Market Observer
@marketobserver.bsky.social
Observe the market, react to opportunities but stay alert to risks.
Rich experience being humbled by Mr Market.
AI enthusiast.
Also active at https://x.com/Market0bserver8
Rich experience being humbled by Mr Market.
AI enthusiast.
Also active at https://x.com/Market0bserver8
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Here's a simple money-saving tip for digital consumers. 🧵
Stop subscribing to digital services through their mobile apps. Subscribe through their official website instead.
Whether it's YouTube Premium, Spotify, or X Premium/Premium+, you're likely overpaying if you subscribe in-app. Here's why.
Here's a simple money-saving tip for digital consumers. 🧵
Stop subscribing to digital services through their mobile apps. Subscribe through their official website instead.
Whether it's YouTube Premium, Spotify, or X Premium/Premium+, you're likely overpaying if you subscribe in-app. Here's why.
August 19, 2025 at 6:45 AM
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Here's a simple money-saving tip for digital consumers. 🧵
Stop subscribing to digital services through their mobile apps. Subscribe through their official website instead.
Whether it's YouTube Premium, Spotify, or X Premium/Premium+, you're likely overpaying if you subscribe in-app. Here's why.
Here's a simple money-saving tip for digital consumers. 🧵
Stop subscribing to digital services through their mobile apps. Subscribe through their official website instead.
Whether it's YouTube Premium, Spotify, or X Premium/Premium+, you're likely overpaying if you subscribe in-app. Here's why.
While revising physics and chemistry, I made an observation I missed as a student.
Here it goes:
'Laws of nature revolve around achieving STABILITY via MINIMUM ENERGY.'
This is not copied from anywhere else. It's an independent observation. At least give me that 🙂
Here it goes:
'Laws of nature revolve around achieving STABILITY via MINIMUM ENERGY.'
This is not copied from anywhere else. It's an independent observation. At least give me that 🙂
June 2, 2025 at 9:55 AM
While revising physics and chemistry, I made an observation I missed as a student.
Here it goes:
'Laws of nature revolve around achieving STABILITY via MINIMUM ENERGY.'
This is not copied from anywhere else. It's an independent observation. At least give me that 🙂
Here it goes:
'Laws of nature revolve around achieving STABILITY via MINIMUM ENERGY.'
This is not copied from anywhere else. It's an independent observation. At least give me that 🙂
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The USA's #1 strength, its superpower bedrock, has always been its magnetism for the world's best minds. Trump's attack on Harvard isn't just on a university; it's an assault on this mighty, nation-building force. #GlobalTalent #AmericanStrength
The USA's #1 strength, its superpower bedrock, has always been its magnetism for the world's best minds. Trump's attack on Harvard isn't just on a university; it's an assault on this mighty, nation-building force. #GlobalTalent #AmericanStrength
May 25, 2025 at 1:20 AM
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The USA's #1 strength, its superpower bedrock, has always been its magnetism for the world's best minds. Trump's attack on Harvard isn't just on a university; it's an assault on this mighty, nation-building force. #GlobalTalent #AmericanStrength
The USA's #1 strength, its superpower bedrock, has always been its magnetism for the world's best minds. Trump's attack on Harvard isn't just on a university; it's an assault on this mighty, nation-building force. #GlobalTalent #AmericanStrength
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Philanthropy plays a useful role when free markets fail to uplift human lives.
Free markets are powerful, driving innovation & lifting billions from poverty. But sometimes, this engine stalls on critical human needs. This isn't a critique, but an observation of its limits. Let's explore.
Philanthropy plays a useful role when free markets fail to uplift human lives.
Free markets are powerful, driving innovation & lifting billions from poverty. But sometimes, this engine stalls on critical human needs. This isn't a critique, but an observation of its limits. Let's explore.
May 24, 2025 at 2:41 AM
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Philanthropy plays a useful role when free markets fail to uplift human lives.
Free markets are powerful, driving innovation & lifting billions from poverty. But sometimes, this engine stalls on critical human needs. This isn't a critique, but an observation of its limits. Let's explore.
Philanthropy plays a useful role when free markets fail to uplift human lives.
Free markets are powerful, driving innovation & lifting billions from poverty. But sometimes, this engine stalls on critical human needs. This isn't a critique, but an observation of its limits. Let's explore.
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Why did the bond market force Trump to pause his aggressive tariff policies, while he ignored the stock market's huge swings? Why did the bond market have a greater influence on Trump?
#TrumpTariffs #Economics
Why did the bond market force Trump to pause his aggressive tariff policies, while he ignored the stock market's huge swings? Why did the bond market have a greater influence on Trump?
