Strategically, Ukraine should rapidly exploit temporary radar voids. Maximize drone swarm ops, SEAD sorties, and deep penetration raids now. Russia’s window to stabilize coverage minimal; decisive Ukrainian strikes could reshape battlefield advantage decisively. (6/6)

Psych blow profound: Truck-launched, low-tech drones neutralizing multi-million dollar AEW assets erodes Russian operational confidence. Moscow forced into costly countermeasures dispersal, enhanced base defence further diverting resources from frontline ops. (5/6)

Ukrainian HIMARS/Storm Shadow strikes benefit as reduced AEW weakens Russian long-range missile targeting, early launch detection, and accurate interceptor handoffs. Increased window to maneuver, target command nodes, and disrupt logistics across the deep rear. (4/6)

Russian fighter CAPs lose radar-backed SA, increasingly reliant on fragmented GCI. Ukrainian F-16s and MiG-29s gain freedom to ambush bombers and strike drones without alerting IADS. Reduced Russian sortie rate, higher bomber attrition risk; precision strikes impaired. (3/6)

With fewer A-50s, Russia faces tactical trade-offs: either leave southern Crimea or Belgorod exposed. Ukrainian pilots and cruise missiles exploit blind spots, leveraging terrain masking and low-level ingress to evade radar and SAM kill zones. Vulnerability drastically heightened. (2/6)

Russia’s “peace plan” is an ultimatum: give up land, stay neutral, accept no justice.
It’s not a compromise—it’s a demand for surrende.

U.S.: Ceasefire first, limited recognition, reparations for Ukraine.
Russia: Ukrainian withdrawal first, full recognition, no reparations.
Vast gap. No basis for real talks.

Moscow’s draft says no side can claim compensation for war damages.
The U.S. draft would have compensated Ukraine.
Russia wants to wreck the country—then walk away scot-free.

Russia demands Ukraine become neutral, reject all WMDs, and ban foreign troops on its soil.
This clause was not in the U.S. peace draft.
Effectively, it would neuter Ukraine’s future security options.

Russia wants global recognition that Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson & Zaporizhzhia are Russian territory.
U.S. draft only suggested recognition of Crimea (de jure) and others (de facto).
Moscow wants the full prize.
Russia

To grasp this shift is to understand that the international order was not dismantled but abandoned left to wither by those who found it inconvenient. We now inhabit a world where strength, not consensus, determines outcomes. The only question is how we choose to navigate it.

The age of legal frameworks and diplomatic norms has been eclipsed by one of transactional politics, where force, wealth, and personal authority set the terms. The strongmen cut deals, redraw maps, and discard rules, while those clinging to past illusions are left behind.

The idea that nations are bound by treaties and institutions has given way to a simpler truth: power belongs to those willing to wield it. These strongmen do not consult history; they rewrite it. The rest of us must either reconcile ourselves to this or learn how to resist it.

Fixed *СОВ. СЕКР.//ОСН//РАЗР. ГРУ, СВР

It should be noted that Viktor Sobolev is a member of the Communist Party of Russia which has a track record for rather stronger rhetoric.

Dark Storm Team collaborates with pro-Russian groups, merging ideological and financial motives. Their actions highlight the evolving cyber battlefield, where hacktivists act as digital mercenaries. Governments must fortify cyber defenses—this threat isn’t going away. 🔍💻 3/3

Who is Dark Storm Team? A pro-Palestinian hacktivist group, they target entities seen as adversaries to Palestinian interests. Beyond DDoS attacks, they engage in cybercrime, offering DDoS-for-hire and database breaches. Their reach extends to NATO, Israel, and allies. ⚠️🛡️ 2/3