see more of our work on election trust in print, providing election officials with clear scientific evidence for ways they can build trust in elections. You can read it open access here:
doi.org/10.1017/S000...

https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000681[Opens

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

Come for the paper, but stay for the complex diagram outlining the survey flow in 5 different samples.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

Additionally, videos explaining protections on election integrity in Arizona and Virginia increase trust in elections outside the respondents’ own states but the content of the message doesn't seem to matter.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

We consulted election officials in Texas, Colorado, Georgia, and LA to test messages they have used to build trust in elections. We find in every case the messages are effective, regardless of the party of the recipient.

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Feb 13

🚨 New paper out at @bjpols.bsky.social 🚨

Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? Yes!

We show, using large national and state specific survey experiments, that public information campaigns from election officials work.

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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · Feb 3

The executive branch does not have the legal right to cancel appropriated spending or eliminate agencies created by Congress.
Trump and Musk are doing both. Entirely lawless and unconstitutional.
The world's largest provider of food assistance shut down.
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Musk tweet boasting of "feeding USAID into the chipper"

“I went over it with him in detail, and he agreed that we should shut it down,” Musk said. “And I actually checked with him a few times [and] said ‘are you sure?’”

The answer was yes, he said.

“And so we’re shutting it down,” Musk said.

USAID staffers were told that the agency’s headquarters in Washington will be closed Monday amid the turmoil.

In an email to staff early Monday, the agency’s leadership said: “Agency personnel normally assigned to work at USAID headquarters will work remotely … with the exception of personnel with essential on-site and building maintenance functions individually contacted by senior leadership.”

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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · Jan 30

I’ve started getting some pretty aggressive online advertising for Botox recently, and now I’m really curious which algorithm thinks I look old.

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