#TrumpTariffs #Economics
May 23, 2025 at 2:58 PM
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Why did the bond market force Trump to pause his aggressive tariff policies, while he ignored the stock market's huge swings? Why did the bond market have a greater influence on Trump?
#TrumpTariffs #Economics
Why did the bond market force Trump to pause his aggressive tariff policies, while he ignored the stock market's huge swings? Why did the bond market have a greater influence on Trump?
#TrumpTariffs #Economics
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Trump’s tariffs on China are like a spouse withholding sex to win a fight! 🤨 The US-China trade marriage, built on fraught interdependence, gets rocky. Tariffs = "No intimacy ‘til you do your chores (IP protection, market access)!" Is this coercion for fairness effective? #TradeWars #Geopolitics
Trump’s tariffs on China are like a spouse withholding sex to win a fight! 🤨 The US-China trade marriage, built on fraught interdependence, gets rocky. Tariffs = "No intimacy ‘til you do your chores (IP protection, market access)!" Is this coercion for fairness effective? #TradeWars #Geopolitics
May 23, 2025 at 7:38 AM
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Trump’s tariffs on China are like a spouse withholding sex to win a fight! 🤨 The US-China trade marriage, built on fraught interdependence, gets rocky. Tariffs = "No intimacy ‘til you do your chores (IP protection, market access)!" Is this coercion for fairness effective? #TradeWars #Geopolitics
Trump’s tariffs on China are like a spouse withholding sex to win a fight! 🤨 The US-China trade marriage, built on fraught interdependence, gets rocky. Tariffs = "No intimacy ‘til you do your chores (IP protection, market access)!" Is this coercion for fairness effective? #TradeWars #Geopolitics
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Why does the Bloomberg Terminal, costing over $25,000 per user annually, still thrive despite free online data? 🤔 A recent outage that delayed a UK bond auction perfectly highlights Warren Buffett's "economic moat" concept. 🏰 #Investing
Why does the Bloomberg Terminal, costing over $25,000 per user annually, still thrive despite free online data? 🤔 A recent outage that delayed a UK bond auction perfectly highlights Warren Buffett's "economic moat" concept. 🏰 #Investing
May 23, 2025 at 4:06 AM
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Why does the Bloomberg Terminal, costing over $25,000 per user annually, still thrive despite free online data? 🤔 A recent outage that delayed a UK bond auction perfectly highlights Warren Buffett's "economic moat" concept. 🏰 #Investing
Why does the Bloomberg Terminal, costing over $25,000 per user annually, still thrive despite free online data? 🤔 A recent outage that delayed a UK bond auction perfectly highlights Warren Buffett's "economic moat" concept. 🏰 #Investing
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Why Trump's Trade Goals Could Mean Higher US Borrowing Costs
Could Trump's push for a US trade surplus actually lead to permanently higher interest rates on US debt?
Why Trump's Trade Goals Could Mean Higher US Borrowing Costs
Could Trump's push for a US trade surplus actually lead to permanently higher interest rates on US debt?
April 28, 2025 at 1:45 AM
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Why Trump's Trade Goals Could Mean Higher US Borrowing Costs
Could Trump's push for a US trade surplus actually lead to permanently higher interest rates on US debt?
Why Trump's Trade Goals Could Mean Higher US Borrowing Costs
Could Trump's push for a US trade surplus actually lead to permanently higher interest rates on US debt?
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Nixon imposed 10% tariffs in 1971 like Trump did today. What can we learn from this past experience?
Understanding this pivotal moment might shed light on today's trade tensions and their potential long-term financial ripples.
#NixonShock #TrumpTariffs #Economics
Nixon imposed 10% tariffs in 1971 like Trump did today. What can we learn from this past experience?
Understanding this pivotal moment might shed light on today's trade tensions and their potential long-term financial ripples.
#NixonShock #TrumpTariffs #Economics
April 24, 2025 at 1:07 AM
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Nixon imposed 10% tariffs in 1971 like Trump did today. What can we learn from this past experience?
Understanding this pivotal moment might shed light on today's trade tensions and their potential long-term financial ripples.
#NixonShock #TrumpTariffs #Economics
Nixon imposed 10% tariffs in 1971 like Trump did today. What can we learn from this past experience?
Understanding this pivotal moment might shed light on today's trade tensions and their potential long-term financial ripples.
#NixonShock #TrumpTariffs #Economics
1/ An unusual market behaviour is making it harder for the Fed to cut rates further this time, despite significant pressure from President Trump.
What's this unusual market behaviour?
What's this unusual market behaviour?
April 22, 2025 at 1:40 AM
1/ An unusual market behaviour is making it harder for the Fed to cut rates further this time, despite significant pressure from President Trump.
What's this unusual market behaviour?
What's this unusual market behaviour?
Here are the problems with replacing income tax with tariffs.
1/ Tariffs disproportionately burden lower-income consumers, taxing all equally, while income tax mainly affects the wealthy more.
Income tax reduces wealth inequality, as it is a progressive tax.
1/ Tariffs disproportionately burden lower-income consumers, taxing all equally, while income tax mainly affects the wealthy more.
Income tax reduces wealth inequality, as it is a progressive tax.
April 20, 2025 at 1:38 AM
Here are the problems with replacing income tax with tariffs.
1/ Tariffs disproportionately burden lower-income consumers, taxing all equally, while income tax mainly affects the wealthy more.
Income tax reduces wealth inequality, as it is a progressive tax.
1/ Tariffs disproportionately burden lower-income consumers, taxing all equally, while income tax mainly affects the wealthy more.
Income tax reduces wealth inequality, as it is a progressive tax.
1/ The self-inflicted, tariff-induced U.S. stock market crash since Liberation Day differs from past crashes. Previously, when markets crashed, the USD and U.S. treasuries rose as safe havens.
April 10, 2025 at 1:35 AM
1/ The self-inflicted, tariff-induced U.S. stock market crash since Liberation Day differs from past crashes. Previously, when markets crashed, the USD and U.S. treasuries rose as safe havens.
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Trump's tariffs will make US manufacturers less competitive to Chinese rivals in global markets.
Trump's tariffs raised costs for US manufacturers (10% to 104% on imported parts), making Chinese rivals more competitive when serving the global non-US market.
Trump's tariffs will make US manufacturers less competitive to Chinese rivals in global markets.
Trump's tariffs raised costs for US manufacturers (10% to 104% on imported parts), making Chinese rivals more competitive when serving the global non-US market.
April 9, 2025 at 12:08 PM
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Trump's tariffs will make US manufacturers less competitive to Chinese rivals in global markets.
Trump's tariffs raised costs for US manufacturers (10% to 104% on imported parts), making Chinese rivals more competitive when serving the global non-US market.
Trump's tariffs will make US manufacturers less competitive to Chinese rivals in global markets.
Trump's tariffs raised costs for US manufacturers (10% to 104% on imported parts), making Chinese rivals more competitive when serving the global non-US market.
1/ Some young investors are buying the dip in today's Trump tariff-induced market crash, hoping for a quick recovery like during the COVID crash. That rapid recovery was unusual in market crash history.
The Great Depression, the worst market crash, saw an 86% drop and took 22 years to recover.
The Great Depression, the worst market crash, saw an 86% drop and took 22 years to recover.
April 5, 2025 at 10:27 AM
1/ Some young investors are buying the dip in today's Trump tariff-induced market crash, hoping for a quick recovery like during the COVID crash. That rapid recovery was unusual in market crash history.
The Great Depression, the worst market crash, saw an 86% drop and took 22 years to recover.
The Great Depression, the worst market crash, saw an 86% drop and took 22 years to recover.
1/ Singapore has decided not to retaliate against US tariffs. We will slap a big fat ZERO tariff rate on US as we have always done in the past.
Why? Certainly not because we're easy to bully.
Why? Certainly not because we're easy to bully.
3/ How will Singapore government respond to US tariffs? As a Singaporean, I know our government well enough to confidently say that Singapore will respond with a big fat zero tariffs on US goods. It's not because we're easy to bully but because it's the rational thing to do.
April 3, 2025 at 12:43 PM
1/ Singapore has decided not to retaliate against US tariffs. We will slap a big fat ZERO tariff rate on US as we have always done in the past.
Why? Certainly not because we're easy to bully.
Why? Certainly not because we're easy to bully.
Historically, stock markets rise after confirmed bad news, if it aligns with expectations.
However, global stock markets crashed after President Trump announced the latest tariffs, as the US tariff news turned out to be worse than the worst-case scenario.
However, global stock markets crashed after President Trump announced the latest tariffs, as the US tariff news turned out to be worse than the worst-case scenario.
🚨 Asia stock markets fall after US President Donald Trump unveils sweeping tariffs.
Follow our live blog for the latest reaction from markets and governments. ⤵
Follow our live blog for the latest reaction from markets and governments. ⤵
Live: Trump’s Global Tariff Rollout
Trump Tariffs Live: Asia Stock Markets Fall After US Unveils Sweeping Duties
www.bloomberg.com
April 3, 2025 at 2:21 AM
Historically, stock markets rise after confirmed bad news, if it aligns with expectations.
However, global stock markets crashed after President Trump announced the latest tariffs, as the US tariff news turned out to be worse than the worst-case scenario.
However, global stock markets crashed after President Trump announced the latest tariffs, as the US tariff news turned out to be worse than the worst-case scenario.
1/ The table says Singapore charges 10% tariff on US. Not true. Singapore charges a big fat ZERO tariffs on US. We have a free trade agreement with US and we are legally bound to charge zero tariffs on US goods.
April 3, 2025 at 1:57 AM
1/ The table says Singapore charges 10% tariff on US. Not true. Singapore charges a big fat ZERO tariffs on US. We have a free trade agreement with US and we are legally bound to charge zero tariffs on US goods.
1/ Given the damage US tariffs have wrecked on stock markets recently, I did some fact-checking on the justification for some of the tariffs.
March 31, 2025 at 1:31 AM
1/ Given the damage US tariffs have wrecked on stock markets recently, I did some fact-checking on the justification for some of the tariffs.
Everyone talks about the US stock market, but one stock market has been quietly crushing it for the past 20 years. Denmark! The land of "Hygge" (enjoying life's simple pleasures), wind turbines, Greenland, and Viking descendants.
Diversifying beyond your home country isn't a bad idea.
Diversifying beyond your home country isn't a bad idea.
March 25, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Everyone talks about the US stock market, but one stock market has been quietly crushing it for the past 20 years. Denmark! The land of "Hygge" (enjoying life's simple pleasures), wind turbines, Greenland, and Viking descendants.
Diversifying beyond your home country isn't a bad idea.
Diversifying beyond your home country isn't a bad idea.
1/ I developed tools to help me observe the market, in keeping with my twitter name "Market Observer".
These tools have been uploaded to Github Pages. It will be free for all with no advertisement.
Ranking of global stock indices
advdne.github.io/stock_indice...
These tools have been uploaded to Github Pages. It will be free for all with no advertisement.
Ranking of global stock indices
advdne.github.io/stock_indice...
March 23, 2025 at 8:44 AM
1/ I developed tools to help me observe the market, in keeping with my twitter name "Market Observer".
These tools have been uploaded to Github Pages. It will be free for all with no advertisement.
Ranking of global stock indices
advdne.github.io/stock_indice...
These tools have been uploaded to Github Pages. It will be free for all with no advertisement.
Ranking of global stock indices
advdne.github.io/stock_indice...
1/ The housing crisis threatens economic dynamism in many rich countries, not just the U.S. Young people, the future workforce, are priced out of affordable housing, a basic need, while older homeowners profit from rising property values.
March 23, 2025 at 8:41 AM
1/ The housing crisis threatens economic dynamism in many rich countries, not just the U.S. Young people, the future workforce, are priced out of affordable housing, a basic need, while older homeowners profit from rising property values.
For investors, "America First" was supposed to boost the US stock market. Ironically, it's creating a "Europe First" stock market today.
US stocks are weakening while European markets, especially defense stocks, are surging today. Trump's tariffs are raising US growth concerns.
US stocks are weakening while European markets, especially defense stocks, are surging today. Trump's tariffs are raising US growth concerns.
March 22, 2025 at 10:35 AM
For investors, "America First" was supposed to boost the US stock market. Ironically, it's creating a "Europe First" stock market today.
US stocks are weakening while European markets, especially defense stocks, are surging today. Trump's tariffs are raising US growth concerns.
US stocks are weakening while European markets, especially defense stocks, are surging today. Trump's tariffs are raising US growth concerns.
1/ Banks profit from loyal customers, sad to say. If you don’t compare interest rates on your deposits and keep your money in a low-rate account, banks quietly pocket your potential earnings by paying minimal interest. Compare rates, switch if necessary, and make your money work for you.
March 22, 2025 at 2:33 AM
1/ Banks profit from loyal customers, sad to say. If you don’t compare interest rates on your deposits and keep your money in a low-rate account, banks quietly pocket your potential earnings by paying minimal interest. Compare rates, switch if necessary, and make your money work for you.
1/ Why do many short sellers lose money in bear markets, even when they correctly predict the overall market direction?
It's a counterintuitive phenomenon driven by increased volatility.
It's a counterintuitive phenomenon driven by increased volatility.
March 8, 2025 at 3:02 AM
1/ Why do many short sellers lose money in bear markets, even when they correctly predict the overall market direction?
It's a counterintuitive phenomenon driven by increased volatility.
It's a counterintuitive phenomenon driven by increased volatility.
1/ America First is understandable. Every nation prioritizes its interests. But it can't come at the cost of broken promises and shattered trust. Hard negotiation is normal, but a pattern of constantly shifting the goalposts and not honoring agreements backfires.
March 8, 2025 at 2:30 AM
1/ America First is understandable. Every nation prioritizes its interests. But it can't come at the cost of broken promises and shattered trust. Hard negotiation is normal, but a pattern of constantly shifting the goalposts and not honoring agreements backfires.